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Chris Hogg
Northampton Town
Crawley Town
Northampton Town
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Crawley Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
27169 EUR · live
Home
12.5 · implied 8.0%
63.6%
+55.6 vs price
Away
5.0 · implied 20.0%
22.5%
+2.5 vs price
Draw
1.36 · implied 73.5%
13.9%
-59.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10307 EUR · live
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
53.2%
+44.1 vs price
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
46.8%
-49.4 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
38'
⚽
N. Opoku · assist J. O. Whitmarsh 1–0
42'
K. Krasniqi · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
55'
L. Evans · Violent conduct
60'
J. Arthurs · Foul
65'
🔁
D. Pereira ◂ D. Morgan
65'
🔁
D. Orsi-Dadomo ◂ P. Aderoju
67'
⚽
D. Pereira1–1
68'
🔁
M. Dyche ◂ J. O. Whitmarsh
76'
🔁
J. Russell ◂ A. Odimayo
81'
🔁
H. Saunders ◂ M. Warhurst
81'
🔁
C. Lemonheigh-Evans ◂ S. Hoskins
82'
🔁
M. Warhurst ◂ N. Opoku
87'
🔁
G. D. Biase ◂ L. Watson
87'
🔁
N. Tinsdale ◂ K. Krasniqi
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Chris HoggColin Kazim-Richards 
Recent form
Northampton TownDAGillingham1-1
LACrewe Alexandra0-1
DHSwindon Town0-0
LALeicester City0-1
WASolihull Moors4-2
Crawley TownLHBristol Rovers0-2
WARochdale2-1
LHCrewe Alexandra0-1
LAWatford0-1
WAYork City2-0
Match facts
Kickoff
01 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Northampton Town
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Crawley Town
1
Z. Jeacock
7.3
16
J. Wormleighton
7.1
6
E. Moore
6.5
5
J. Guthrie
6.7
3
J. Maxwell
6.7
24
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
6.3
↑ 81'
8
L. Evans
6.0
14
T. Fornah
6.7
20
L. Briggs
6.2
35
M. Dyche
6.6
↑ 68'
9
M. Warhurst
↑ 82'
31
J. Izquierdo
6.6
16
J. Russell
6.7
↑ 76'
6
P. Farquharson
6.8
5
C. Barker
7.5
22
A. Adeyemo
6.8
17
O. Kamara
6.6
20
J. Arthurs
6.2
28
N. Tinsdale
6.5
↑ 87'
19
D. Pereira
7.6
↑ 65'
14
G. D. Biase
6.5
↑ 87'
9
D. Orsi-Dadomo
6.2
↑ 65'
Substitutes
34GR. Fitzsimons
4MJ. O. Whitmarsh ↓ 68'7.2
22MJ. Powell
26MS. Chambers
17FN. Opoku↓ 82'7.7
7FS. Hoskins↓ 81'6.7
32FH. Saunders↑ 81'6.3
Coach: Chris Hogg
Substitutes
13GN. Michalski
24DA. Odimayo↓ 76'6.5
35DT. Ewens-Findlay
8ML. Watson↓ 87'7.1
27MD. Morgan↓ 65'6.6
25MK. Krasniqi↓ 87'6.4
11FP. Aderoju↓ 65'6.8
Coach: Colin Kazim-Richards
Top stats
28%Possession72%
0.76Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.53
8Total shots22
3Shots on target5
1Big chances2
4Corners4
Shots
4Shots off target8
1Blocked shots9
4Shots inside box15
4Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
Attack
12Touches in box31
43Final third entries63
5Offsides2
9Free kicks6
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
217Passes568
147Accurate passes499
9/47 (19%)Long balls25/51 (49%)
3/12 (25%)Crosses7/35 (20%)
18Throw-ins29
Duels
52Duels48
29/59 (49%)Ground duels30/59 (51%)
13/22 (59%)Aerial duels9/22 (41%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles13/23 (57%)
3Dispossessed7
Defending
17Tackles11
76Tackles won82
16Interceptions9
38Clearances13
42Recoveries43
Discipline
6Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
4Big saves1
12Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.58 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.36 @ Unibet
Who winsCrawley to win (DNB) 50% · 3.00 @ Bet365
1X2Northampton to win 54% · 2.22 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.30 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.40 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 25% · 2.65 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.06 @ 1xBet
1X2Crawley to win 21% · 4.33 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Northampton Town
3.60
Draw
3.90
Crawley Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Northampton Town or Draw
1.23
Northampton Town or Crawley Town
1.86
Draw or Crawley Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.35
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.70
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.84
Over 2.50
1.94
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.13
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.28
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.38
Northampton Town
2.90
Crawley Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
4.44
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.89
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.58
Over 9.50
2.21
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.94
Over 10.50
1.77
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.46
Over 11.50
1.48
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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