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Ian Watson
Rochdale
Crawley Town
Rochdale
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Crawley Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
24719 EUR · live
Away
1.1 · implied 90.9%
51.9%
-39.0 vs price
Home
22.0 · implied 4.5%
40.9%
+36.4 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
7.1%
+2.6 vs price
Half time
50 EUR
Away
1.47 · implied 68.0%
55.8%
-12.2 vs price
Home
2.5 · implied 40.0%
49.8%
+9.8 vs price
Draw
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3417 EUR · live
Over
1.99 · implied 50.3%
70.2%
+19.9 vs price
Under
2.12 · implied 47.2%
29.8%
-17.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
218 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
83.2%
-6.1 vs price
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
16.5%
+2.7 vs price
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
P. Aderoju0–1
13'
P. Farquharson · Foul
28'
D. Moss · Foul
34'
K. Wilson · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'
C. Kazim-Richards · Time wasting
45'+1
S. Sherring · Foul
48'
J. Russell · Foul
48'
J. Arthurs · Argument
54'
⚽
E. Ebanks-Landell · assist R. East1–1
63'
🔁
L. Richards ◂ J. Russell
69'
L. Watson · Argument
69'
N. Ramming · Argument
72'
⚽
L. Watson (pen)1–2
82'
🔁
B. Adeeko ◂ E. Francis
82'
🔁
K. Taylor ◂ R. East
87'
🔁
I. Henderson ◂ H. Gilmour
87'
🔁
Z. Silcott-Duberry ◂ D. Moss
89'
🔁
K. Krasniqi ◂ K. Jennings
Full-time · 1–2
90'+3
🔁
D. Orsi-Dadomo ◂ P. Aderoju
Coaches
Ian WatsonColin Kazim-Richards 
Recent form
RochdaleLANewport County0-3
LABradford City0-2
DATranmere Rovers2-2
LHFC Halifax Town2-3
DHFarnham Town2-2
Crawley TownLHCrewe Alexandra0-1
LAWatford0-1
WAYork City2-0
LHReading0-1
LAOxford United1-3
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Rochdale
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Crawley Town
1
N. Ramming
6.5
26
S. Sherring
6.4
6
E. Ebanks-Landell
7.7
3
K. Wilson
6.1
40
I. Henderson
6.4
↑ 87'
11
Z. Silcott-Duberry
6.6
↑ 87'
21
K. Taylor
6.7
↑ 82'
13
T. Adebayo-Rowling
6.3
39
D. Brown
6.5
17
B. Adeeko
6.6
↑ 82'
9
E. Dieseruvwe
6.4
13
N. Michalski
6.4
24
A. Odimayo
6.5
6
P. Farquharson
6.7
5
C. Barker
6.7
12
L. Richards
6.7
↑ 63'
22
A. Adeyemo
6.5
20
J. Arthurs
6.4
25
K. Krasniqi
6.6
↑ 89'
17
O. Kamara
6.8
8
L. Watson
7.0
9
D. Orsi-Dadomo
↑ 90'
Substitutes
20GS. Waller
4MR. East↓ 82'7.0
14ME. Francis↓ 82'6.9
8MH. Gilmour↓ 87'6.5
22MD. Moss↓ 87'6.3
18MJ. Smith
19ML. Hanannt
Coach: Ian Watson
Substitutes
31GJ. Izquierdo
16DJ. Russell↓ 63'6.4
4DP. Arganese-McDermott
30MK. Jennings↓ 89'6.6
28MN. Tinsdale
11FP. Aderoju↓ 90'8.1
14FG. D. Biase
Coach: Colin Kazim-Richards
Top stats
54%Possession46%
1.05Expected goals (xG)2.82
7Total shots12
3Shots on target2
2Big chances3
5Corners3
Shots
2Shots off target5
2Blocked shots5
7Shots inside box8
0Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed1
Attack
12Touches in box17
59Final third entries56
4Offsides0
14Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
389Passes338
330Accurate passes266
29/59 (49%)Long balls19/63 (30%)
6/27 (22%)Crosses5/12 (42%)
19Throw-ins18
Duels
47Duels53
25/58 (43%)Ground duels33/58 (57%)
12/20 (60%)Aerial duels8/20 (40%)
3/9 (33%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
11Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles17
67Tackles won59
4Interceptions7
25Clearances30
40Recoveries46
Discipline
12Fouls14
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
7Goal kicks4
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
1X2Rochdale to win 62% · 2.50 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.44 @ Novibet
Who winsRochdale to win (DNB) 65% · 1.53 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.33 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.38 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.08 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 23% · 2.60 @ msport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.77 @ 10bet
1X2Crawley to win 15% · 3.80 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
Rochdale ▼
3.41
Draw ▼
3.56
Crawley Town ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
Rochdale or Draw ▲
1.27
Rochdale or Crawley Town
1.75
Draw or Crawley Town ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.69
Yes ▼
2.03
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.45
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50 ▼
3.55
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.82
Over 2.50 ▼
1.90
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.02
Over 3.50 ▲
1.33
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.78
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.43
Rochdale ▲
2.61
Crawley Town ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.80
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.70
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.65
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50
2.60
Under 8.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Rochdale to win or draw
✗
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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