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Micky Mellon
Oldham Athletic
Port Vale
Oldham Athletic
4-4-1-1 · 4-2-3-1
Port Vale
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
19304 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.5%
-23.5 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
13.3%
+13.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.1%
+11.0 vs price
Half time
74 EUR
Home
3.2 · implied 31.2%
65.0%
+33.8 vs price
Draw
2.24 · implied 44.6%
17.6%
-27.0 vs price
Away
3.95 · implied 25.3%
14.9%
-10.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
25038 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
88.4%
-1.7 vs price
Over
9.8 · implied 10.2%
11.6%
+1.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
498 EUR
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
83.4%
-6.7 vs price
Over
12.0 · implied 8.3%
16.5%
+8.1 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
O. Norburn · Foul
39'
G. Hall · Foul
40'
F. Fawunmi · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
57'
G. Byers · Foul
59'
J. Lawrence-Gabriel · Foul
60'
⚽
C. Kavanagh · assist O. Norburn1–0
68'
🔁
O. Hernández ◂ J. Headley
68'
🔁
M. Faal ◂ G. Byers
73'
🔁
C. Hall ◂ L. Montsma
75'
⚽
C. Kavanagh · assist M. Fondop2–0
82'
🔁
R. Woods ◂ C. Kavanagh
87'
L. Gordon · Foul
88'
🔁
T. Pett ◂ F. Fawunmi
88'
🔁
E. Nevitt ◂ M. Fondop
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Micky MellonJon Brady 
Recent form
Oldham AthleticLAStoke City0-2
WHSheffield Wednesday4-0
LHStockport County0-1
LAHuddersfield Town1-3
LHBolton Wanderers1-3
Port ValeLAWolverhampton0-3
WABlackpool1-0
WHReal Murcia1-0
DHBournemouth U211-1
WAWigan Athletic3-1
Match facts
Highlights & clips
Oldham Athletic
4-4-1-1 · 4-2-3-1
Port Vale
1
M. Hudson
7.1
2
G. Scott-Morriss
6.8
5
D. Daniels
7.1
23
R. Delaney
6.8
3
J. Robson
7.9
4
T. Pett
↑ 88'
8
O. Norburn
7.2
7
K. Appiah-Forson
6.6
15
K. Drummond
6.8
18
R. Woods
6.6
↑ 82'
20
E. Nevitt
↑ 88'
1
J. Smith
6.7
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
6.8
25
C. Humphreys
6.0
5
C. Hall
6.5
↑ 73'
15
L. Gordon
6.1
10
K. Dempsey
6.9
11
O. Hernández
6.8
↑ 68'
33
G. Hall
5.8
38
R. Walters
6.8
9
M. Faal
6.3
↑ 68'
14
O. Lynch
5.9
Substitutes
22GA. Wilson
6DM. Monthe
24DL. Temple
9FM. Fondop↓ 88'8.8
10FC. Kavanagh↓ 82'8.1
17FF. Fawunmi↓ 88'6.4
14FN. Chilvers
Coach: Micky Mellon
Substitutes
13GM. Terry
22DL. Montsma↓ 73'6.2
2DK. John
7MG. Byers↓ 68'6.6
3MJ. Headley↓ 68'6.5
18MR. Croasdale
19FB. Waine
Coach: Jon Brady
Top stats
40%Possession60%
1.54Expected goals (xG)1.04
11Total shots13
3Shots on target2
2Big chances0
1Corners6
Shots
5Shots off target7
3Blocked shots4
4Shots inside box8
7Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
Attack
16Touches in box19
66Final third entries77
5Offsides3
16Free kicks12
3Fouled in final third5
Passing
265Passes391
183Accurate passes297
20/66 (30%)Long balls30/78 (38%)
1/14 (7%)Crosses7/27 (26%)
19Throw-ins21
Duels
56Duels44
31/55 (56%)Ground duels24/55 (44%)
28/51 (55%)Aerial duels23/51 (45%)
2/5 (40%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
3Dispossessed6
Defending
13Tackles6
77Tackles won50
9Interceptions8
42Clearances16
40Recoveries44
Discipline
12Fouls16
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
10Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.79 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.87 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.51 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.47 @ efbet.net
1X2Port Vale to win 34% · 3.40 @ betcity
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.04 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.87 @ betinasia
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.58 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ efbet.net
Who winsOldham to win (DNB) 51% · 1.82 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Oldham to win 36% · 3.00 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.34
Oldham Athletic ▼
3.17
Draw
2.97
Port Vale ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.35
Oldham Athletic or Draw ▼
1.32
Oldham Athletic or Port Vale
1.54
Draw or Port Vale ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.79
Yes
1.91
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.17
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.06
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.06
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.63
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.09
Over 4.50 ▼
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.67
Oldham Athletic ▼
2.10
Port Vale ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.33
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
4.98
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.37
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.45
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.31
Over 10.50
1.53
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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