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Jon Brady
Port Vale
Tranmere Rovers
Port Vale
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Tranmere Rovers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
23830 EUR · live
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
56.7%
-36.7 vs price
Home
10.0 · implied 10.0%
36.9%
+26.9 vs price
Away
18.0 · implied 5.6%
6.8%
+1.2 vs price
Half time
72 EUR · live
Away
44.0 · implied 2.3%
58.3%
+56.0 vs price
Home
2.72 · implied 36.8%
40.3%
+3.5 vs price
Draw
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23056 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
50.3%
-35.1 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
49.7%
+35.4 vs price
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
K. Dempsey · Foul
18'
⚽
G. Byers (pen)1–0
27'
🔁
R. Walters ◂ G. Byers
Half-time · 1–0
53'
🔁
J. Turnbull ◂ H. Male
59'
🔁
J. Slater ◂ P. Brough
59'
🔁
S. Finley ◂ T. Conlon
68'
N. Smith · Foul
72'
⚽
T. Ince1–1
75'
🔁
T. Simpson ◂ O. Lynch
79'
J. Ironside · Foul
83'
🔁
B. Garrity ◂ M. Faal
83'
🔁
C. Hall ◂ L. Montsma
84'
🔁
C. Veevers ◂ Z. Okoro
84'
🔁
B. Waine ◂ G. Hall
86'
B. Garrity · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
90'+10
S. Finley · Foul
Coaches
Jon BradyDarrell Clarke 
Recent form
Port ValeLAOldham Athletic0-2
LAWolverhampton0-3
WABlackpool1-0
WHReal Murcia1-0
DHBournemouth U211-1
Tranmere RoversWHShrewsbury Town2-0
DHRochdale2-2
WHBlackpool2-0
DHGrimsby Town1-1
LAMilton Keynes Dons0-3
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Port Vale
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Tranmere Rovers
1
J. Smith
6.8
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
7.6
25
C. Humphreys
6.8
5
C. Hall
6.6
↑ 83'
15
L. Gordon
6.5
10
K. Dempsey
6.3
38
R. Walters
7.0
↑ 27'
11
O. Hernández
7.0
17
T. Simpson
6.3
↑ 75'
19
B. Waine
6.4
↑ 84'
8
B. Garrity
6.6
↑ 83'
4
J. Turnbull
7.0
↑ 53'
2
J. Senior
6.2
16
B. Faulkner
6.6
5
N. Smith
7.0
3
J. Slater
7.0
↑ 59'
6
W. Vaulks
7.2
8
S. Finley
6.7
↑ 59'
15
J. Davies
6.5
10
T. Ince
7.4
20
C. Veevers
6.6
↑ 84'
9
J. Ironside
6.1
Substitutes
13GM. Terry
22DL. Montsma↓ 83'6.7
7MG. Byers↓ 27'7.3
33MG. Hall↓ 84'6.9
3MJ. Headley
14FO. Lynch↓ 75'6.3
9FM. Faal↓ 83'6.0
Coach: Jon Brady
Substitutes
12GH. Male↓ 53'6.9
23DP. Brough↓ 59'6.3
14DO. Scott
22DL. O'Connor
11MT. Conlon↓ 59'6.4
17MZ. Okoro↓ 84'6.3
27FS. Mann
Coach: Darrell Clarke
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
9Total shots6
4Shots on target4
2Big chances2
4Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target1
1Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box4
1Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
21Touches in box10
76Final third entries64
0Offsides5
16Free kicks19
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
333Passes317
232Accurate passes201
23/81 (28%)Long balls28/96 (29%)
4/22 (18%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
27Throw-ins20
Duels
48Duels52
39/86 (45%)Ground duels47/86 (55%)
31/59 (53%)Aerial duels28/59 (47%)
12/29 (41%)Dribbles0/8 (0%)
11Dispossessed2
Defending
10Tackles28
80Tackles won71
6Interceptions7
27Clearances26
41Recoveries47
Discipline
19Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
5Goal kicks10
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsPort Vale to win (DNB) 72% · 1.38 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.14 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.03 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.61 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.80 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Tranmere to win 29% · 5.00 @ betcity
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
1X2Port Vale to win 43% · 2.18 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.74
Port Vale ▲
3.47
Draw ▲
4.53
Tranmere Rovers ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Port Vale or Draw
1.26
Port Vale or Tranmere Rovers
1.96
Draw or Tranmere Rovers ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.94
Yes
1.76
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.03
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.04
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.60
Over 3.50 ▼
1.24
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.25
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
Port Vale
3.28
Tranmere Rovers ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
1.00
Over 3.50
15.25
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
11.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50
7.20
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
4.56
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
2.99
Under 7.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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