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Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Swindon Town
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Ian Holloway
Swindon Town
Accrington Stanley
Swindon Town
4-3-3 · 3-4-1-2
Accrington Stanley
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Swindon Town 1-1 Accrington Stanley.
90+5'
Attempt saved. C. Stockton (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
90+1'
Attempt blocked. A. Henderson (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
86'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
85'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
84'
Attempt saved. A. Henderson (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
71'
Accrington Stanley
Offside, Accrington Stanley.
70'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
65'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
65'
Accrington Stanley
Offside, Accrington Stanley.
63'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
46'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Swindon Town 1-1 Accrington Stanley.
45+1'
Cleared off the line! P. Glatzel (Swindon Town), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.56.
45+1'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
36'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
31'
Goal! Swindon Town 1-1 Accrington Stanley. J. Hungbo (Swindon Town) scores, assisted by D. Butler.
11'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
11'
Attempt blocked. L. Coyle (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
10'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
10'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
9'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
5'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
1'
Goal! Swindon Town 0-1 Accrington Stanley. J. Woods (Accrington Stanley) scores, assisted by S. Mols.
1'
Kick-off: Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
26484 EUR · live
Away
3.45 · implied 29.0%
52.0%
+23.0 vs price
Home
2.88 · implied 34.7%
40.8%
+6.1 vs price
Draw
2.76 · implied 36.2%
7.2%
-29.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
18220 EUR · live
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
73.7%
+68.1 vs price
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
26.3%
-69.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
826 EUR · live
Under
1.18 · implied 84.7%
71.8%
-12.9 vs price
Over
6.2 · implied 16.1%
28.1%
+12.0 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
J. Woods · assist S. Mols0–1
31'
⚽
J. Hungbo · assist D. Butler1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
A. Henderson ◂ L. Coyle
51'
K. A. M. Majekodunmi · Foul
66'
J. Woods · Foul
67'
🔁
A. Hackford ◂ P. Glatzel
67'
🔁
M. Virtue-Thick ◂ O. Clarke
68'
🔁
C. Warren ◂ S. Mols
68'
🔁
C. Stockton ◂ T. Walton
68'
🔁
D. Butterworth ◂ J. Hungbo
71'
🔁
J. Debayo ◂ J. Ball
80'
🔁
B. Kirkman ◂ D. Butler
83'
🔁
J. Catesby ◂ J. Woods
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Ian HollowayJohn Doolan 
Recent form
Swindon TownLASalford City0-1
LAYork City0-4
WHColchester United3-1
WHPort Vale3-1
LAOldham Athletic0-3
Accrington StanleyDHNewport County0-0
LABarnet1-2
WHCrawley Town3-2
DHGrimsby Town2-2
LAWalsall2-3
About this match
**Swindon are wobbling after a shocker at York, but Accrington can't find consistency either** — this has coin-flip written all over it. 🎲
Swindon's last five is a rollercoaster (beat Colchester 3-1 but got downed 4-0 at York), while Accrington's drawing too many blanks despite picking up wins. The head-to-head tilts ever so slightly to **Accrington** (5 wins vs 4), but form > history here.
Key storylines:
- **Swindon's attacking depth** (Drinan, Hungbo, Clarke) looked sharp against Colchester but got exposed on the road at York — consistency will decide this
- **Accrington's set-piece discipline** needs tightening after switching between sharp and sloppy performances
- **Midfield battle** between Swindon's Thomson and Munda versus Accrington's O'Brien and Coyle will set the tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Swindon Town**: Ripley, Kirkman, Negru, Majekodunmi, Clarke, Thomson, Munda, Drinan, Hungbo, Virtue-Thick
- **Accrington Stanley**: Moulden, Tutonda, Anderson, Matthews, O'Brien, Borland, Conneely, Coyle, Caton, Woods, Mols
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both teams have the tools to score but can't lock down defensively. Lean toward a point each.
Where to watch
Betano
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
26 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Swindon Town
4-3-3 · 3-4-1-2
Accrington Stanley
1
C. Ripley
6.9
18
J. Debayo
6.7
↑ 71'
5
S. Negru
6.8
21
K. A. M. Majekodunmi
7.3
34
B. Kirkman
6.7
↑ 80'
27
A. Munda
7.3
25
J. Thomson
6.6
24
M. Virtue-Thick
6.6
↑ 67'
29
A. Hackford
6.5
↑ 67'
23
A. Drinan
6.7
14
D. Butterworth
7.0
↑ 68'
1
L. Moulden
7.1
17
D. Matthews
6.7
28
S. Conneely
7.3
22
J. Anderson
7.2
38
C. O'Brien
6.3
2
D. Love
6.9
10
A. Henderson
6.3
↑ 46'
33
D. Tutonda
6.8
13
C. Stockton
6.4
↑ 68'
27
J. Catesby
6.6
↑ 83'
30
C. Warren
6.4
↑ 68'
Substitutes
12GL. Ward
26DD. Butler↓ 80'8.1
6DJ. Ball↓ 71'6.3
8MO. Clarke↓ 67'6.6
7MT. Nichols
15FJ. Hungbo↓ 68'7.5
9FP. Glatzel↓ 67'6.7
Coach: Ian Holloway
Substitutes
21GJ. Rogerson
25DJ. Smith
14MS. Mols↓ 68'7.3
6ML. Coyle↓ 46'6.8
20MC. Brown
23FT. Walton↓ 68'6.8
39FJ. Woods↓ 83'6.8
Coach: John Doolan
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.68Expected goals (xG)1.58
11Total shots12
5Shots on target4
4Big chances3
6Corners7
Shots
4Shots off target2
2Blocked shots6
7Shots inside box7
4Shots outside box5
1Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed2
Attack
22Touches in box21
70Final third entries75
0Offsides2
6Free kicks6
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
413Passes280
293Accurate passes170
37/90 (41%)Long balls19/73 (26%)
3/18 (17%)Crosses7/27 (26%)
37Throw-ins33
Duels
55Duels45
21/54 (39%)Ground duels33/54 (61%)
40/56 (71%)Aerial duels16/56 (29%)
6/17 (35%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)
9Dispossessed5
Defending
10Tackles20
80Tackles won50
11Interceptions9
45Clearances48
53Recoveries49
Discipline
6Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
8Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsSwindon to win (DNB) 71% · 1.65 @ Betway
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.67 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.39 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.53 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill
1X2Accrington to win 30% · 3.40 @ William Hill
1X2Swindon to win 43% · 2.52 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.44 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
Swindon Town
3.49
Draw
3.10
Accrington Stanley
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Swindon Town or Draw
1.27
Swindon Town or Accrington Stanley
1.61
Draw or Accrington Stanley
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.01
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.74
Over 3.50
1.39
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.75
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.60
Swindon Town
2.20
Accrington Stanley
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.87
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.67
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.67
Over 9.50
2.09
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.10
Over 10.50
1.66
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.74
Over 11.50
1.37
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.71
Swindon Town
2.20
Draw
3.60
Accrington Stanley
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.50
Swindon Town
2.50
Draw
3.24
Accrington Stanley
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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