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Hayden Mullins
Newport County
Tranmere Rovers
Newport County
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Tranmere Rovers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
23522 EUR · live
Away
14.5 · implied 6.9%
65.2%
+58.3 vs price
Home
16.5 · implied 6.1%
19.5%
+13.5 vs price
Draw
1.12 · implied 89.3%
15.3%
-74.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8513 EUR · live
Over
2.14 · implied 46.7%
56.2%
+9.4 vs price
Under
1.87 · implied 53.5%
43.8%
-9.6 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
S. Gwengwe · assist H. Biggins1–0
15'
J. Slater · Foul
43'
C. Doidge · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
D. Sassi ◂ A. Merritt
54'
🔁
C. Jarvis ◂ C. Doidge
65'
🔁
J. Turnbull ◂ J. Slater
66'
🔁
S. Finley ◂ T. Conlon
66'
🔁
D. Jones ◂ N. Smith
71'
🔁
K. Evans ◂ Y. Bamba
71'
🔁
M. M. Dibley-Dias ◂ C. Evans
71'
⚽
Z. Okoro · assist J. Senior1–1
73'
T. Ince · Foul
75'
⚽
D. Jones1–2
78'
🔁
J. Thomas ◂ C. Brennan
78'
🔁
L. O'Connor ◂ C. Whitaker
80'
🔁
P. Brough ◂ Z. Okoro
84'
M. M. Dibley-Dias · Foul
Full-time · 2–2
90'
⚽
S. Gwengwe2–2
Coaches
Darrell Clarke 
Recent form
LABristol Rovers3-5
WHRochdale3-0
DAAFC Wimbledon1-1
LHAS Roma1-4
WAYeovil Town2-1
DAPort Vale1-1
WHShrewsbury Town2-0
DHRochdale2-2
WHBlackpool2-0
DHGrimsby Town1-1
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
1
J. Wright
5.8
22
C. Norman
7.0
5
L. Jenkins
6.1
4
K. Cameron
6.9
34
D. Sassi
5.7
↑ 46'
7
K. Evans
6.6
↑ 71'
12
J. Thomas
6.8
↑ 78'
24
M. M. Dibley-Dias
6.2
↑ 71'
10
H. Biggins
7.5
9
S. Gwengwe
7.7
40
C. Jarvis
6.1
↑ 54'
1
L. McGee
6.3
2
J. Senior
6.7
16
B. Faulkner
7.4
8
S. Finley
6.6
↑ 66'
4
J. Turnbull
6.7
↑ 65'
6
W. Vaulks
7.1
29
D. Jones
7.3
↑ 66'
23
P. Brough
6.4
↑ 80'
10
T. Ince
5.8
22
L. O'Connor
6.2
↑ 78'
9
J. Ironside
6.9
Substitutes
25GJ. Turner
2DC. Evans↓ 71'6.6
17DA. Merritt↓ 46'6.5
6MC. Brennan↓ 78'6.7
20MY. Bamba↓ 71'5.9
8MM. Smith
27FC. Doidge↓ 54'6.8
Coach: Hayden Mullins
Substitutes
13GC. Boyce-Clarke
5DN. Smith↓ 66'6.9
3DJ. Slater↓ 65'6.4
17MZ. Okoro↓ 80'7.2
11MT. Conlon↓ 66'7.0
20MC. Veevers
7FC. Whitaker↓ 78'6.2
Coach: Darrell Clarke
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
11Total shots15
4Shots on target5
1Big chances2
4Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box9
4Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored2
Attack
16Touches in box21
66Final third entries75
2Offsides2
11Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
228Passes345
116Accurate passes224
20/87 (23%)Long balls29/90 (32%)
3/18 (17%)Crosses2/19 (11%)
20Throw-ins26
Duels
40Duels60
24/57 (42%)Ground duels33/57 (58%)
26/67 (39%)Aerial duels41/67 (61%)
4/13 (31%)Dribbles9/17 (53%)
2Dispossessed3
Defending
11Tackles11
55Tackles won64
7Interceptions4
40Clearances33
35Recoveries33
Discipline
14Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves0
17Goal kicks7
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.45 @ Unibet
1X2Tranmere to win 34% · 3.10 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.75 @ Bet365
Who winsNewport to win (DNB) 57% · 1.85 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
1X2Newport to win 36% · 2.90 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.55
Newport County
3.20
Draw
2.70
Tranmere Rovers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Newport County or Draw
1.30
Newport County or Tranmere Rovers
1.44
Draw or Tranmere Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.83
Yes
1.88
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.07
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.83
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.83
Newport County
1.88
Tranmere Rovers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.43
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.19
Over 10.50
1.59
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.94
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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