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Chris Hogg
Northampton Town
Swindon Town
Northampton Town
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Swindon Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4808 EUR · live
Over
3.15 · implied 31.7%
65.5%
+33.7 vs price
Under
1.5 · implied 66.7%
34.5%
-32.1 vs price
3 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'
M. Clark · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
51'
🔁
J. Hungbo ◂ L. Millard
67'
🔁
R. Tafazolli ◂ K. A. M. Majekodunmi
67'
🔁
O. Palmer ◂ O. Clarke
68'
🔁
J. Pearman ◂ B. Middlemas
71'
🔁
J. Perkins ◂ L. Evans
71'
🔁
H. Saunders ◂ M. Warhurst
73'
T. Nichols · Foul
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1
🔁
E. List ◂ L. Briggs
90'+1
🔁
L. Griffiths-Brown ◂ T. Nichols
90'+2
🔁
K. Swyer ◂ C. Lemonheigh-Evans
Coaches
Chris HoggIan Holloway 
Recent form
Northampton TownLALeicester City0-1
WASolihull Moors4-2
DACambridge United0-0
LHBirmingham City0-2
WASouthend United3-1
Swindon TownLACardiff City2-3
WAForest Green Rovers4-1
WHLeyton Orient2-1
LHBristol City1-3
LACrystal Palace1-5
Match facts
Stadium
Sixfields Stadium
City
Northampton
Referee
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Northampton Town
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Swindon Town
1
Z. Jeacock
6.6
44
J. Donacien
7.1
6
E. Moore
7.4
5
J. Guthrie
7.5
3
J. Maxwell
6.8
16
J. Wormleighton
7.2
21
J. Perkins
6.8
↑ 71'
14
T. Fornah
6.7
11
K. Swyer
↑ 90'
10
E. List
↑ 90'
32
H. Saunders
6.8
↑ 71'
1
C. Ripley
8.1
2
M. Clark
7.7
5
S. Negru
7.2
17
R. Tafazolli
7.1
↑ 67'
34
B. Kirkman
6.6
38
L. Griffiths-Brown
↑ 90'
15
J. Hungbo
6.3
↑ 51'
24
M. Virtue-Thick
7.1
28
O. Palmer
6.5
↑ 67'
22
J. Pearman
6.6
↑ 68'
23
A. Drinan
6.4
Substitutes
34GR. Fitzsimons
35DM. Dyche
8ML. Evans↓ 71'7.4
24MC. Lemonheigh-Evans↓ 90'6.6
20ML. Briggs↓ 90'6.2
9FM. Warhurst↓ 71'5.9
7FS. Hoskins
Coach: Chris Hogg
Substitutes
12GL. Ward
21DK. A. M. Majekodunmi↓ 67'7.6
20MB. Middlemas↓ 68'6.5
7MT. Nichols↓ 90'6.3
8MO. Clarke↓ 67'6.1
39FL. Millard↓ 51'6.1
Coach: Ian Holloway
Top stats
51%Possession49%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
11Total shots4
3Shots on target0
10Corners1
Shots
4Shots off target2
4Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box2
1Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
26Touches in box15
59Final third entries64
2Offsides4
6Free kicks7
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
385Passes370
263Accurate passes232
17/69 (25%)Long balls26/81 (32%)
5/18 (28%)Crosses3/11 (27%)
33Throw-ins27
Duels
52Duels48
33/64 (52%)Ground duels31/64 (48%)
36/69 (52%)Aerial duels33/69 (48%)
15/25 (60%)Dribbles2/7 (29%)
12Dispossessed8
Defending
13Tackles22
85Tackles won73
9Interceptions9
36Clearances30
55Recoveries57
Discipline
7Fouls6
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves3
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.36 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 28% · 2.62 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.76 @ betinasia
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 2.06 @ fanduel
Who winsNorthampton to win (DNB) 61% · 1.70 @ merkurxtip
1X2Northampton to win 44% · 2.68 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.05 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ betfred
1X2Swindon to win 28% · 3.61 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.17
Northampton Town
3.35
Draw ▲
3.15
Swindon Town ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.32
Northampton Town or Draw
1.29
Northampton Town or Swindon Town
1.62
Draw or Swindon Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.02
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.49
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50
3.43
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.88
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.16
Over 3.50 ▼
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.40
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.57
Northampton Town
2.28
Swindon Town
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
11.33
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.21
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
4.12
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.90
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50 ▲
2.15
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.01
Over 10.50
1.71
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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