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Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
Stevenage
Stevenage
Stevenage
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
Alex Revell
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage
4-4-1-1 · 3-1-4-2
Milton Keynes Dons
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Stevenage 0-1 Milton Keynes Dons.
90+5'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
90+2'
Stevenage
Corner, Stevenage.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
83'
Stevenage
Corner, Stevenage.
81'
Goal! Stevenage 0-1 Milton Keynes Dons. S. Nombe (Milton Keynes Dons) scores, assisted by A. Collins.
75'
Stevenage
Offside, Stevenage.
72'
Stevenage
Corner, Stevenage.
70'
Attempt blocked. S. Nombe (Milton Keynes Dons), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
70'
Stevenage
Corner, Stevenage.
66'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
60'
Off the woodwork! R. Wintle (Milton Keynes Dons), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
60'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
59'
Attempt saved. A. Collins (Milton Keynes Dons), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.71.
59'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
57'
Stevenage
Offside, Stevenage.
53'
Stevenage
Corner, Stevenage.
51'
Milton Keynes Dons
Offside, Milton Keynes Dons.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Stevenage 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons.
45+1'
Off the woodwork! B. Broggio (Stevenage), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.
45+1'
Stevenage
Corner, Stevenage.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
41'
Stevenage
Corner, Stevenage.
36'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
28'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
27'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
27'
Attempt blocked. C. Goode (Milton Keynes Dons), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
27'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
26'
Attempt missed. S. Nombe (Milton Keynes Dons), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.
25'
Stevenage
Offside, Stevenage.
5'
Attempt missed. J. Sanders (Milton Keynes Dons), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.32.
4'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
1'
Kick-off: Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
44738 EUR · live
Home
70.0 · implied 1.4%
72.2%
+70.8 vs price
Away
1.1 · implied 90.9%
21.4%
-69.5 vs price
Draw
14.5 · implied 6.9%
7.8%
+0.9 vs price
Half time
69 EUR
Draw
2.26 · implied 44.2%
79.2%
+35.0 vs price
Home
2.88 · implied 34.7%
20.8%
-14.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8757 EUR · live
Under
1.26 · implied 79.4%
61.9%
-17.5 vs price
Over
19.0 · implied 5.3%
38.2%
+32.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
81 EUR
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
100.0%
+90.5 vs price
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
97.1%
+6.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
A. Gilbey · Foul
9'
J. Magennis · Argument
25'
A. Collins · Simulation
35'
C. Piergianni · Foul
44'
J. Sanders · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
62'
🔁
K. Casey ◂ L. James-Wildin
63'
🔁
O. Sanderson ◂ B. Broggio
81'
⚽
S. Nombe · assist A. Collins0–1
82'
🔁
C. Paterson ◂ S. Nombe
82'
🔁
B. Wiles ◂ D. Crowley
84'
🔁
T. Taylor ◂ D. Phillips
85'
🔁
P. Patterson ◂ M. Mellon
Full-time · 0–1
90'
🔁
C. Campbell ◂ D. Kemp
90'+4
🔁
I. Fullah ◂ A. Collins
90'+4
🔁
G. Jones ◂ S. Silvera
Coaches
Alex RevellPaul Warne 
Recent form
StevenageWHPlymouth Argyle3-0
LABradford City0-2
WHWigan Athletic1-0
LALeyton Orient0-1
WHLuton Town2-1
Milton Keynes DonsLABlackpool0-2
WHLuton Town2-1
LHReading1-5
DAAFC Wimbledon0-0
DHPeterborough United1-1
About this match
**Stevenage rolls into this clash on a hot streak, while MK Dons are searching for any kind of consistency.** The hosts have won three of their last five; the visitors can't string together results to save their lives. 🔥
Stevenage's recent form is genuinely sharp — a 3-0 demolition of Plymouth and a clean sheet over Wigan shows teeth. MK Dons, though, have been all over the map: battered 5-1 at home by Reading just weeks ago, then sneaking past Luton 2-1. That's not a recipe for road success.
