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Colin Kazim-Richards
Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
Crawley Town
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Bristol Rovers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
49616 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.2%
-12.8 vs price
Home
800.0 · implied 0.1%
10.2%
+10.0 vs price
Draw
65.0 · implied 1.5%
3.6%
+2.1 vs price
Half time
759 EUR · live
Draw
2.42 · implied 41.3%
81.3%
+39.9 vs price
Away
1.2 · implied 83.3%
51.9%
-31.4 vs price
Home
6.2 · implied 16.1%
23.3%
+7.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6896 EUR · live
Over
13.5 · implied 7.4%
53.1%
+45.7 vs price
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
46.9%
-45.7 vs price
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
⚽
T. James0–1
29'
T. Leigh · Time wasting
31'
L. Watson · Foul
41'
⚽
B. Kamwa · assist K. Balmer0–2
43'
K. Balmer · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
D. Morgan ◂ A. Odimayo
48'
K. Krasniqi · Foul
57'
🔁
D. Orsi-Dadomo ◂ K. Krasniqi
57'
🔁
T. Ewens-Findlay ◂ A. Adeyemo
68'
T. James · Foul
80'
🔁
G. D. Biase ◂ J. Russell
80'
🔁
L. Richards ◂ O. Kamara
81'
R. Harbottle · Foul
89'
D. Morgan · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
90'+1
🔁
E. Harrison ◂ F. Cavegn
90'+4
🔁
J. Aitchison ◂ T. Leigh
Coaches
Colin Kazim-RichardsSteve Evans 
Recent form
Crawley TownWARochdale2-1
LHCrewe Alexandra0-1
LAWatford0-1
WAYork City2-0
LHReading0-1
Bristol RoversWHNewport County5-3
LAYork City2-3
LHPeterborough United0-1
DAForest Green Rovers2-2
DHPortsmouth1-1
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Crawley Town
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Bristol Rovers
13
N. Michalski
6.8
27
D. Morgan
7.2
↑ 46'
6
P. Farquharson
6.8
5
C. Barker
6.7
12
L. Richards
6.7
↑ 80'
35
T. Ewens-Findlay
6.6
↑ 57'
20
J. Arthurs
6.9
9
D. Orsi-Dadomo
6.3
↑ 57'
14
G. D. Biase
6.6
↑ 80'
8
L. Watson
6.9
11
P. Aderoju
7.1
1
B. Young
6.5
2
T. James
8.1
4
K. Balmer
8.0
26
R. Harbottle
7.0
14
B. Purrington
7.4
6
C. Mola
6.8
21
R. Smallwood
7.7
7
S. Forde
6.8
11
J. Aitchison
↑ 90'
10
B. Kamwa
7.3
19
E. Harrison
↑ 90'
Substitutes
31GJ. Izquierdo
24DA. Odimayo↓ 46'6.4
16DJ. Russell↓ 80'6.4
25MK. Krasniqi↓ 57'6.9
22MA. Adeyemo↓ 57'6.0
28MN. Tinsdale
17FO. Kamara↓ 80'6.3
Coach: Colin Kazim-Richards
Substitutes
32GC. Binns
17DC. Kelly
24MT. Leigh↓ 90'6.8
8MR. Russell-Denny
29FF. Cavegn↓ 90'6.5
27FP. Sanyaolu
9FJ. Quigley
Coach: Steve Evans
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.85Expected goals (xG)4.14
8Total shots27
1Shots on target5
1Big chances3
2Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target9
2Blocked shots13
4Shots inside box18
4Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed3
Attack
17Touches in box41
60Final third entries92
2Offsides5
16Free kicks6
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
419Passes266
322Accurate passes169
14/60 (23%)Long balls26/75 (35%)
3/17 (18%)Crosses10/24 (42%)
26Throw-ins32
Duels
49Duels50
37/75 (49%)Ground duels38/76 (50%)
21/43 (49%)Aerial duels22/43 (51%)
8/17 (47%)Dribbles10/17 (59%)
13Dispossessed6
Defending
13Tackles22
54Tackles won64
6Interceptions8
42Clearances23
45Recoveries61
Discipline
6Fouls16
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
3Saves0
14Goal kicks3
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Bristol Rovers to win 44% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.77 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.00 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle
Who winsCrawley to win (DNB) 52% · 2.20 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Crawley to win 29% · 3.50 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.20
Crawley Town
3.48
Draw
2.15
Bristol Rovers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.67
Crawley Town or Draw
1.25
Crawley Town or Bristol Rovers
1.30
Draw or Bristol Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.22
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50
1.98
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.99
Over 3.50
1.35
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.68
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.15
Crawley Town
1.61
Bristol Rovers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.55
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.02
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.08
Over 10.50
1.67
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.62
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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