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Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham Town
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
John Doolan
Accrington Stanley
Cheltenham Town
Accrington Stanley
3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Cheltenham Town
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Accrington Stanley 2-0 Cheltenham Town.
90'
7 minutes of added time.
86'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
86'
Attempt missed. C. Warren (Accrington Stanley), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.
78'
Goal! Accrington Stanley 1-0 Cheltenham Town. C. Warren (Accrington Stanley) scores, assisted by C. O'Brien.
76'
Attempt missed. A. Henderson (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
71'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
69'
Cheltenham Town
Corner, Cheltenham Town.
52'
Attempt missed. C. O'Brien (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
51'
Cheltenham Town
Corner, Cheltenham Town.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Accrington Stanley 0-0 Cheltenham Town.
45+3'
Attempt blocked. C. McCann (Cheltenham Town), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
45'
Accrington Stanley
Offside, Accrington Stanley.
45'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
44'
Attempt missed. J. Anderson (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
43'
Attempt missed. J. Woods (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.05.
40'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
29'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
26'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
21'
Attempt missed. P. Sweeney (Cheltenham Town), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
19'
Attempt missed. D. Matthews (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.12.
18'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
13'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
13'
Attempt blocked. A. Henderson (Accrington Stanley), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.
6'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
1'
Kick-off: Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
41688 EUR · live
Home
1.1 · implied 90.9%
46.7%
-44.2 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
27.5%
+27.4 vs price
Draw
11.0 · implied 9.1%
25.8%
+16.7 vs price
Half time
295 EUR · live
Draw
1.82 · implied 54.9%
80.6%
+25.6 vs price
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
15.6%
-5.7 vs price
Home
3.45 · implied 29.0%
3.4%
-25.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
26582 EUR · live
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
50.4%
+44.9 vs price
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
49.6%
-46.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
115 EUR
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
79.9%
-8.6 vs price
Over
8.2 · implied 12.2%
19.1%
+6.9 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
42'
C. McCann · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
48'
T. Walton · Argument
55'
🔁
G. Nurse ◂ J. Tomlinson
62'
🔁
C. Warren ◂ T. Walton
74'
J. Woods · Foul
78'
⚽
C. Warren · assist C. O'Brien1–0
80'
D. Tutonda · Foul
84'
🔁
J. Bickerstaff ◂ R. Broom
84'
🔁
G. Miller ◂ J. Shipley
87'
⚽
C. Warren2–0
Full-time · 2–0
90'+3
C. McCann · Foul
90'+5
A. Weimann · Foul
90'+6
🔁
K. Otchere ◂ A. Weimann
Coaches
John DoolanSteve Cotterill 
Recent form
Accrington StanleyDASwindon Town1-1
DHNewport County0-0
LABarnet1-2
WHCrawley Town3-2
DHGrimsby Town2-2
Cheltenham TownWHChesterfield2-1
DAColchester United1-1
WACrawley Town3-1
DHGrimsby Town2-2
WHYork City3-2
About this match
**Accrington's inconsistency meets Cheltenham's hot streak** — one team's been all over the map, the other's found a rhythm. 🔥
Accrington have wobbled through five games (1W-3D-1L), mixing draws with a loss, while Cheltenham are cooking with a **3W-2D record**. The away side's form is genuinely sharp; the hosts need to tighten up fast if they want points here.
Key storylines:
- **Cheltenham's attack vs Accrington's leaky defence** — Cheltenham just dismantled Crawley 3-1; Accrington have conceded in three of their last four
- **L. Coyle's creativity in midfield** — Accrington will need their playmaker firing to break down a well-drilled Cheltenham shape
- **J. Evans leading the line** — Cheltenham's forward has been clinical; expect him to punish any mistakes at the back
Expected lineups:
- **Accrington Stanley**: L. Moulden, D. Tutonda, J. Anderson, C. O'Brien, S. Conneely, L. Coyle, A. Borland, T. Walton, J. Woods, S. Mols
- **Cheltenham Town**: W. Stanway, G. Nurse, R. Cundy, P. Sweeney, J. Tomkinson, B. Stevenson, J. Tomlinson, C. McCann, S. McWilliams, R. Broom, J. Evans
Prediction:
**1-2 to Cheltenham.** Accrington's drawing habit catches up with them against a Cheltenham side that's clicking offensively right now. 📍
Where to watch
Betano
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
03 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Accrington Stanley
3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Cheltenham Town
1
L. Moulden
7.4
17
D. Matthews
7.5
28
S. Conneely
7.5
22
J. Anderson
7.9
2
D. Love
7.5
38
C. O'Brien
7.2
10
A. Henderson
6.3
14
S. Mols
7.0
33
D. Tutonda
7.0
30
C. Warren
8.7
↑ 62'
39
J. Woods
7.1
23
W. Stanway
5.7
3
J. Tomkinson
6.5
5
R. Cundy
7.1
25
P. Sweeney
7.0
21
G. Nurse
6.0
↑ 55'
10
G. Miller
6.3
↑ 84'
7
B. Stevenson
6.5
19
J. Evans
6.5
8
C. McCann
6.0
11
J. Bickerstaff
6.5
↑ 84'
9
K. Otchere
↑ 90'
Substitutes
21GJ. Rogerson
25DJ. Smith
3DO. Smith
8MC. Grant
20MC. Brown
23FT. Walton↓ 62'6.2
27FJ. Catesby
Coach: John Doolan
Substitutes
1GJ. Day
6DJ. Wilson
4MJ. Tomlinson↓ 55'7.1
26MJ. Shipley↓ 84'7.0
14MR. Broom↓ 84'6.1
33MF. Willcox
18FA. Weimann↓ 90'6.2
Coach: Steve Cotterill
Top stats
44%Possession56%
3.6Expected goals (xG)0.19
22Total shots6
6Shots on target1
5Big chances1
8Corners2
Shots
13Shots off target1
3Blocked shots4
14Shots inside box1
8Shots outside box5
2Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
Attack
34Touches in box5
93Final third entries44
1Offsides0
11Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
338Passes462
233Accurate passes348
42/86 (49%)Long balls32/78 (41%)
10/32 (31%)Crosses2/7 (29%)
18Throw-ins30
Duels
55Duels45
28/54 (52%)Ground duels26/54 (48%)
37/64 (58%)Aerial duels27/64 (42%)
5/10 (50%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)
2Dispossessed5
Defending
12Tackles7
100Tackles won43
7Interceptions2
22Clearances38
56Recoveries33
Discipline
15Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
0Big saves2
2Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.83 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Cheltenham to win 33% · 3.28 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.68 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ 1xBet
Who winsAccrington to win (DNB) 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.45 @ 1xBet
1X2Accrington to win 40% · 2.69 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.61 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
Accrington Stanley
3.50
Draw
2.83
Cheltenham Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Accrington Stanley or Draw
1.28
Accrington Stanley or Cheltenham Town
1.53
Draw or Cheltenham Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.99
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.66
Accrington Stanley
2.10
Cheltenham Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.72
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.58
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.98
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.20
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.83
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.88
Accrington Stanley
2.25
Draw
3.40
Cheltenham Town
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.62
Accrington Stanley
2.50
Draw
3.10
Cheltenham Town
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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