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Ian Watson
Rochdale
Shrewsbury Town
Rochdale
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
Shrewsbury Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
42013 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.3%
-9.7 vs price
Away
210.0 · implied 0.5%
6.7%
+6.2 vs price
Draw
38.0 · implied 2.6%
4.1%
+1.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3855 EUR · live
Over
2.5 · implied 40.0%
76.0%
+36.0 vs price
Under
1.61 · implied 62.1%
24.2%
-38.0 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
22'
🔁
Z. Silcott-Duberry ◂ E. Ebanks-Landell
27'
T. Anderson · Foul
33'
⚽
B. Adeeko1–0
43'
⚽
L. Hanannt · assist E. Dieseruvwe2–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'+1
🔁
J. Gbode ◂ J. Ruffels
46'
🔁
A. Jude-Boyd ◂ J. Turner-Cooke
50'
W. Boyle · Foul
65'
🔁
K. Brown ◂ I. Fletcher
69'
J. Gbode · Foul
74'
T. Adebayo-Rowling · Foul
75'
🔁
G. Lloyd ◂ T. Anderson
76'
🔁
M. Golding ◂ T. Sang
77'
🔁
J. Smith ◂ L. Hanannt
80'
⚽
J. Smith · assist D. Brown3–0
83'
W. Gray · Foul
87'
🔁
I. Henderson ◂ D. Brown
87'
🔁
H. Gilmour ◂ B. Adeeko
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Gavin Cowan 
Recent form
LAColchester United0-1
LHCrawley Town1-2
LANewport County0-3
LABradford City0-2
DATranmere Rovers2-2
WHSalford City1-0
LAFleetwood Town0-4
LHBarnet1-3
LATranmere Rovers0-2
DASalford City1-1
Match facts
Kickoff
01 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
1
N. Ramming
7.3
13
T. Adebayo-Rowling
6.7
11
Z. Silcott-Duberry
6.6
↑ 22'
3
K. Wilson
7.3
22
D. Moss
7.2
14
E. Francis
6.8
8
H. Gilmour
↑ 87'
18
J. Smith
7.7
↑ 77'
40
I. Henderson
↑ 87'
21
K. Taylor
7.0
9
E. Dieseruvwe
6.4
1
W. Brook
5.4
9
G. Lloyd
6.6
↑ 75'
5
W. Boyle
6.8
27
J. Gbode
6.8
↑ 45'
2
L. Hoole
6.9
20
M. Golding
6.6
↑ 76'
21
W. Gray
7.3
11
K. Berkoe
6.5
17
A. Jude-Boyd
6.7
↑ 46'
13
J. Davison
6.4
18
K. Brown
6.3
↑ 65'
Substitutes
20GS. Waller
6DE. Ebanks-Landell↓ 22'6.7
19ML. Hanannt↓ 77'7.6
17MB. Adeeko↓ 87'7.1
54MT. Bradley
56ML. Reece
39FD. Brown↓ 87'7.1
Coach: Ian Watson
Substitutes
12GS. Proctor
26DT. Anderson↓ 75'6.5
3DJ. Ruffels↓ 45'5.9
7MJ. Turner-Cooke↓ 46'6.5
10MT. Sang↓ 76'6.5
4MI. England
8FI. Fletcher↓ 65'6.3
Coach: Gavin Cowan
Top stats
65%Possession35%
0.79Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.27
7Total shots16
3Shots on target5
2Big chances2
1Corners3
Shots
2Shots off target7
2Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box10
1Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed2
Attack
12Touches in box20
64Final third entries55
2Offsides3
11Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
537Passes279
460Accurate passes200
15/54 (28%)Long balls14/59 (24%)
4/19 (21%)Crosses4/13 (31%)
22Throw-ins20
Duels
37Duels63
21/56 (38%)Ground duels35/56 (63%)
9/25 (36%)Aerial duels16/25 (64%)
2/10 (20%)Dribbles5/8 (63%)
13Dispossessed5
Defending
8Tackles21
38Tackles won76
8Interceptions9
25Clearances23
39Recoveries39
Discipline
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
5Saves0
10Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsRochdale to win (DNB) 84% · 1.63 @ Bwin
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.30 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.18 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.88 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
1X2Rochdale to win 43% · 2.60 @ William Hill
1X2Shrewsbury to win 29% · 3.43 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.12 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
Rochdale
3.40
Draw
3.06
Shrewsbury Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
Rochdale or Draw
1.27
Rochdale or Shrewsbury Town
1.64
Draw or Shrewsbury Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.86
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.48
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.61
Rochdale
2.20
Shrewsbury Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.06
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.33
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.33
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.94
Over 11.50
1.29
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Rochdale to avoid defeat
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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