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Chris Hogg
Northampton Town
Newport County
Northampton Town
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Newport County
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9941 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.1%
-16.9 vs price
Over
70.0 · implied 1.4%
18.1%
+16.6 vs price
3 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
31'
M. M. Dibley-Dias · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
55'
🔁
L. Briggs ◂ C. Lemonheigh-Evans
55'
🔁
M. Warhurst ◂ S. Chambers
60'
M. Warhurst · Foul
64'
🔁
T. Nyakuhwa ◂ K. Evans
70'
🔁
J. Thomas ◂ M. Jacob
71'
J. Wormleighton · Foul
79'
🔁
O. Dale ◂ N. Opoku
79'
🔁
S. Hoskins ◂ H. Saunders
83'
🔁
G. Garner ◂ S. Gwengwe
83'
🔁
C. Evans ◂ M. M. Dibley-Dias
83'
🔁
M. Adu-Poku ◂ Y. Bamba
86'
C. Evans · Foul
87'
⚽
J. O. Whitmarsh 1–0
Full-time · 1–0
90'+3
L. Briggs
Coaches
Chris HoggHayden Mullins 
Recent form
Northampton TownDHCrawley Town1-1
DAGillingham1-1
LACrewe Alexandra0-1
DHSwindon Town0-0
LALeicester City0-1
Newport CountyLASalford City1-2
DHTranmere Rovers2-2
LABristol Rovers3-5
WHRochdale3-0
DAAFC Wimbledon1-1
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Northampton Town
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Newport County
1
Z. Jeacock
6.9
16
J. Wormleighton
7.3
6
E. Moore
7.0
5
J. Guthrie
7.1
3
J. Maxwell
6.6
20
L. Briggs
6.4
↑ 55'
4
J. O. Whitmarsh
7.9
14
T. Fornah
6.5
9
M. Warhurst
5.7
↑ 55'
19
O. Dale
6.5
↑ 79'
7
S. Hoskins
6.5
↑ 79'
1
J. Wright
6.9
22
C. Norman
6.7
5
L. Jenkins
7.0
4
K. Cameron
6.3
12
J. Thomas
6.5
↑ 70'
2
C. Evans
6.4
↑ 83'
6
C. Brennan
7.6
23
M. Adu-Poku
6.4
↑ 83'
10
H. Biggins
6.7
21
T. Nyakuhwa
6.5
↑ 64'
19
G. Garner
6.4
↑ 83'
Substitutes
34GR. Fitzsimons
35DM. Dyche
24MC. Lemonheigh-Evans↓ 55'6.5
26MS. Chambers↓ 55'6.5
22MJ. Powell
17FN. Opoku↓ 79'6.6
32FH. Saunders↓ 79'6.4
Coach: Chris Hogg
Substitutes
25GJ. Turner
16DM. Jacob↓ 70'7.3
34DD. Sassi
24MM. M. Dibley-Dias↓ 83'7.1
20MY. Bamba↓ 83'6.5
7MK. Evans↓ 64'6.2
9FS. Gwengwe↓ 83'6.1
Coach: Hayden Mullins
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.63Expected goals (xG)0.51
8Total shots4
4Shots on target2
2Corners0
Shots
4Shots off target2
4Shots inside box4
4Shots outside box1
Attack
10Touches in box12
49Final third entries70
1Offsides1
11Free kicks15
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
371Passes341
274Accurate passes228
14/63 (22%)Long balls21/69 (30%)
2/10 (20%)Crosses4/15 (27%)
23Throw-ins30
Duels
42Duels58
33/72 (46%)Ground duels39/72 (54%)
22/60 (37%)Aerial duels38/60 (63%)
10/20 (50%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
11Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles21
69Tackles won71
15Interceptions10
47Clearances22
60Recoveries53
Discipline
15Fouls11
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves1
2Goal kicks9
1Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ Unibet
1X2Northampton to win 53% · 2.20 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.15 @ William Hill
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.28 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.25 @ William Hill
Who winsNorthampton to win (DNB) 51% · 1.33 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.77 @ 10bet
1X2Newport to win 20% · 4.79 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.73
Northampton Town
3.55
Draw
4.60
Newport County
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Northampton Town or Draw
1.23
Northampton Town or Newport County
1.98
Draw or Newport County
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.83
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
Northampton Town
3.30
Newport County
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.69
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.05
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.06
Over 10.50
1.69
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.62
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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