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Gareth Ainsworth
Gillingham
Northampton Town
Gillingham
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Northampton Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
23356 EUR · live
Away
17.5 · implied 5.7%
64.4%
+58.7 vs price
Home
20.0 · implied 5.0%
18.1%
+13.1 vs price
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
17.5%
-74.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7864 EUR · live
Over
12.5 · implied 8.0%
54.5%
+46.5 vs price
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
45.5%
-46.2 vs price
4 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
R. McKenzie · Foul
7'
⚽
C. McManus · assist N. Freeman1–0
14'
O. Beckles · Foul
26'
T. Fornah · Foul
27'
🔁
S. Hoskins ◂ J. Wormleighton
36'
⚽
L. Briggs1–1
Half-time · 1–1
54'
J. Maxwell · Foul
55'
🔁
C. Antwi ◂ R. McKenzie
58'
🔁
N. Opoku ◂ M. Warhurst
70'
🔁
M. Dyche ◂ J. Donacien
72'
L. Briggs · Foul
79'
M. Dyche · Foul
81'
🔁
L. Sillah ◂ R. Hale
81'
🔁
G. McCleary ◂ W. Goodwin
82'
🔁
S. Kendall ◂ C. McManus
Full-time · 1–1
90'+6
🔁
H. Webster ◂ J. Brophy
Coaches
Chris Hogg 
Recent form
DAFleetwood Town0-0
LHWalsall0-3
LHLuton Town0-3
WAEbbsfleet United2-1
WHMillwall1-0
LACrewe Alexandra0-1
DHSwindon Town0-0
LALeicester City0-1
WASolihull Moors4-2
DACambridge United0-0
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
1
O. Wright
6.2
5
A. Smith
6.5
19
O. Beckles
6.9
26
L. Dobbs
7.0
22
N. Freeman
7.1
24
H. Waldock
6.3
17
C. Antwi
6.7
↑ 55'
18
S. Kendall
6.5
↑ 82'
12
G. McCleary
6.6
↑ 81'
29
H. Webster
↑ 90'
11
L. Sillah
6.5
↑ 81'
1
Z. Jeacock
6.7
35
M. Dyche
6.6
↑ 70'
6
E. Moore
6.8
5
J. Guthrie
6.8
3
J. Maxwell
6.2
7
S. Hoskins
6.6
↑ 27'
8
L. Evans
6.3
4
J. O. Whitmarsh
6.0
20
L. Briggs
7.0
14
T. Fornah
6.4
17
N. Opoku
6.4
↑ 58'
Substitutes
13GT. Holtam
3DC. McManus↓ 82'7.7
16MJ. Brophy↓ 90'8.0
14MR. McKenzie↓ 55'6.4
9FW. Goodwin↓ 81'7.0
10FR. Hale↓ 81'6.5
30FS. Booth
Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Substitutes
34GR. Fitzsimons
44DJ. Donacien↓ 70'6.6
15DC. McCarthy
16MJ. Wormleighton↓ 27'6.3
9FM. Warhurst↓ 58'6.5
11FK. Swyer
32FH. Saunders
Coach: Chris Hogg
Top stats
55%Possession45%
0.38Expected goals (xG)0.34
11Total shots5
3Shots on target1
1Big chances1
4Corners4
Shots
4Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box4
4Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
14Touches in box14
73Final third entries57
3Offsides2
16Free kicks10
6Fouled in final third2
Passing
385Passes312
263Accurate passes222
21/84 (25%)Long balls14/69 (20%)
4/15 (27%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
36Throw-ins27
Duels
60Duels40
40/67 (60%)Ground duels27/67 (40%)
30/50 (60%)Aerial duels20/50 (40%)
6/6 (100%)Dribbles5/14 (36%)
13Dispossessed10
Defending
19Tackles13
79Tackles won38
6Interceptions4
13Clearances41
41Recoveries36
Discipline
10Fouls16
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks11
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Unibet
1X2Northampton to win 35% · 3.00 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ betfair
Who winsGillingham to win (DNB) 61% · 1.95 @ Betsson
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.19 @ 1xBet
1X2Gillingham to win 36% · 2.90 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.60
Gillingham
3.25
Draw
2.62
Northampton Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Gillingham or Draw
1.29
Gillingham or Northampton Town
1.44
Draw or Northampton Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes
1.98
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.95
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.27
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.79
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.52
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.06
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.91
Gillingham
1.82
Northampton Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50
2.55
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.16
Over 10.50
1.59
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.79
Over 11.50
1.35
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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