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Steve Evans
Bristol Rovers
Colchester United
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
Colchester United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
62210 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.1%
-12.9 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
8.6%
+8.4 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
5.3%
+5.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
29351 EUR · live
Over
17.0 · implied 5.9%
53.4%
+47.5 vs price
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
46.6%
-47.7 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
22'
T. James · Argument
27'
⚽
T. James1–0
35'
J. Tucker · Argument
43'
🔁
C. Kelly ◂ K. Balmer
Half-time · 1–0
45'+1
T. Leigh · Foul
46'
🔁
M. Sesay ◂ P. Digby
46'
🔁
K. Vincent-Young ◂ F. Terry
61'
🔁
K. Kouassi ◂ J. Williams
66'
🔁
E. Harrison ◂ F. Cavegn
69'
🔁
B. Ihionvien ◂ O. Thorn
76'
🔁
J. Aitchison ◂ B. Kamwa
79'
R. Smallwood · Foul
85'
🔁
L. Chiwome ◂ R. Hunt
Full-time · 2–0
90'+3
⚽
E. Harrison · assist T. Leigh2–0
Coaches
Steve EvansDanny Cowley 
Recent form
Bristol RoversWACrawley Town2-0
WHNewport County5-3
LAYork City2-3
LHPeterborough United0-1
DAForest Green Rovers2-2
Colchester UnitedWHRochdale1-0
WHOldham Athletic2-1
DAAccrington Stanley2-2
LHSouthampton0-2
LAStevenage0-1
Match facts
Kickoff
01 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
Colchester United
1
B. Young
6.7
2
T. James
8.0
17
C. Kelly
6.8
↑ 43'
26
R. Harbottle
7.8
14
B. Purrington
6.9
21
R. Smallwood
7.8
6
C. Mola
7.0
7
S. Forde
7.2
24
T. Leigh
7.6
11
J. Aitchison
6.7
↑ 76'
19
E. Harrison
8.2
↑ 66'
22
T. Lo-Tutala
7.3
11
L. Chiwome
6.5
↑ 85'
5
J. Tucker
6.7
20
S. Raggett
6.7
30
K. Vincent-Young
7.0
↑ 46'
3
E. Iandolo
6.9
9
B. Ihionvien
6.7
↑ 69'
12
M. Sesay
6.2
↑ 46'
10
J. Payne
6.9
7
H. Anderson
6.5
14
K. Kouassi
6.2
↑ 61'
Substitutes
32GC. Binns
4DK. Balmer↓ 43'7.6
10MB. Kamwa↓ 76'6.6
8MR. Russell-Denny
29FF. Cavegn↓ 66'6.4
27FP. Sanyaolu
9FJ. Quigley
Coach: Steve Evans
Substitutes
1GT. Smith
2DR. Hunt↓ 85'6.8
24DF. Terry↓ 46'6.4
44DS. Kuffour
27MO. Thorn↓ 69'7.0
6MP. Digby↓ 46'6.8
17FJ. Williams↓ 61'6.4
Coach: Danny Cowley
Top stats
50%Possession50%
2.21Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.05
24Total shots13
8Shots on target1
2Big chances0
3Corners2
Shots
10Shots off target2
6Blocked shots10
17Shots inside box7
7Shots outside box6
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
Attack
38Touches in box19
92Final third entries67
1Offsides1
9Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
410Passes427
302Accurate passes329
36/89 (40%)Long balls26/69 (38%)
6/22 (27%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
23Throw-ins25
Duels
47Duels53
31/67 (46%)Ground duels36/67 (54%)
21/43 (49%)Aerial duels22/43 (51%)
4/14 (29%)Dribbles6/18 (33%)
4Dispossessed8
Defending
20Tackles13
75Tackles won69
5Interceptions9
14Clearances31
65Recoveries50
Discipline
17Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks14
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsColchester to win (DNB) 52% · 2.95 @ Betsson
1X2Bristol Rovers to win 51% · 2.30 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.04 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.05 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.04 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.43 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.58 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
1X2Colchester to win 23% · 3.90 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.91
Bristol Rovers
3.70
Draw
3.75
Colchester United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Bristol Rovers or Draw
1.25
Bristol Rovers or Colchester United
1.84
Draw or Colchester United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.67
Yes
2.10
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.96
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.74
Over 2.50
2.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.40
Bristol Rovers
2.70
Colchester United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.36
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.52
Over 8.50
2.41
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.30
Over 10.50
1.53
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.92
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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