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Hayden Mullins
Newport County
Rochdale
Newport County
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Rochdale
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
25295 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.0%
-20.0 vs price
Away
750.0 · implied 0.1%
17.4%
+17.3 vs price
Draw
750.0 · implied 0.1%
4.3%
+4.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
33189 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
80.4%
-5.8 vs price
Over
6.0 · implied 16.7%
19.6%
+2.9 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
18'
⚽
K. Cameron · assist Y. Bamba1–0
34'
T. Adebayo-Rowling · Foul
38'
⚽
S. Gwengwe · assist H. Biggins2–0
42'
B. A. Bilongo · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
53'
L. Hanannt · Foul
62'
🔁
Z. Silcott-Duberry ◂ L. Hanannt
65'
🔁
A. Merritt ◂ C. Doidge
66'
B. A. Bilongo · Foul
70'
🔁
K. Wilson ◂ E. Dieseruvwe
70'
🔁
E. Francis ◂ H. Gilmour
70'
🔁
B. Adeeko ◂ R. East
80'
🔁
G. Garner ◂ S. Gwengwe
86'
L. Jenkins · Foul
88'
🔁
M. Smith ◂ C. Evans
Full-time · 3–0
90'+1
⚽
Y. Bamba3–0
90'+5
A. Merritt · Foul
Coaches
Hayden MullinsIan Watson 
Recent form
Newport CountyDAAFC Wimbledon1-1
LHAS Roma1-4
WAYeovil Town2-1
LHReading0-4
DABristol City0-0
RochdaleLABradford City0-2
DATranmere Rovers2-2
LHFC Halifax Town2-3
DHFarnham Town2-2
DHAl-Rayyan3-3
Match facts
Stadium
Rodney Parade
City
Newport
Referee
Kickoff
15 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Newport County
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Rochdale
1
J. Wright
7.1
22
C. Norman
7.7
5
L. Jenkins
7.7
4
K. Cameron
7.6
3
T. Davies
7.1
8
M. Smith
6.5
↑ 88'
6
C. Brennan
7.5
20
Y. Bamba
8.7
10
H. Biggins
8.0
19
G. Garner
6.6
↑ 80'
17
A. Merritt
6.4
↑ 65'
1
N. Ramming
5.7
13
T. Adebayo-Rowling
5.7
6
E. Ebanks-Landell
6.1
26
S. Sherring
6.7
27
B. A. Bilongo
5.3
3
K. Wilson
6.4
↑ 70'
11
Z. Silcott-Duberry
6.3
↑ 62'
17
B. Adeeko
6.4
↑ 70'
39
D. Brown
6.3
10
D. Rodney
5.9
14
E. Francis
6.4
↑ 70'
Substitutes
33GS. MacDonald
2DC. Evans↓ 88'6.9
34DD. Sassi
40MC. Jarvis
9FS. Gwengwe↓ 80'7.3
27FC. Doidge↓ 65'6.4
14FM. Alexander-Walker
Coach: Hayden Mullins
Substitutes
12GJ. Spaven
20GS. Waller
4MR. East↓ 70'6.6
8MH. Gilmour↓ 70'6.3
19ML. Hanannt↓ 62'6.0
22MD. Moss
9FE. Dieseruvwe↓ 70'6.5
Coach: Ian Watson
Top stats
32%Possession68%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
12Total shots5
6Shots on target0
3Big chances0
9Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target2
2Blocked shots3
6Shots inside box3
6Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
Attack
23Touches in box12
59Final third entries47
2Offsides1
14Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
205Passes471
133Accurate passes396
22/53 (42%)Long balls21/50 (42%)
8/26 (31%)Crosses3/11 (27%)
23Throw-ins17
Duels
58Duels42
33/60 (55%)Ground duels27/60 (45%)
22/35 (63%)Aerial duels13/35 (37%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles13
67Tackles won69
9Interceptions2
23Clearances46
36Recoveries38
Discipline
11Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves3
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks7
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsRochdale to win (DNB) 57% · 1.73 @ merkurxtip
1X2Rochdale to win 40% · 2.80 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.90 @ betfair
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.84 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.50 @ granmadrid
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.05 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.80 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.67 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ efbet.net
1X2Newport to win 32% · 3.39 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.93
Newport County ▼
3.26
Draw
2.32
Rochdale
Double Chanceconsensus
1.56
Newport County or Draw ▼
1.30
Newport County or Rochdale
1.35
Draw or Rochdale
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes
1.97
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.91
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.27
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.96
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.36
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.11
Newport County ▼
1.66
Rochdale
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.25
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
11.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50
8.40
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.42
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
3.04
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50 ▼
2.24
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.95
Over 9.50
1.75
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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