Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Oxford are on a different planet right now** — three wins in their last five while Bradford stumble through a run of draws and shutouts. This is a clash between momentum and stagnation. 🔴
Oxford's attack is **clicking** (2-1, 2-1, 2-1 tells you everything), but **Bradford's defensive shape** has kept them competitive even if their goals have dried up. The hosts should fancy this one badly.
Key storylines:
- **G. O'Donkor** spearheading a potent Oxford attack against a Bradford backline that hasn't conceded much but hasn't exactly dominated
- **Oxford's midfield** (Brannagan and Dembélé) will control the tempo if they press the tempo — Bradford's three-at-back needs time to settle
- Bradford leaning on **K. Jackson** up front in a 3-4-2-1 shape; they'll sit deep and hope for a counter
Expected lineups:
- **Oxford United**: J. Cumming, C. Brown, M. Helik, C. Brannagan, S. Dembélé, M. Harris, T. Goodrham, M. Missanga, G. O'Donkor
- **Bradford City**: J. McCracken, I. Touray, A. Baldwin, A. Sarcevic, H. Cartwright, K. Morgan, B. Pointon, K. Jackson
Prediction:
**2-0 Oxford.** The hosts have the edge in form and creativity; Bradford's draw streak finally breaks — on the wrong end.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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