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Ian Watson
Rochdale
Gillingham
Rochdale
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Gillingham
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
2272 EUR
Under
1.92 · implied 52.1%
67.7%
+15.6 vs price
Over
2.04 · implied 49.0%
32.3%
-16.7 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
C. McManus · Foul
18'
🔁
E. King ◂ Z. Obiero
18'
🔁
L. Sillah ◂ W. Goodwin
33'
⚽
J. Brophy · assist N. Freeman0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
R. McKenzie ◂ C. McManus
51'
E. Francis · Foul
53'
⚽
O. Beckles0–2
56'
⚽
K. Wilson0–3
60'
E. Francis · Foul
64'
🔁
J. Daley ◂ L. Dobbs
66'
🔁
H. Gilmour ◂ Z. Silcott-Duberry
68'
⚽
J. Brophy · assist E. King0–4
73'
🔁
S. Kendall ◂ H. Waldock
81'
🔁
G. Middleton ◂ D. Brown
81'
🔁
J. Smith ◂ L. Hanannt
87'
⚽
C. Tasker · assist G. Middleton1–4
88'
🔁
I. Henderson ◂ E. Dieseruvwe
Full-time · 1–4
Coaches
Ian WatsonGareth Ainsworth 
Recent form
RochdaleWHShrewsbury Town3-0
LAColchester United0-1
LHCrawley Town1-2
LANewport County0-3
LABradford City0-2
GillinghamDAChesterfield1-1
DHNorthampton Town1-1
DAFleetwood Town0-0
LHWalsall0-3
LHLuton Town0-3
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Rochdale
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Gillingham
1
N. Ramming
5.9
2
C. Tasker
7.0
22
D. Moss
5.8
3
K. Wilson
4.9
21
K. Taylor
5.4
14
E. Francis
5.4
17
B. Adeeko
6.0
18
J. Smith
6.5
↑ 81'
45
G. Middleton
6.7
↑ 81'
8
H. Gilmour
6.6
↑ 66'
40
I. Henderson
↑ 88'
1
O. Wright
8.0
5
A. Smith
6.8
19
O. Beckles
7.9
20
J. Daley
6.5
↑ 64'
34
E. King
7.8
↑ 18'
22
N. Freeman
7.1
16
J. Brophy
9.3
18
S. Kendall
6.5
↑ 73'
14
R. McKenzie
6.8
↑ 46'
11
L. Sillah
6.5
↑ 18'
10
R. Hale
6.6
Substitutes
20GS. Waller
26DS. Sherring
19ML. Hanannt↓ 81'7.0
13MT. Adebayo-Rowling
39FD. Brown↓ 81'6.7
9FE. Dieseruvwe↓ 88'6.5
11FZ. Silcott-Duberry↓ 66'6.4
Coach: Ian Watson
Substitutes
13GT. Holtam
26DL. Dobbs↓ 64'6.9
3DC. McManus↓ 46'6.3
24MH. Waldock↓ 73'7.0
35MZ. Obiero↓ 18'6.7
12MG. McCleary
9FW. Goodwin↓ 18'6.4
Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Top stats
54%Possession46%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.39
7Total shots16
4Shots on target6
1Big chances3
6Corners6
Shots
2Shots off target7
1Blocked shots3
5Shots inside box7
2Shots outside box9
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed1
Attack
17Touches in box18
50Final third entries44
2Offsides6
12Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
425Passes354
346Accurate passes263
29/73 (40%)Long balls28/75 (37%)
5/23 (22%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
15Throw-ins20
Duels
35Duels65
20/54 (37%)Ground duels34/54 (63%)
8/25 (32%)Aerial duels17/25 (68%)
2/5 (40%)Dribbles8/11 (73%)
12Dispossessed3
Defending
6Tackles15
50Tackles won47
5Interceptions10
30Clearances12
42Recoveries44
Discipline
12Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
7Goal kicks8
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 19 bookmakers
Who winsRochdale to win (DNB) 82% · 1.53 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.45 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.53 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
1X2Rochdale to win 45% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
1X2Gillingham to win 28% · 3.72 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
Rochdale
3.36
Draw
3.35
Gillingham
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Rochdale or Draw
1.27
Rochdale or Gillingham
1.67
Draw or Gillingham
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.94
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.52
Rochdale
2.45
Gillingham
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.44
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.44
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.86
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Rochdale to avoid defeat
✗
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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