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Matt Lawlor
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Gillingham
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
54889 EUR · live
Home
13.0 · implied 7.7%
79.2%
+71.5 vs price
Away
13.0 · implied 7.7%
11.6%
+3.9 vs price
Draw
1.12 · implied 89.3%
9.5%
-79.8 vs price
Half time
79 EUR · live
Away
6.8 · implied 14.7%
75.5%
+60.8 vs price
Draw
2.1 · implied 47.6%
22.7%
-25.0 vs price
Home
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7120 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.5%
-12.5 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
13.5%
+11.5 vs price
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
30'
R. Bennett · Foul
41'
K. Harris · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
58'
J. Brophy · Foul
70'
🔁
C. McManus ◂ K. Harris
72'
🔁
D. Andrew ◂ R. Cirino
73'
🔁
C. McLean ◂ A. Cannon
73'
🔁
A. Loupalo-Bi ◂ W. Davies
84'
🔁
C. Antwi ◂ J. Brophy
84'
🔁
S. Kendall ◂ R. Hale
88'
🔁
H. Waldock ◂ R. McKenzie
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Matt LawlorGareth Ainsworth 
Recent form
Fleetwood TownWAChesterfield1-0
WHChesterfield1-0
LAHartlepool United0-1
DHBolton Wanderers1-1
WHHuddersfield Town2-1
GillinghamLHWalsall0-3
LHLuton Town0-3
WAEbbsfleet United2-1
WHMillwall1-0
LHCharlton Athletic0-1
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Gillingham
1
J. Lynch
7.3
26
S. Rooney
7.5
6
R. Bennett
6.7
5
F. Potter
6.7
4
H. Neal
7.4
3
D. Andrew
6.7
↑ 72'
27
C. McLean
6.8
↑ 73'
10
M. Helm
6.9
14
L. McCann
6.8
17
C. Evans
6.2
20
A. Loupalo-Bi
6.5
↑ 73'
40
A. Maynard-Brewer
6.3
5
A. Smith
7.1
19
O. Beckles
7.6
26
L. Dobbs
7.4
22
N. Freeman
8.0
15
Z. Albarus
7.1
24
H. Waldock
6.7
↑ 88'
3
C. McManus
6.9
↑ 70'
17
C. Antwi
6.7
↑ 84'
18
S. Kendall
6.7
↑ 84'
9
W. Goodwin
6.0
Substitutes
22GJ. Pradic
29DR. Cirino↓ 72'7.1
36DJ. Dempsey
7MA. Cannon↓ 73'6.6
35MS. Costelloe
15MA. Murphy
9FW. Davies↓ 73'6.2
Coach: Matt Lawlor
Substitutes
13GT. Holtam
29DH. Webster
16MJ. Brophy↓ 84'7.2
14MR. McKenzie↓ 88'7.1
7MK. Harris↓ 70'6.0
10FR. Hale↓ 84'6.5
30FS. Booth
Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Top stats
64%Possession36%
1.68Expected goals (xG)0.86
17Total shots9
0Shots on target3
0Big chances1
10Corners2
Shots
11Shots off target4
6Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box5
9Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork2
0Big chances missed1
Attack
23Touches in box9
77Final third entries59
15Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
419Passes251
324Accurate passes154
17/56 (30%)Long balls24/85 (28%)
5/40 (13%)Crosses3/13 (23%)
37Throw-ins17
Duels
44Duels56
33/70 (47%)Ground duels37/70 (53%)
15/38 (39%)Aerial duels23/38 (61%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
14Dispossessed9
Defending
15Tackles21
93Tackles won86
3Interceptions11
13Clearances52
57Recoveries53
Discipline
13Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves0
7Goal kicks16
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
1X2Fleetwood to win 53% · 2.50 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.87 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.51 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.33 @ tipico
Who winsFleetwood to win (DNB) 62% · 1.60 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.30 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.16 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
1X2Gillingham to win 21% · 4.03 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.98
Fleetwood Town ▼
3.42
Draw ▲
3.48
Gillingham ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.27
Fleetwood Town or Draw ▼
1.27
Fleetwood Town or Gillingham ▼
1.73
Draw or Gillingham ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes ▲
1.94
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.93
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▼
3.31
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.91
Over 2.50 ▼
1.81
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.24
Over 3.50 ▼
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.40
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.50
Fleetwood Town ▼
2.41
Gillingham ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
8.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
5.15
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.33
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.40
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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