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Micky Mellon
Oldham Athletic
Swindon Town
Oldham Athletic
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Swindon Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
36076 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
89.8%
-7.3 vs price
Away
480.0 · implied 0.2%
6.0%
+5.7 vs price
Draw
9.6 · implied 10.4%
4.3%
-6.1 vs price
Half time
229 EUR · live
Home
3.0 · implied 33.3%
50.8%
+17.4 vs price
Away
7.4 · implied 13.5%
26.7%
+13.2 vs price
Draw
1.7 · implied 58.8%
21.9%
-36.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5410 EUR · live
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
70.0%
-17.0 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
30.0%
+19.1 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
41'
⚽
E. Nevitt · assist C. Kavanagh1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
O. Palmer ◂ J. Snowdon
46'
🔁
J. Thomson ◂ A. Munda
59'
🔁
P. Glatzel ◂ L. Millard
59'
🔁
T. Nichols ◂ B. Middlemas
68'
🔁
M. Monthe ◂ D. Daniels
68'
🔁
N. Chilvers ◂ F. Fawunmi
68'
🔁
M. Fondop ◂ E. Nevitt
71'
O. Clarke · Foul
75'
K. A. M. Majekodunmi · Foul
77'
🔁
J. Pearman ◂ O. Clarke
83'
C. Ripley · Foul
84'
⚽
C. Kavanagh (pen)2–0
86'
🔁
T. Pett ◂ K. Drummond
Full-time · 3–0
90'+5
⚽
M. Fondop · assist C. Kavanagh3–0
Coaches
Micky MellonIan Holloway 
Recent form
Oldham AthleticLAColchester United1-2
WHPort Vale2-0
LAStoke City0-2
WHSheffield Wednesday4-0
LHStockport County0-1
Swindon TownWHCheltenham Town2-1
DANorthampton Town0-0
LACardiff City2-3
WAForest Green Rovers4-1
WHLeyton Orient2-1
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Oldham Athletic
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Swindon Town
1
M. Hudson
6.8
2
G. Scott-Morriss
7.3
6
M. Monthe
6.8
↑ 68'
23
R. Delaney
7.0
3
J. Robson
7.6
9
M. Fondop
8.4
↑ 68'
8
O. Norburn
8.2
7
K. Appiah-Forson
6.9
4
T. Pett
6.8
↑ 86'
14
N. Chilvers
6.7
↑ 68'
10
C. Kavanagh
7.8
1
C. Ripley
8.3
21
K. A. M. Majekodunmi
7.2
5
S. Negru
6.5
17
R. Tafazolli
6.2
2
M. Clark
6.2
7
T. Nichols
6.5
↑ 59'
25
J. Thomson
6.1
↑ 46'
22
J. Pearman
6.2
↑ 77'
9
P. Glatzel
6.7
↑ 59'
23
A. Drinan
6.1
28
O. Palmer
6.6
↑ 46'
Substitutes
22GA. Wilson
5DD. Daniels↓ 68'6.9
24DL. Temple
18MR. Woods
17FF. Fawunmi↓ 68'8.0
20FE. Nevitt↓ 68'7.6
15FK. Drummond↓ 86'7.5
Coach: Micky Mellon
Substitutes
12GL. Ward
18DJ. Debayo
19MJ. Snowdon↓ 46'6.8
20MB. Middlemas↓ 59'6.5
27MA. Munda↓ 46'6.2
8MO. Clarke↓ 77'6.0
39FL. Millard↓ 59'6.3
Coach: Ian Holloway
Top stats
45%Possession55%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
26Total shots3
9Shots on target1
6Big chances0
14Corners4
Shots
9Shots off target1
8Blocked shots2
19Shots inside box2
7Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
5Big chances missed0
Attack
48Touches in box8
72Final third entries50
6Offsides2
11Free kicks6
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
285Passes373
208Accurate passes285
35/69 (51%)Long balls35/76 (46%)
9/29 (31%)Crosses3/15 (20%)
32Throw-ins15
Duels
53Duels47
35/65 (54%)Ground duels30/65 (46%)
20/39 (51%)Aerial duels19/39 (49%)
10/16 (63%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
11Dispossessed10
Defending
14Tackles17
79Tackles won76
12Interceptions10
12Clearances39
47Recoveries45
Discipline
6Fouls12
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 2.02 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.70 @ 10bet
Who winsOldham to win (DNB) 63% · 1.43 @ Novibet
1X2Oldham to win 48% · 2.40 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.17 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.34 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.09 @ 1xBet
1X2Swindon to win 25% · 3.99 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.94
Oldham Athletic
3.40
Draw
3.70
Swindon Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.23
Oldham Athletic or Draw
1.25
Oldham Athletic or Swindon Town
1.80
Draw or Swindon Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
1.96
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.45
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.70
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.86
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.24
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.40
Oldham Athletic
2.75
Swindon Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
3.05
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50
2.21
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.84
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.36
Over 10.50
1.52
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.26
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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