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Ian Holloway
Swindon Town
Colchester United
Swindon Town
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Colchester United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
27245 EUR · live
Away
500.0 · implied 0.2%
53.4%
+53.1 vs price
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
38.3%
-60.7 vs price
Draw
44.0 · implied 2.3%
8.3%
+6.1 vs price
Half time
115 EUR
Away
3.45 · implied 29.0%
72.0%
+43.1 vs price
Home
3.4 · implied 29.4%
26.9%
-2.5 vs price
Draw
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1124 EUR · live
Over
5.2 · implied 19.2%
52.5%
+33.2 vs price
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
47.4%
-40.3 vs price
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
⚽
K. Kouassi · assist M. Sesay0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
L. Millard ◂ A. Hackford
46'
🔁
K. A. M. Majekodunmi ◂ B. Kirkman
46'
🔁
B. Middlemas ◂ O. Clarke
49'
⚽
A. Drinan1–1
54'
D. Butler · Foul
57'
🔁
S. Kuffour ◂ J. Williams
58'
A. Munda · Foul
64'
🔁
J. Hungbo ◂ L. Millard
69'
🔁
B. Ihionvien ◂ O. Thorn
70'
🔁
L. Chiwome ◂ K. Kouassi
70'
🔁
J. Williams ◂ M. Sesay
75'
🔁
J. Debayo ◂ A. Munda
77'
⚽
A. Drinan2–1
79'
⚽
A. Drinan · assist J. Thomson3–1
80'
🔁
F. Terry ◂ E. Iandolo
Full-time · 3–1
Coaches
Ian HollowayDanny Cowley 
Recent form
Swindon TownWHPort Vale3-1
LAOldham Athletic0-3
WHCheltenham Town2-1
DANorthampton Town0-0
LACardiff City2-3
Colchester UnitedLABristol Rovers0-2
WHRochdale1-0
WHOldham Athletic2-1
DAAccrington Stanley2-2
LHSouthampton0-2
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Swindon Town
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Colchester United
1
C. Ripley
6.9
2
M. Clark
6.3
5
S. Negru
7.4
21
K. A. M. Majekodunmi
7.3
↑ 46'
26
D. Butler
6.3
18
J. Debayo
6.9
↑ 75'
25
J. Thomson
7.8
20
B. Middlemas
6.9
↑ 46'
39
L. Millard
6.6
↑ 46'
23
A. Drinan
8.6
19
J. Snowdon
7.0
22
T. Lo-Tutala
6.9
2
R. Hunt
6.7
5
J. Tucker
6.3
20
S. Raggett
6.6
24
F. Terry
7.0
↑ 80'
11
L. Chiwome
6.1
↑ 70'
44
S. Kuffour
6.7
↑ 57'
9
B. Ihionvien
6.6
↑ 69'
10
J. Payne
7.1
7
H. Anderson
6.4
17
J. Williams
6.3
↑ 70'
Substitutes
12GL. Ward
34DB. Kirkman↓ 46'6.7
8MO. Clarke↓ 46'7.2
27MA. Munda↓ 75'6.7
15MJ. Hungbo↑ 64'6.7
29FA. Hackford↓ 46'6.4
14FD. Butterworth
Coach: Ian Holloway
Substitutes
1GT. Smith
3DE. Iandolo↓ 80'6.3
12MM. Sesay↓ 70'7.4
27MO. Thorn↓ 69'6.4
6MP. Digby
14FK. Kouassi↓ 70'7.2
Coach: Danny Cowley
Top stats
40%Possession60%
2.34Expected goals (xG)2.27
14Total shots18
6Shots on target6
3Big chances3
4Corners6
Shots
2Shots off target5
6Blocked shots7
11Shots inside box14
3Shots outside box4
2Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
Attack
23Touches in box38
62Final third entries88
2Offsides2
6Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
299Passes474
208Accurate passes373
21/76 (28%)Long balls36/76 (47%)
2/22 (9%)Crosses2/17 (12%)
20Throw-ins33
Duels
50Duels50
36/72 (50%)Ground duels36/72 (50%)
21/42 (50%)Aerial duels21/42 (50%)
5/16 (31%)Dribbles12/21 (57%)
6Dispossessed15
Defending
24Tackles17
50Tackles won71
12Interceptions6
33Clearances33
45Recoveries44
Discipline
8Fouls7
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
11Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.43 @ Unibet
1X2Colchester to win 36% · 3.00 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.20 @ William Hill
Who winsSwindon to win (DNB) 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.12 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Swindon to win 37% · 2.90 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.54
Swindon Town
3.38
Draw
2.60
Colchester United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Swindon Town or Draw
1.28
Swindon Town or Colchester United
1.49
Draw or Colchester United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.58
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.84
Over 2.50
1.93
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.75
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.52
Swindon Town
1.45
Colchester United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.69
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.62
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50
2.04
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50
1.65
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.71
Over 11.50
1.38
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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