Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Salford City roll into Boundary Park as heavy favorites** — they've won 6 of their last 8 head-to-heads against Oldham and look properly sharp in form. Meanwhile, the hosts are bleeding goals and need a wake-up call fast. 🔴
Oldham have won just one of their last five and shipped six goals in three away defeats. Salford, by contrast, are on a **3W 1D run** and only dropped points against Rotherham in a 3-3 thriller. This feels like a mismatch on paper.
Key storylines:
- **Salford's attacking threat** through M. Langstaff and D. Udoh could tear apart an Oldham backline that's conceded 2+ in each of their last three losses
- **Oldham's creativity** will rest heavily on K. Appiah-Forson and M. Fondop to unlock W. Norris and the Salford defensive shape
- **W. Aimson and T. Allen** anchoring Salford's back five gives them the solidity to frustrate any Oldham pressure
Expected lineups:
- **Oldham Athletic**: M. Hudson, J. Robson, D. Daniels, R. Delaney, G. Scott-Morriss, O. Norburn, K. Appiah-Forson, M. Fondop, C. Kavanagh, F. Fawunmi, K. Drummond
- **Salford City**: W. Norris, A. Oluwo, W. Aimson, T. Allen, K. N'Mai, L. Molyneux, J. Powell, K. Cesay, E. Bonds, M. Langstaff, D. Udoh
Prediction:
**Salford City 2-0 Oldham Athletic**
Salford are the clear edge here — form, history, and firepower all point one way. 📊
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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