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Danny Cowley
Colchester United
Rochdale
Colchester United
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Rochdale
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
29438 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
62.5%
-31.8 vs price
Draw
12.0 · implied 8.3%
26.2%
+17.8 vs price
Away
80.0 · implied 1.2%
11.3%
+10.1 vs price
Half time
277 EUR · live
Home
2.94 · implied 34.0%
75.2%
+41.2 vs price
Away
5.6 · implied 17.9%
24.2%
+6.4 vs price
Draw
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
66 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
89.3%
-0.0 vs price
Over
9.0 · implied 11.1%
23.1%
+12.0 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'
R. Hunt · Foul
40'
H. Gilmour · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
57'
🔁
J. Williams ◂ O. Thorn
57'
🔁
L. Chiwome ◂ B. Ihionvien
69'
🔁
L. Hanannt ◂ Z. Silcott-Duberry
71'
I. Watson · Argument
74'
🔁
F. Terry ◂ M. Sesay
79'
🔁
J. Smith ◂ K. Taylor
79'
🔁
E. Francis ◂ H. Gilmour
80'
D. Moss · Foul
85'
🔁
K. Connolly ◂ R. Hunt
87'
⚽
J. Williams · assist K. Vincent-Young1–0
88'
🔁
E. Dieseruvwe ◂ R. East
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Danny CowleyIan Watson 
Recent form
Colchester UnitedWHOldham Athletic2-1
DAAccrington Stanley2-2
LHSouthampton0-2
LAStevenage0-1
LHCharlton Athletic0-2
RochdaleLHCrawley Town1-2
LANewport County0-3
LABradford City0-2
DATranmere Rovers2-2
LHFC Halifax Town2-3
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Colchester United
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Rochdale
22
T. Lo-Tutala
7.2
30
K. Vincent-Young
7.5
5
J. Tucker
6.9
20
S. Raggett
7.1
3
E. Iandolo
7.4
24
F. Terry
6.9
↑ 74'
39
K. Connolly
6.5
↑ 85'
11
L. Chiwome
6.4
↑ 57'
10
J. Payne
6.8
7
H. Anderson
7.1
17
J. Williams
7.8
↑ 57'
1
N. Ramming
7.2
22
D. Moss
7.0
26
S. Sherring
6.4
6
E. Ebanks-Landell
7.4
3
K. Wilson
6.3
17
B. Adeeko
6.5
18
J. Smith
6.3
↑ 79'
14
E. Francis
6.4
↑ 79'
9
E. Dieseruvwe
6.5
↑ 88'
19
L. Hanannt
6.4
↑ 69'
39
D. Brown
6.3
Substitutes
1GT. Smith
2DR. Hunt↓ 85'6.7
44DS. Kuffour
12MM. Sesay↓ 74'7.2
27MO. Thorn↓ 57'6.5
6MP. Digby
9FB. Ihionvien↓ 57'6.5
Coach: Danny Cowley
Substitutes
20GS. Waller
8MH. Gilmour↓ 79'6.8
4MR. East↓ 88'6.7
21MK. Taylor↓ 79'6.2
13MT. Adebayo-Rowling
11FZ. Silcott-Duberry↓ 69'6.3
40FI. Henderson
Coach: Ian Watson
Top stats
49%Possession51%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
11Total shots11
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
5Corners3
Shots
1Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed1
Attack
25Touches in box18
82Final third entries55
5Offsides1
15Free kicks10
5Fouled in final third1
Passing
374Passes397
289Accurate passes298
20/66 (30%)Long balls16/69 (23%)
5/22 (23%)Crosses8/18 (44%)
34Throw-ins19
Duels
52Duels48
25/54 (46%)Ground duels28/53 (53%)
23/39 (59%)Aerial duels17/40 (43%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles4/6 (67%)
10Dispossessed5
Defending
7Tackles15
57Tackles won53
11Interceptions5
15Clearances20
39Recoveries37
Discipline
10Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
6Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsRochdale to win (DNB) 52% · 2.70 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.52 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Rochdale to win 30% · 3.44 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.95 @ Pinnacle
1X2Colchester to win 42% · 2.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.17 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.23
Colchester United
3.30
Draw
3.10
Rochdale
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Colchester United or Draw
1.28
Colchester United or Rochdale
1.57
Draw or Rochdale
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.93
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.33
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.95
Over 2.50
1.82
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.40
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.62
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Colchester United
2.50
Rochdale
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.30
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.47
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.88
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.27
Over 10.50
1.52
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.02
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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