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Steve Cotterill
Cheltenham Town
Rotherham United
Cheltenham Town
4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3
Rotherham United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
4460 EUR
Away
2.74 · implied 36.5%
49.1%
+12.6 vs price
Home
2.72 · implied 36.8%
35.0%
-1.8 vs price
Draw
3.55 · implied 28.2%
15.9%
-12.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6912 EUR · live
Under
1.4 · implied 71.4%
78.4%
+7.0 vs price
Over
3.5 · implied 28.6%
21.6%
-7.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
286 EUR
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
64.0%
-26.1 vs price
Over
12.0 · implied 8.3%
35.7%
+27.4 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
30'
⚽
C. McCann · assist R. Broom1–0
35'
K. Spence
38'
J. Tomkinson · Argument
40'
S. McWilliams · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
J. Evans ◂ S. McWilliams
58'
🔁
J. Bickerstaff ◂ K. Otchere
62'
⚽
J. Buyabu · assist F. Tavares1–1
70'
🔁
A. Weimann ◂ J. Shipley
70'
🔁
J. Tomlinson ◂ R. Broom
71'
⚽
J. Evans · assist R. Cundy2–1
72'
🔁
O. Ashley ◂ B. Cover
72'
🔁
T. Bradshaw ◂ S. Aljofree
73'
P. Sweeney · Time wasting
79'
🔁
A. Martha ◂ J. Buyabu
Full-time · 2–1
90'+1
🔁
F. Willcox ◂ C. McCann
Coaches
Steve CotterillAlex Bruce 
Recent form
Cheltenham TownLHCharlton Athletic1-3
LHMilton Keynes Dons0-2
WAEvesham United3-0
LHColchester United1-4
LABristol Rovers0-4
Rotherham UnitedLHWest Bromwich Albion1-4
DHDerby County1-1
WADarlington2-0
LHSheffield United0-2
WAAlfreton Town FC1-0
Match facts
Stadium
Whaddon Road
City
Cheltenham
Referee
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Cheltenham Town
4-1-4-1 · 4-3-3
Rotherham United
23
W. Stanway
6.6
3
J. Tomkinson
6.5
5
R. Cundy
7.5
25
P. Sweeney
6.7
21
G. Nurse
6.8
7
B. Stevenson
7.1
4
J. Tomlinson
6.5
↑ 70'
19
J. Evans
7.2
↑ 46'
33
F. Willcox
↑ 90'
18
A. Weimann
6.6
↑ 70'
11
J. Bickerstaff
6.6
↑ 58'
1
T. Cann
5.9
12
D. Hall
6.8
6
O. Ashley
6.8
↑ 72'
18
L. Agbaire
6.6
3
E. Otoo
6.7
8
K. Spence
6.6
9
T. Bradshaw
6.5
↑ 72'
22
J. Jellis
6.3
7
F. Tavares
6.3
10
P. Mullin
6.2
11
A. Martha
6.7
↑ 79'
Substitutes
1GJ. Day
35DM. Barber
8MC. McCann↓ 90'8.0
14MR. Broom↓ 70'6.6
17MS. McWilliams↓ 46'6.3
26MJ. Shipley↓ 70'6.2
9FK. Otchere↓ 58'6.0
Coach: Steve Cotterill
Substitutes
13GJ. Eyestone
14DS. Aljofree↓ 72'6.7
2DJ. Rafferty
16DE. Adegboyega
24MJ. Buyabu↓ 79'7.4
28MB. Cover↓ 72'6.7
23MA. Nemane
Coach: Alex Bruce
Top stats
40%Possession60%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
6Total shots19
4Shots on target5
1Big chances2
5Corners4
Shots
1Shots off target7
1Blocked shots7
3Shots inside box14
3Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
Attack
14Touches in box24
67Final third entries99
2Offsides1
11Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
306Passes460
181Accurate passes327
21/80 (26%)Long balls38/97 (39%)
2/15 (13%)Crosses5/25 (20%)
23Throw-ins38
Duels
49Duels51
28/55 (51%)Ground duels27/55 (49%)
28/60 (47%)Aerial duels32/60 (53%)
1/4 (25%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
17Tackles11
76Tackles won45
10Interceptions7
41Clearances28
46Recoveries47
Discipline
10Fouls11
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
7Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
Who winsRotherham to win (DNB) 52% · 1.83 @ forbet
1X2Rotherham to win 36% · 3.00 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.87 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.51 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.87 @ betfair
1X2Draw 28% · 2.57 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.88 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.05 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.39 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.66 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Cheltenham to win 36% · 3.15 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.65
Cheltenham Town
3.23
Draw ▼
2.55
Rotherham United ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.46
Cheltenham Town or Draw
1.31
Cheltenham Town or Rotherham United
1.43
Draw or Rotherham United ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▲
1.98
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.09
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.24
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.97
Over 2.50 ▲
1.77
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.39
Over 3.50 ▲
1.28
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50 ▲
1.10
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.90
Cheltenham Town
1.82
Rotherham United ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.33
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.11
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.47
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.46
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50
1.88
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.26
Over 10.50
1.57
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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