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Paul Cook
Chesterfield
Fleetwood Town
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Fleetwood Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
44347 EUR · live
Away
1.08 · implied 92.6%
52.6%
-40.0 vs price
Home
750.0 · implied 0.1%
42.0%
+41.9 vs price
Draw
15.0 · implied 6.7%
5.4%
-1.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24379 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.2%
-21.8 vs price
Over
24.0 · implied 4.2%
23.9%
+19.7 vs price
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
28'
K. McFadzean · Foul
30'
C. Evans · Foul
35'
⚽
C. Evans0–1
Half-time · 0–1
45'+3
R. Cirino · Argument
55'
🔁
A. Cannon ◂ K. Thompson-Sommers
67'
🔁
F. Bryden ◂ L. Bonis
67'
🔁
L. Mandeville ◂ R. Sotiriou
71'
🔁
D. Andrew ◂ R. Cirino
78'
🔁
A. Loupalo-Bi ◂ C. Evans
81'
H. Neal · Time wasting
87'
🔁
D. Anisjko ◂ J. Koroma
87'
🔁
T. Naylor ◂ G. McEachran
88'
🔁
M. Owolabi-Belewu ◂ L. Gordon
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Matt Lawlor 
Recent form
LAFleetwood Town0-1
DAScunthorpe United1-1
LAFC Halifax Town2-3
DHSheffield United0-0
WAClay Cross Town FC2-0
WHChesterfield1-0
LAHartlepool United0-1
DHBolton Wanderers1-1
WHHuddersfield Town2-1
WASouthport FC2-0
Match facts
Stadium
SMH Group Stadium
City
Chesterfield
Referee
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
23
R. Boot
6.4
33
R. Hutton
7.0
5
K. McFadzean
6.6
6
J. Simpson
7.2
2
M. Owolabi-Belewu
6.6
↑ 88'
8
R. Stirk
6.8
4
T. Naylor
6.4
↑ 87'
24
D. Markanday
6.5
7
L. Mandeville
6.5
↑ 67'
21
D. Anisjko
6.5
↑ 87'
9
F. Bryden
7.0
↑ 67'
1
J. Lynch
8.8
26
S. Rooney
7.1
6
R. Bennett
7.2
5
F. Potter
7.1
4
H. Neal
7.3
3
D. Andrew
6.6
↑ 71'
7
A. Cannon
7.0
↑ 55'
10
M. Helm
7.1
14
L. McCann
7.2
20
A. Loupalo-Bi
6.4
↑ 78'
9
W. Davies
6.2
Substitutes
19DL. Gordon↓ 88'7.0
26DJ. Eccleston
20MG. McEachran↓ 87'7.0
37MJ. Koroma↓ 87'6.6
30MR. Lamptey
17FR. Sotiriou↓ 67'6.5
10FL. Bonis↓ 67'6.1
Coach: Paul Cook
Substitutes
22GJ. Pradic
29DR. Cirino↓ 71'6.9
36DJ. Dempsey
8MK. Thompson-Sommers↓ 55'6.4
35MS. Costelloe
27MC. McLean
17FC. Evans↓ 78'6.8
Coach: Matt Lawlor
Top stats
66%Possession34%
2.61Expected goals (xG)1.83
15Total shots14
3Shots on target7
3Big chances2
5Corners1
Shots
10Shots off target7
2Blocked shots0
11Shots inside box8
4Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed2
Attack
22Touches in box14
76Final third entries79
3Offsides1
14Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
531Passes273
436Accurate passes172
25/73 (34%)Long balls28/79 (35%)
5/28 (18%)Crosses3/11 (27%)
30Throw-ins15
Duels
48Duels52
33/65 (51%)Ground duels32/65 (49%)
15/36 (42%)Aerial duels21/36 (58%)
5/17 (29%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
10Dispossessed9
Defending
15Tackles22
60Tackles won68
10Interceptions11
23Clearances41
51Recoveries52
Discipline
8Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
6Saves3
0Big saves1
9Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsChesterfield to win (DNB) 70% · 1.45 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.46 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Chesterfield to win 51% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.87 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.05 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.95 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.39 @ BTI Sports
1X2Fleetwood to win 22% · 4.70 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.81
Chesterfield ▲
3.44
Draw ▼
4.25
Fleetwood Town ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Chesterfield or Draw
1.28
Chesterfield or Fleetwood Town ▲
1.90
Draw or Fleetwood Town ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.86
Yes ▲
1.84
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.73
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.17
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.99
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.46
Over 3.50 ▲
1.27
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.80
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.33
Chesterfield ▲
3.11
Fleetwood Town ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
10.47
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.05
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.64
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.69
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.08
Over 10.50
1.65
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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