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Matt Taylor
Exeter City
Accrington Stanley
Exeter City
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-1-2
Accrington Stanley
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1993 EUR
Home
2.08 · implied 48.1%
47.8%
-0.3 vs price
Away
3.9 · implied 25.6%
41.8%
+16.1 vs price
Draw
3.6 · implied 27.8%
10.6%
-17.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7830 EUR · live
Over
4.5 · implied 22.2%
80.1%
+57.9 vs price
Under
1.29 · implied 77.5%
19.9%
-57.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
305 EUR · live
Over
2.32 · implied 43.1%
56.0%
+12.9 vs price
Under
1.71 · implied 58.5%
43.6%
-14.9 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
J. Fitzwater · assist L. Woodhouse1–0
13'
⚽
S. Conneely2–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'+1
J. Woods · Foul
48'
J. Wareham · Foul
55'
V. Harper · Handball
63'
🔁
C. Stockton ◂ S. Whalley
68'
J. Fitzwater · Foul
70'
🔁
E. Sutherland ◂ V. Harper
70'
🔁
S. Cox ◂ J. Gordon
78'
🔁
S. Mols ◂ C. Caton
78'
🔁
L. Coyle ◂ S. Conneely
78'
🔁
A. Henderson ◂ C. O'Brien
81'
🔁
G. Birch ◂ R. Cole
81'
🔁
T. Perry ◂ J. Doyle-Hayes
85'
T. Moore · Foul
89'
🔁
C. Brown ◂ C. Stockton
89'
🔁
A. Oluwabori ◂ G. Edwards
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Matt TaylorJohn Doolan 
Recent form
Exeter CityLAGrimsby Town0-1
LAPlymouth Argyle0-2
DHBristol City1-1
LATorquay United1-2
WAWeston Super Mare2-0
Accrington StanleyDHColchester United2-2
LACrewe Alexandra1-2
DHSheffield Wednesday0-0
WHBury FC1-0
WAChorley FC3-0
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Exeter City
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-1-2
Accrington Stanley
1
J. Bycroft
6.7
40
E. James
6.9
5
J. Fitzwater
8.3
3
L. Woodhouse
8.7
11
A. Oluwabori
↑ 89'
20
G. Birch
6.8
↑ 81'
16
C. Cummins
7.4
23
E. Sutherland
6.8
↑ 70'
8
T. Perry
6.6
↑ 81'
9
J. Wareham
6.1
19
S. Cox
6.6
↑ 70'
1
L. Moulden
7.3
4
T. Moore
6.5
5
F. Rawson
6.8
17
D. Matthews
7.1
10
A. Henderson
6.6
↑ 78'
2
D. Love
6.5
14
S. Mols
6.4
↑ 78'
22
J. Anderson
6.7
13
C. Stockton
6.4
↑ 63'
39
J. Woods
6.7
6
L. Coyle
6.5
↑ 78'
Substitutes
22GF. Phillips
2DL. Samuel
31MJ. Doyle-Hayes↓ 81'7.4
7MG. Edwards↓ 89'7.0
12MR. Cole↓ 81'6.6
24MV. Harper↓ 70'6.4
10FJ. Gordon↓ 70'5.8
Coach: Matt Taylor
Substitutes
21GJ. Rogerson
3DF. Sass
38MC. O'Brien↓ 78'6.3
28MS. Conneely↓ 78'6.2
20MC. Brown↑ 89'
7FS. Whalley↓ 63'6.0
18FC. Caton↓ 78'5.7
Coach: John Doolan
Top stats
36%Possession64%
2.27Expected goals (xG)0.29
19Total shots14
5Shots on target2
2Big chances1
9Corners1
Shots
9Shots off target4
5Blocked shots8
15Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box8
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed1
Attack
27Touches in box21
89Final third entries75
0Offsides4
12Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
232Passes421
125Accurate passes301
24/77 (31%)Long balls33/79 (42%)
7/21 (33%)Crosses7/16 (44%)
35Throw-ins29
Duels
53Duels47
26/51 (51%)Ground duels25/51 (49%)
42/78 (54%)Aerial duels36/78 (46%)
2/7 (29%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)
5Dispossessed5
Defending
12Tackles10
33Tackles won70
5Interceptions7
49Clearances49
37Recoveries40
Discipline
13Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
1Big saves1
10Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
Who winsExeter to win (DNB) 67% · 1.49 @ forbet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.17 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.33 @ Betway
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Interwetten
1X2Accrington to win 31% · 4.10 @ betcity
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.15 @ 888Sport
1X2Exeter to win 41% · 2.38 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.61 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
Exeter City ▼
3.37
Draw ▼
3.61
Accrington Stanley ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Exeter City or Draw ▲
1.28
Exeter City or Accrington Stanley ▲
1.75
Draw or Accrington Stanley ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▼
1.96
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.40
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▲
3.35
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.89
Over 2.50 ▲
1.82
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.19
Over 3.50 ▲
1.30
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.25
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.39
Exeter City
2.77
Accrington Stanley
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.80
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.70
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.55
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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