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Lee Grant
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
Walsall
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
Accrington Stanley
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
27039 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
78.4%
-15.9 vs price
Draw
19.0 · implied 5.3%
13.4%
+8.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.2%
+8.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
866 EUR · live
Over
2.26 · implied 44.2%
70.7%
+26.5 vs price
Under
1.79 · implied 55.9%
29.1%
-26.7 vs price
4 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
R. Smith1–0
12'
⚽
J. Woods1–1
Half-time · 2–1
45'+6
⚽
H. Burke · assist M. Hancock2–1
46'
🔁
E. Ahui ◂ R. Browne
49'
S. Sprangler · Foul
53'
⚽
A. Pressley · assist R. Smith3–1
55'
🔁
T. Walton ◂ S. Whalley
55'
🔁
S. Mols ◂ A. Henderson
55'
🔁
L. Coyle ◂ S. Conneely
57'
⚽
S. Mols · assist T. Walton3–2
60'
L. Coyle · Argument
73'
🔁
A. Dallas ◂ T. Sodje
73'
🔁
L. Simper ◂ C. Clarke
75'
I. Moore · Argument
75'
T. Walton · Foul
78'
🔁
D. Tutonda ◂ T. Moore
79'
D. Skura · Foul
86'
🔁
A. Adomah ◂ R. Smith
Full-time · 3–2
90'
S. Conneely · Argument
90'+1
E. Ahui · Foul
90'+3
🔁
C. Crew ◂ I. Moore
Coaches
John Doolan 
Recent form
DHLeyton Orient0-0
DHGrimsby Town0-0
WAGillingham3-0
WABristol City1-0
DHNotts County0-0
LAExeter City0-2
DHColchester United2-2
LACrewe Alexandra1-2
DHSheffield Wednesday0-0
WHBury FC1-0
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
1
J. Ward
6.5
22
E. Ahui
6.0
↑ 46'
5
H. Burke
7.8
25
D. Skura
6.8
3
M. Hancock
8.3
8
C. Crew
↑ 90'
6
S. Sprangler
6.8
10
L. Simper
6.8
↑ 73'
9
A. Dallas
6.4
↑ 73'
37
A. Adomah
6.5
↑ 86'
19
A. Pressley
7.0
1
L. Moulden
6.2
33
D. Tutonda
6.9
↑ 78'
5
F. Rawson
6.5
17
D. Matthews
5.4
2
D. Love
7.3
14
S. Mols
7.5
↑ 55'
6
L. Coyle
6.6
↑ 55'
22
J. Anderson
7.2
23
T. Walton
5.8
↑ 55'
39
J. Woods
6.8
18
C. Caton
6.4
Substitutes
31GT. Wooster
2DR. Browne↓ 46'6.9
11MR. Smith↓ 86'8.1
15MI. Moore↓ 90'6.7
17MC. Clarke↓ 73'6.2
29MJ. Furlong
7FT. Sodje↓ 73'6.2
Coach: Lee Grant
Substitutes
21GJ. Rogerson
4DT. Moore↓ 78'5.9
28MS. Conneely↓ 55'6.7
10MA. Henderson↓ 55'5.9
20MC. Brown
8MC. Grant
7FS. Whalley↓ 55'6.6
Coach: John Doolan
Top stats
62%Possession38%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
16Total shots22
5Shots on target6
4Big chances2
4Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target10
5Blocked shots6
13Shots inside box10
3Shots outside box12
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored2
2Big chances missed0
Attack
22Touches in box26
68Final third entries77
0Offsides2
18Free kicks8
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
485Passes281
360Accurate passes175
30/77 (39%)Long balls21/70 (30%)
8/17 (47%)Crosses8/24 (33%)
28Throw-ins22
Duels
53Duels47
30/58 (52%)Ground duels28/58 (48%)
33/62 (53%)Aerial duels29/62 (47%)
6/12 (50%)Dribbles4/6 (67%)
10Dispossessed6
Defending
8Tackles16
75Tackles won31
7Interceptions21
29Clearances18
42Recoveries52
Discipline
8Fouls18
4Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves0
13Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsWalsall to win (DNB) 71% · 1.37 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.34 @ 1xBet
1X2Walsall to win 50% · 2.40 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ William Hill
1X2Accrington to win 23% · 4.32 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.95 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.87
Walsall
3.45
Draw
4.10
Accrington Stanley
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Walsall or Draw
1.25
Walsall or Accrington Stanley
1.85
Draw or Accrington Stanley
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.23
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.52
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.25
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.36
Walsall
2.95
Accrington Stanley
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.22
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.93
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50
2.14
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.92
Over 10.50
1.77
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.42
Over 11.50
1.48
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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