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Matt Taylor
Exeter City
Barnet
Exeter City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Barnet
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
33236 EUR · live
Away
5.6 · implied 17.9%
64.8%
+46.9 vs price
Home
6.4 · implied 15.6%
24.8%
+9.1 vs price
Draw
1.46 · implied 68.5%
10.9%
-57.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7850 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
59.0%
-38.1 vs price
Over
12.5 · implied 8.0%
41.2%
+33.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
209 EUR
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
65.7%
-20.5 vs price
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
34.0%
+20.2 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
22'
B. Comley · Foul
27'
🔁
E. Sutherland ◂ A. Oluwabori
41'
C. Lakin · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+2
J. Gordon · Foul
46'
🔁
T. Knowles ◂ B. Comley
58'
🔁
T. Perry ◂ J. Doyle-Hayes
60'
⚽
I. Kanu0–1
62'
🔁
N. Ofoborh ◂ J. Reeves
66'
🔁
W. Wright ◂ M. Kenlock
67'
⚽
R. Cole · assist G. Edwards1–1
73'
🔁
S. Cox ◂ J. Gordon
73'
🔁
J. Maskell ◂ I. Kanu
73'
🔁
I. Noel-Williams ◂ C. Lakin
82'
I. Noel-Williams · Foul
86'
T. Knowles · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Matt TaylorDean Brennan 
Recent form
Exeter CityLAYork City1-2
WHAccrington Stanley2-0
LAGrimsby Town0-1
LAPlymouth Argyle0-2
DHBristol City1-1
BarnetDHCheltenham Town2-2
WAShrewsbury Town3-1
WHSalford City3-1
LACambridge United1-2
DHBromley1-1
Match facts
Kickoff
01 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Exeter City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Barnet
1
J. Bycroft
6.3
2
L. Samuel
6.4
40
E. James
7.1
5
J. Fitzwater
7.3
24
V. Harper
6.5
8
T. Perry
6.5
↑ 58'
16
C. Cummins
7.7
23
E. Sutherland
6.3
↑ 27'
12
R. Cole
7.7
7
G. Edwards
7.0
19
S. Cox
6.6
↑ 73'
13
M. Cox
7.3
5
A. Senior
6.9
4
D. Collinge
6.2
6
Z. Williams
6.5
12
W. Wright
6.5
↑ 66'
10
N. Ofoborh
6.4
↑ 62'
7
T. Knowles
6.3
↑ 46'
32
I. Noel-Williams
6.2
↑ 73'
22
O. Gallagher
7.1
9
J. Maskell
6.6
↑ 73'
20
K. Tshimanga
5.8
Substitutes
22GF. Phillips
46DL. Cayless
31MJ. Doyle-Hayes↓ 58'6.6
11MA. Oluwabori↓ 27'6.5
18ML. Oakes
20MG. Birch
10FJ. Gordon↓ 73'6.1
Coach: Matt Taylor
Substitutes
1GT. Ashby-Hammond
30DM. Kenlock↓ 66'6.9
14MB. Comley↓ 46'6.6
23MJ. Reeves↓ 62'6.6
11MI. Kanu↓ 73'6.5
8MC. Lakin↓ 73'6.3
37MA. Liwala-Lukizalamu
Coach: Dean Brennan
Top stats
47%Possession53%
0.94Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.58
9Total shots10
5Shots on target4
2Big chances3
1Corners2
Shots
3Shots off target2
1Blocked shots4
4Shots inside box5
5Shots outside box5
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
Attack
18Touches in box19
60Final third entries106
4Offsides1
12Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
272Passes306
152Accurate passes154
18/75 (24%)Long balls20/97 (21%)
3/11 (27%)Crosses4/26 (15%)
30Throw-ins34
Duels
51Duels49
34/69 (49%)Ground duels35/69 (51%)
36/68 (53%)Aerial duels32/68 (47%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles2/13 (15%)
13Dispossessed5
Defending
16Tackles20
44Tackles won50
9Interceptions6
80Clearances36
47Recoveries44
Discipline
13Fouls12
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
0Big saves3
9Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsBarnet to win (DNB) 67% · 1.44 @ Novibet
1X2Barnet to win 45% · 2.28 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.34 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.98 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.94 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.45 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.87 @ 1xBet
1X2Exeter to win 29% · 3.80 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.63
Exeter City
3.70
Draw
1.90
Barnet
Double Chanceconsensus
1.83
Exeter City or Draw
1.23
Exeter City or Barnet
1.25
Draw or Barnet
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.70
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.70
Over 3.50
1.42
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.10
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.75
Exeter City
1.42
Barnet
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50
3.92
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50
2.90
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.25
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.88
Over 10.50
1.86
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.35
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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