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Steve Evans
Bristol Rovers
Rotherham United
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Rotherham United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
16279 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
77.9%
-19.2 vs price
Away
490.0 · implied 0.2%
12.6%
+12.4 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
9.5%
+5.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
16006 EUR · live
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
64.7%
+61.7 vs price
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
36.4%
-62.6 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
32'
⚽
T. Leigh1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
E. Harrison ◂ T. Leigh
51'
🔁
G. Sebine ◂ T. Bradshaw
57'
J. Fitzgerald · Foul
59'
🔁
J. Aitchison ◂ F. Cavegn
61'
🔁
K. Ngwenya ◂ B. Cover
61'
🔁
O. Ashley ◂ J. Fitzgerald
69'
🔁
R. Russell-Denny ◂ B. Kamwa
73'
C. Mola · Foul
74'
J. Austerfield · Foul
78'
🔁
P. Mullin ◂ E. Adegboyega
79'
🔁
A. Nemane ◂ J. Buyabu
86'
🔁
P. Sanyaolu ◂ S. Forde
Full-time · 1–0
90'
A. Bruce · Argument
90'
S. Evans · Argument
90'+5
K. Ngwenya · Argument
Coaches
Steve EvansAlex Bruce 
Recent form
Bristol RoversWHColchester United2-0
WACrawley Town2-0
WHNewport County5-3
LAYork City2-3
LHPeterborough United0-1
Rotherham UnitedDATranmere Rovers2-2
WHChesterfield2-1
DHYork City1-1
LACheltenham Town1-2
LHWest Bromwich Albion1-4
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Rotherham United
1
B. Young
7.3
2
T. James
7.5
4
K. Balmer
8.1
26
R. Harbottle
7.3
14
B. Purrington
6.7
6
C. Mola
6.8
21
R. Smallwood
7.3
27
P. Sanyaolu
6.6
↑ 86'
19
E. Harrison
7.3
↑ 46'
8
R. Russell-Denny
6.5
↑ 69'
11
J. Aitchison
7.0
↑ 59'
1
T. Cann
6.9
10
P. Mullin
6.3
↑ 78'
14
S. Aljofree
6.6
3
E. Otoo
6.5
12
D. Hall
7.1
5
K. Ngwenya
6.5
↑ 61'
4
J. Austerfield
6.2
23
A. Nemane
6.6
↑ 79'
6
O. Ashley
6.7
↑ 61'
7
F. Tavares
6.2
19
G. Sebine
6.4
↑ 51'
Substitutes
32GC. Binns
5DA. Kilgour
24MT. Leigh↓ 46'7.5
10MB. Kamwa↓ 69'6.2
7FS. Forde↓ 86'6.9
29FF. Cavegn↓ 59'6.6
9FJ. Quigley
Coach: Steve Evans
Substitutes
13GJ. Eyestone
16DE. Adegboyega↓ 78'6.5
2DJ. Rafferty
24MJ. Buyabu↓ 79'6.7
28MB. Cover↓ 61'6.5
15MJ. Fitzgerald↓ 61'6.4
9FT. Bradshaw↓ 51'6.1
Coach: Alex Bruce
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.35Expected goals (xG)1.39
12Total shots7
5Shots on target2
0Big chances1
10Corners4
Shots
4Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box6
3Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed1
Attack
30Touches in box19
78Final third entries76
3Offsides1
9Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
281Passes364
183Accurate passes260
32/76 (42%)Long balls16/61 (26%)
5/26 (19%)Crosses3/20 (15%)
26Throw-ins28
Duels
61Duels39
29/52 (56%)Ground duels23/52 (44%)
33/49 (67%)Aerial duels16/49 (33%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)
4Dispossessed7
Defending
13Tackles10
54Tackles won30
11Interceptions7
33Clearances32
55Recoveries43
Discipline
9Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
3Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsBristol Rovers to win (DNB) 71% · 1.30 @ 10bet
1X2Bristol Rovers to win 54% · 2.05 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.60 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.97 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 24% · 2.65 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.48 @ 10bet
1X2Rotherham to win 21% · 4.36 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.73
Bristol Rovers
3.80
Draw
4.38
Rotherham United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.18
Bristol Rovers or Draw
1.21
Bristol Rovers or Rotherham United
2.00
Draw or Rotherham United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.10
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.05
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.07
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.70
Over 2.50
2.06
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.69
Over 3.50
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
Bristol Rovers
3.40
Rotherham United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.56
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.56
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.96
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.24
Over 10.50
1.59
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.91
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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