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John Doolan
Accrington Stanley
Crawley Town
Accrington Stanley
3-4-1-2 · 4-1-4-1
Crawley Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
11264 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
73.6%
-20.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.8%
+16.7 vs price
Draw
14.0 · implied 7.1%
9.5%
+2.4 vs price
Half time
56 EUR · live
Home
3.8 · implied 26.3%
99.3%
+73.0 vs price
Draw
0.0%
Away
0.0%
4 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
C. Caton1–0
20'
⚽
D. Orsi-Dadomo1–1
25'
🔁
A. Borland ◂ D. Love
30'
D. Matthews · Argument
42'
F. Rawson · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
45'+3
P. Farquharson · Foul
53'
S. Whalley · Foul
55'
⚽
C. Caton2–1
58'
🔁
D. Pereira ◂ M. Ebiowei
58'
🔁
D. Morgan ◂ A. Odimayo
59'
🔁
K. Gordon ◂ L. Watson
61'
K. Krasniqi · Foul
63'
⚽
D. Matthews · assist J. Woods3–1
66'
🔁
P. Aderoju ◂ D. Orsi-Dadomo
72'
🔁
G. D. Biase ◂ K. Krasniqi
73'
D. Tutonda · Foul
74'
🔁
C. Grant ◂ S. Whalley
79'
⚽
P. Aderoju · assist K. Gordon3–2
82'
🔁
C. Stockton ◂ C. Caton
83'
🔁
A. Henderson ◂ T. Walton
Full-time · 3–2
Coaches
John DoolanColin Kazim-Richards 
Recent form
Accrington StanleyDHGrimsby Town2-2
LAWalsall2-3
LAExeter City0-2
DHColchester United2-2
LACrewe Alexandra1-2
Crawley TownDANorthampton Town1-1
LHBristol Rovers0-2
WARochdale2-1
LHCrewe Alexandra0-1
LAWatford0-1
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Accrington Stanley
3-4-1-2 · 4-1-4-1
Crawley Town
1
L. Moulden
6.2
17
D. Matthews
7.3
5
F. Rawson
5.9
22
J. Anderson
6.7
16
A. Borland
6.3
↑ 25'
39
J. Woods
7.1
6
L. Coyle
6.8
33
D. Tutonda
6.6
8
C. Grant
6.5
↑ 74'
10
A. Henderson
6.5
↑ 83'
13
C. Stockton
6.6
↑ 82'
31
J. Izquierdo
6.6
27
D. Morgan
6.5
↑ 58'
6
P. Farquharson
6.0
5
C. Barker
6.5
22
A. Adeyemo
5.9
14
G. D. Biase
6.5
↑ 72'
19
D. Pereira
6.7
↑ 58'
2
K. Gordon
6.8
↑ 59'
20
J. Arthurs
6.5
17
O. Kamara
6.3
11
P. Aderoju
7.2
↑ 66'
Substitutes
21GJ. Rogerson
2DD. Love↓ 25'6.7
18FC. Caton↓ 82'9.2
7FS. Whalley↓ 74'7.3
23FT. Walton↓ 83'6.6
30FC. Warren
27FJ. Catesby
Coach: John Doolan
Substitutes
13GN. Michalski
24DA. Odimayo↓ 58'6.1
16DJ. Russell
8ML. Watson↓ 59'6.7
25MK. Krasniqi↓ 72'6.6
7MM. Ebiowei↓ 58'6.5
9FD. Orsi-Dadomo↓ 66'7.0
Coach: Colin Kazim-Richards
Top stats
37%Possession63%
2.01Expected goals (xG)1.86
10Total shots15
4Shots on target5
3Big chances4
1Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target7
1Blocked shots3
8Shots inside box9
2Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed2
Attack
27Touches in box26
67Final third entries57
2Offsides0
8Free kicks21
1Fouled in final third7
Passing
251Passes450
154Accurate passes369
22/73 (30%)Long balls18/55 (33%)
4/18 (22%)Crosses3/21 (14%)
15Throw-ins25
Duels
49Duels51
36/73 (49%)Ground duels37/73 (51%)
19/39 (49%)Aerial duels20/39 (51%)
6/9 (67%)Dribbles6/18 (33%)
9Dispossessed10
Defending
22Tackles12
64Tackles won75
11Interceptions7
38Clearances32
47Recoveries44
Discipline
21Fouls8
4Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
11Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 19 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.37 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ Bet365
1X2Accrington to win 46% · 2.45 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ Unibet
Who winsAccrington to win (DNB) 59% · 1.63 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.44 @ Pinnacle
1X2Crawley to win 27% · 3.60 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.85 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.02
Accrington Stanley
3.55
Draw
3.40
Crawley Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Accrington Stanley or Draw
1.25
Accrington Stanley or Crawley Town
1.73
Draw or Crawley Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.17
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.90
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.90
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.63
Accrington Stanley
2.20
Crawley Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.05
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.87
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.67
Over 9.50
2.09
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.96
Over 10.50
1.76
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.46
Over 11.50
1.46
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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