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Steve Evans
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Newport County
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
41288 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
76.0%
-23.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
19.7%
+19.6 vs price
Draw
18.0 · implied 5.6%
6.3%
+0.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5113 EUR · live
Over
1.25 · implied 80.0%
71.6%
-8.4 vs price
Under
5.0 · implied 20.0%
28.3%
+8.3 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
H. Biggins · assist C. Doidge0–1
8'
C. Mola · Argument
14'
S. Evans · Argument
Half-time · 1–1
45'+1
⚽
B. Purrington1–1
53'
⚽
F. Cavegn · assist T. James2–1
57'
⚽
L. Jenkins3–1
61'
⚽
S. Gwengwe · assist C. Doidge3–2
74'
⚽
B. Kamwa · assist B. Young4–2
74'
🔁
D. Sassi ◂ C. Doidge
74'
🔁
A. Merritt ◂ T. Davies
74'
🔁
M. Smith ◂ C. Evans
75'
B. Kamwa
76'
C. Brennan · Argument
79'
🔁
J. Aitchison ◂ B. Kamwa
85'
🔁
C. Jarvis ◂ Y. Bamba
85'
🔁
R. Smallwood ◂ T. James
85'
🔁
R. Russell-Denny ◂ S. Forde
87'
🔁
E. Harrison ◂ T. Leigh
Full-time · 5–3
90'+1
⚽
C. Jarvis · assist A. Merritt4–3
90'+6
🔁
K. Pattern ◂ H. Biggins
90'+9
⚽
F. Cavegn · assist R. Russell-Denny5–3
Coaches
Steve EvansHayden Mullins 
Recent form
Bristol RoversLAYork City2-3
LHPeterborough United0-1
DAForest Green Rovers2-2
DHPortsmouth1-1
LHLeicester City1-2
Newport CountyWHRochdale3-0
DAAFC Wimbledon1-1
LHAS Roma1-4
WAYeovil Town2-1
LHReading0-4
Where to watch
Betano
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Newport County
1
B. Young
5.7
21
R. Smallwood
6.5
↑ 85'
4
K. Balmer
6.6
26
R. Harbottle
6.3
14
B. Purrington
7.0
6
C. Mola
6.3
22
K. Gough
6.8
8
R. Russell-Denny
6.6
↑ 85'
19
E. Harrison
7.2
↑ 87'
11
J. Aitchison
6.4
↑ 79'
29
F. Cavegn
9.4
1
J. Wright
6.8
22
C. Norman
5.8
5
L. Jenkins
5.4
4
K. Cameron
6.0
34
D. Sassi
5.9
↑ 74'
17
A. Merritt
5.8
↑ 74'
6
C. Brennan
6.5
40
C. Jarvis
7.3
↑ 85'
29
K. Pattern
↑ 90'
9
S. Gwengwe
7.0
8
M. Smith
6.5
↑ 74'
Substitutes
32GC. Binns
2DT. James↓ 85'6.7
17DC. Kelly
10MB. Kamwa↓ 79'7.4
24MT. Leigh↓ 87'7.3
7FS. Forde↓ 85'6.0
9FJ. Quigley
Coach: Steve Evans
Substitutes
25GJ. Turner
2DC. Evans↓ 74'6.9
3DT. Davies↓ 74'5.9
12DJ. Thomas
10MH. Biggins↓ 90'7.2
20MY. Bamba↓ 85'6.2
27FC. Doidge↓ 74'7.2
Coach: Hayden Mullins
Top stats
64%Possession36%
3.25Expected goals (xG)0.71
26Total shots8
9Shots on target3
5Big chances2
11Corners1
Shots
9Shots off target5
8Blocked shots0
19Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored2
3Big chances missed0
Attack
48Touches in box17
103Final third entries74
3Offsides5
8Free kicks6
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
367Passes216
242Accurate passes102
48/101 (48%)Long balls25/77 (32%)
4/28 (14%)Crosses1/7 (14%)
31Throw-ins25
Duels
48Duels52
21/50 (42%)Ground duels29/50 (58%)
42/82 (51%)Aerial duels40/82 (49%)
6/15 (40%)Dribbles3/5 (60%)
11Dispossessed5
Defending
7Tackles20
71Tackles won50
6Interceptions6
26Clearances59
47Recoveries43
Discipline
6Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves5
0Big saves1
3Goal kicks14
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsBristol Rovers to win (DNB) 75% · 1.33 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.81 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.48 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ 1xBet
1X2Bristol Rovers to win 47% · 2.05 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.70 @ forbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.40 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.08 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.40 @ Bet365
1X2Newport to win 28% · 4.90 @ bet9ja
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.61 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.66
Bristol Rovers ▲
3.82
Draw ▲
4.54
Newport County ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Bristol Rovers or Draw ▲
1.22
Bristol Rovers or Newport County ▲
2.07
Draw or Newport County ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.78
Yes ▲
1.91
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.95
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50 ▲
3.56
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.80
Over 2.50 ▲
1.92
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.99
Over 3.50 ▲
1.34
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.75
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.23
Bristol Rovers
3.78
Newport County
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
8.40
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.40
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.42
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.48
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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