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Jon Brady
Port Vale
Crewe Alexandra
Port Vale
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Crewe Alexandra
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
14405 EUR · live
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
48.3%
-46.0 vs price
Home
24.0 · implied 4.2%
32.9%
+28.8 vs price
Away
21.0 · implied 4.8%
18.8%
+14.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6699 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
52.6%
-46.4 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
48.0%
+47.2 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
63'
🔁
R. Croasdale ◂ B. Garrity
70'
🔁
J. Headley ◂ O. Lynch
70'
🔁
T. Simpson ◂ B. Waine
78'
🔁
J. White ◂ J. Lankester
78'
🔁
C. Agius ◂ J. Gibson
80'
M. Demetriou · Foul
87'
🔁
A. Thibaut ◂ J. Tabiner
87'
🔁
C. McNeill ◂ J. March
88'
🔁
M. Craig ◂ R. Walters
Full-time · 0–0
90'+4
🔁
C. Thomas ◂ M. Demetriou
Coaches
Jon BradyLee Bell 
Recent form
Port ValeDHTranmere Rovers1-1
LAOldham Athletic0-2
LAWolverhampton0-3
WABlackpool1-0
WHReal Murcia1-0
Crewe AlexandraLABarnsley2-3
WHNorthampton Town1-0
WACrawley Town1-0
WHAccrington Stanley2-1
DAChester FC0-0
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Port Vale
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Crewe Alexandra
1
J. Smith
7.2
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
7.4
25
C. Humphreys
7.4
5
C. Hall
7.3
15
L. Gordon
7.0
37
M. Craig
↑ 88'
10
K. Dempsey
7.1
11
O. Hernández
6.9
18
R. Croasdale
6.6
↑ 63'
3
J. Headley
6.6
↑ 70'
17
T. Simpson
6.4
↑ 70'
1
T. Booth
6.6
2
L. Billington
6.8
8
C. Thomas
↑ 90'
12
J. Stephenson
6.8
3
R. Hutchinson
6.9
6
L. Offord
6.8
17
M. Holíček
7.3
23
C. McNeill
↑ 87'
20
C. Agius
6.6
↑ 78'
10
J. White
6.5
↑ 78'
29
A. Thibaut
↑ 87'
Substitutes
13GM. Terry
22DL. Montsma
12DA. McGowan
38MR. Walters↓ 88'7.0
8MB. Garrity↓ 63'6.3
14FO. Lynch↓ 70'6.7
19FB. Waine↓ 70'6.5
Coach: Jon Brady
Substitutes
13GI. Lawlor
5DM. Demetriou↓ 90'8.1
14MJ. Gibson↓ 78'7.1
7MJ. Lankester↓ 78'6.6
11MJ. Tabiner↓ 87'6.6
4MK. Ure
9FJ. March↓ 87'6.9
Coach: Lee Bell
Top stats
60%Possession40%
1.58Expected goals (xG)1.32
11Total shots14
4Shots on target3
2Big chances0
3Corners1
Shots
4Shots off target6
3Blocked shots5
8Shots inside box9
3Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed0
Attack
20Touches in box18
66Final third entries47
0Offsides3
15Free kicks15
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
452Passes307
376Accurate passes230
16/54 (30%)Long balls20/68 (29%)
6/28 (21%)Crosses3/15 (20%)
22Throw-ins14
Duels
49Duels51
28/64 (44%)Ground duels36/64 (56%)
21/37 (57%)Aerial duels16/37 (43%)
3/13 (23%)Dribbles6/12 (50%)
6Dispossessed4
Defending
10Tackles16
40Tackles won44
5Interceptions7
22Clearances28
42Recoveries44
Discipline
15Fouls15
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
6Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsCrewe to win (DNB) 54% · 2.25 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.53 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.33 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.18 @ William Hill
1X2Crewe to win 30% · 3.43 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.15 @ William Hill
1X2Port Vale to win 42% · 2.55 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
Port Vale
3.40
Draw
3.04
Crewe Alexandra
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Port Vale or Draw
1.25
Port Vale or Crewe Alexandra
1.62
Draw or Crewe Alexandra
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.05
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.95
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.70
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50
3.48
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.89
Over 2.50
1.87
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.37
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.61
Port Vale
2.20
Crewe Alexandra
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.34
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.51
Over 8.50
2.41
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.34
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.04
Over 11.50
1.30
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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