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Gareth Ainsworth
Gillingham
Walsall
Gillingham
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Walsall
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
23291 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
55.9%
-43.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
26.9%
+26.8 vs price
Draw
7.6 · implied 13.2%
17.1%
+4.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
28409 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
89.3%
-3.3 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
10.7%
+1.2 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
E. Ahui · Argument
31'
🔁
R. McKenzie ◂ A. Little
37'
🔁
L. Dobbs ◂ L. Gordon
43'
A. Smith · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
R. Dixon ◂ E. Ahui
47'
K. Harris · Foul
55'
C. Crew · Foul
58'
R. McKenzie
60'
🔁
I. Moore ◂ C. Crew
60'
🔁
C. Clarke ◂ L. Simper
67'
🔁
T. Sodje ◂ A. Dallas
72'
🔁
G. McCleary ◂ K. Harris
72'
🔁
S. Palmer-Houlden ◂ W. Goodwin
74'
🔁
H. Burke ◂ M. Hancock
81'
⚽
I. Moore0–1
89'
⚽
J. Connolly0–2
Full-time · 0–3
90'+3
R. Hale · Foul
90'+6
⚽
A. Pressley · assist C. Clarke0–3
Coaches
Gareth AinsworthLee Grant 
Recent form
GillinghamLHLuton Town0-3
WAEbbsfleet United2-1
WHMillwall1-0
LHCharlton Athletic0-1
WADover Athletic3-0
WalsallWABristol City1-0
DHNotts County0-0
LATelford United0-1
LHAston Villa0-5
DALeamington0-0
Match facts
Stadium
Priestfield Stadium
City
Gillingham
Referee
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Gillingham
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Walsall
40
A. Maynard-Brewer
5.8
5
A. Smith
5.4
19
O. Beckles
6.9
26
L. Dobbs
5.4
↑ 37'
22
N. Freeman
6.7
15
Z. Albarus
6.7
14
R. McKenzie
6.6
↑ 31'
12
G. McCleary
6.2
↑ 72'
10
R. Hale
6.7
16
J. Brophy
7.3
11
S. Palmer-Houlden
6.8
↑ 72'
1
J. Ward
9.5
20
R. Dixon
6.9
↑ 46'
25
D. Skura
7.2
4
J. Connolly
7.6
5
H. Burke
6.7
↑ 74'
17
C. Clarke
6.9
↑ 60'
6
S. Sprangler
6.6
15
I. Moore
7.6
↑ 60'
7
T. Sodje
6.8
↑ 67'
11
R. Smith
6.8
19
A. Pressley
7.2
Substitutes
13GT. Holtam
4DL. Gordon↓ 37'6.9
3DC. McManus
8MA. Little↓ 31'7.6
7MK. Harris↓ 72'6.4
17MC. Antwi
9FW. Goodwin↓ 72'6.0
Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Substitutes
21GJ. Kirloy
3DM. Hancock↓ 74'7.1
22DE. Ahui↓ 46'6.7
8MC. Crew↓ 60'6.8
10ML. Simper↓ 60'6.5
9FA. Dallas↓ 67'6.5
37FA. Adomah
Coach: Lee Grant
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
17Total shots17
7Shots on target5
2Big chances5
6Corners9
Shots
7Shots off target5
3Blocked shots7
13Shots inside box15
4Shots outside box2
3Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored3
2Big chances missed2
Attack
31Touches in box34
74Final third entries54
0Offsides1
8Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
309Passes392
203Accurate passes293
26/78 (33%)Long balls23/62 (37%)
7/17 (41%)Crosses7/21 (33%)
32Throw-ins20
Duels
45Duels55
31/71 (44%)Ground duels40/71 (56%)
27/58 (47%)Aerial duels31/58 (53%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles12/20 (60%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
16Tackles16
56Tackles won75
11Interceptions9
28Clearances26
52Recoveries59
Discipline
12Fouls8
4Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves7
1Big saves2
11Goal kicks10
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.87 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.81 @ efbet.net
1X2Draw 29% · 2.50 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.04 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.87 @ betfair
1X2Walsall to win 30% · 3.38 @ efbet.net
Who winsGillingham to win (DNB) 58% · 1.71 @ forbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.40 @ betfair
1X2Gillingham to win 41% · 2.90 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.60 @ tipico
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.34
Gillingham ▼
3.21
Draw
2.95
Walsall ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Gillingham or Draw ▼
1.31
Gillingham or Walsall
1.54
Draw or Walsall ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.96
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.74
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.18
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.74
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.47
Over 3.50 ▲
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.66
Gillingham ▼
2.12
Walsall ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.33
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.08
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.44
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.49
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50
1.88
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.27
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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