Key storylines:
- **Stevenage's attack through J. Roberts and J. Magennis** will fancy their chances against a fragile MK Dons backline that's hemorrhaged goals
- **The midfield battle** — D. Phillips and D. Kemp versus G. Jones and D. Barlaser — could set the tone for tempo and control
- **MK Dons' three-at-the-back experiment** under pressure; if Stevenage's wide players (L. James-Wildin, L. Thompson) get going early, it could unravel fast
Expected lineups:
- **Stevenage**: T. Setford, L. Freestone, C. Piergianni, T. Vancooten, L. James-Wildin, D. Kemp, D. Phillips, L. Thompson, P. Patterson, J. Magennis, J. Roberts
- **Milton Keynes Dons**: W. Dennis, C. Bramall, C. Goode, C. Nelson, G. Jones, D. Barlaser, R. Wintle, A. Gilbey, A. Collins, S. Nombe, B. Wiles
Prediction:
**Stevenage 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons**
Home form and momentum lean Stevenage. MK Dons' leaky defense has no answers. 📍
Match facts
Kickoff
24 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Stevenage
4-4-1-1 · 3-1-4-2
Milton Keynes Dons
1
T. Setford
7.0
16
K. Casey
6.5
↑ 62'
15
T. Vancooten
6.2
5
C. Piergianni
6.7
14
S. Earley
6.8
20
C. Campbell
↑ 90'
23
L. Thompson
7.4
7
T. Taylor
6.7
↑ 84'
18
O. Sanderson
6.5
↑ 63'
44
P. Patterson
6.6
↑ 85'
9
J. Magennis
5.9
23
W. Dennis
7.0
21
M. Ekpiteta
6.5
5
C. Goode
8.1
32
J. Sanders
7.3
24
R. Wintle
6.8
22
I. Fullah
↑ 90'
26
B. Wiles
6.5
↑ 82'
8
A. Gilbey
6.5
20
E. Campbell
6.7
13
C. Paterson
6.5
↑ 82'
2
G. Jones
↑ 90'
Substitutes
12GD. Barden
2DL. James-Wildin↓ 62'7.0
10MD. Kemp↓ 90'6.9
8MD. Phillips↓ 84'6.8
27MB. Broggio↓ 63'6.6
28FM. Mellon↓ 85'6.1
19FT. Turhan
Coach: Alex Revell
Substitutes
51GS. Stacey
17MS. Silvera↓ 90'7.9
7MD. Crowley↓ 82'7.1
15MC. Bramall
4MD. Barlaser
10FA. Collins↓ 90'7.1
9FS. Nombe↓ 82'7.0
Coach: Paul Warne
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.45Expected goals (xG)1.9
10Total shots11
2Shots on target4
1Big chances3
7Corners9
Shots
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
0.54Goals prevented0.2
Attack
19Touches in box17
67Final third entries59
3Offsides1
13Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
323Passes221
224Accurate passes117
12/56 (21%)Long balls20/75 (27%)
5/32 (16%)Crosses4/21 (19%)
33Throw-ins21
Duels
46Duels54
30/58 (52%)Ground duels28/58 (48%)
17/44 (39%)Aerial duels27/44 (61%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles3/6 (50%)
10Dispossessed7
Defending
10Tackles16
100Tackles won63
12Interceptions9
27Clearances44
42Recoveries48
Discipline
9Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 19 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.15 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.73 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.40 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ betfair
1X2Stevenage to win 47% · 2.40 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.75 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.25 @ William Hill
1X2MK Dons to win 25% · 4.04 @ 1xBet
Who winsStevenage to win (DNB) 52% · 1.45 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.99
Stevenage
3.37
Draw
3.67
Milton Keynes Dons
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Stevenage or Draw
1.29
Stevenage or Milton Keynes Dons
1.77
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.83
Yes
1.87
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.04
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.75
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
Stevenage
2.60
Milton Keynes Dons
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.33
Over 7.50
3.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.20
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.10
Over 9.50
1.65
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.88
Over 10.50
1.36
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.00
Over 11.50
1.20
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.55
Stevenage
2.10
Draw
4.33
Milton Keynes Dons
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.37
Stevenage
2.37
Draw
3.80
Milton Keynes Dons
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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