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Lee Bell
Crewe Alexandra
York City
Crewe Alexandra
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
York City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
32186 EUR · live
Away
14.0 · implied 7.1%
72.3%
+65.1 vs price
Home
16.0 · implied 6.2%
16.0%
+9.7 vs price
Draw
1.21 · implied 82.6%
11.9%
-70.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10315 EUR · live
Over
9.0 · implied 11.1%
89.0%
+77.9 vs price
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
11.0%
-78.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
459 EUR · live
Under
1.37 · implied 73.0%
57.3%
-15.7 vs price
Over
5.3 · implied 18.9%
42.5%
+23.6 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
L. Offord · assist C. Agius1–0
13'
O. Banks · Foul
29'
L. Billington · Foul
40'
⚽
A. Newby · assist O. Pearce1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
J. King ◂ J. Felix
56'
🔁
J. Malcolm ◂ J. Grey
62'
🔁
M. Demetriou ◂ R. Hutchinson
62'
🔁
J. Gibson ◂ J. Lankester
62'
🔁
J. Tabiner ◂ C. McNeill
62'
🔁
A. Thibaut ◂ M. Holíček
74'
🔁
A. Read ◂ A. Hunt
83'
🔁
K. Ure ◂ J. White
85'
🔁
Z. Medley ◂ A. Newby
85'
🔁
C. Hewitt ◂ O. Pearce
Full-time · 1–1
90'
M. Williams · Foul
Coaches
Scott Lindsey 
Recent form
DHWalsall2-2
DAPort Vale0-0
LABarnsley2-3
WHNorthampton Town1-0
WACrawley Town1-0
LACheltenham Town2-3
WHExeter City2-1
DARotherham United1-1
WHBristol Rovers3-2
LHCrawley Town0-2
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
1
T. Booth
8.2
2
L. Billington
6.9
6
L. Offord
8.0
12
J. Stephenson
6.3
20
C. Agius
7.2
5
M. Demetriou
7.3
↑ 62'
4
K. Ure
6.4
↑ 83'
11
J. Tabiner
6.6
↑ 62'
14
J. Gibson
7.1
↑ 62'
9
J. March
6.8
29
A. Thibaut
6.6
↑ 62'
1
A. McNally
7.0
2
R. Fallowfield
6.8
24
M. Williams
7.5
3
M. Kitching
6.7
15
J. King
6.9
↑ 46'
16
A. Read
6.6
↑ 74'
28
O. Banks
7.2
12
H. Boyes
7.2
18
J. Malcolm
6.7
↑ 56'
4
Z. Medley
6.9
↑ 85'
17
C. Hewitt
6.4
↑ 85'
Substitutes
13GI. Lawlor
3DR. Hutchinson↓ 62'6.7
30DS. Dancey
7MJ. Lankester↓ 62'7.3
10MJ. White↓ 83'7.1
17MM. Holíček↓ 62'6.6
23FC. McNeill↓ 62'6.3
Coach: Lee Bell
Substitutes
31GG. Sykes-Kenworthy
23DJ. Felix↓ 46'6.2
33DC. McArthur
8MA. Hunt↓ 74'7.6
30MA. Newby↓ 85'7.4
7MJ. Grey↓ 56'6.5
10FO. Pearce↓ 85'6.1
Coach: Scott Lindsey
Top stats
41%Possession59%
1.89Expected goals (xG)3.39
17Total shots27
6Shots on target6
1Big chances4
5Corners9
Shots
7Shots off target9
4Blocked shots12
12Shots inside box17
5Shots outside box10
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed3
Attack
34Touches in box28
42Final third entries72
2Offsides1
10Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
326Passes480
245Accurate passes390
23/65 (35%)Long balls21/56 (38%)
7/21 (33%)Crosses10/28 (36%)
16Throw-ins16
Duels
51Duels49
34/66 (52%)Ground duels32/66 (48%)
22/43 (51%)Aerial duels21/43 (49%)
10/16 (63%)Dribbles4/8 (50%)
12Dispossessed10
Defending
14Tackles18
57Tackles won61
9Interceptions12
27Clearances17
55Recoveries51
Discipline
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
2Big saves0
13Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsYork to win (DNB) 67% · 1.80 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ 10bet
1X2York to win 39% · 2.85 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.44 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.10 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.40 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.14 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
1X2Crewe to win 34% · 3.04 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.75
Crewe Alexandra
3.30
Draw
2.40
York City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.50
Crewe Alexandra or Draw
1.29
Crewe Alexandra or York City
1.40
Draw or York City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.12
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50
1.91
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.00
Crewe Alexandra
1.73
York City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.67
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.63
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50
2.02
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50
1.66
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.72
Over 11.50
1.38
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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