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Crewe Alexandra
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
Lee Bell
Crewe Alexandra
Bristol Rovers
Crewe Alexandra
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
Bristol Rovers
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Crewe Alexandra 3-1 Bristol Rovers.
90+2'
Goal! Crewe Alexandra 3-1 Bristol Rovers. B. Kamwa (Bristol Rovers) scores, assisted by C. Mola.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
76'
Crewe Alexandra
Offside, Crewe Alexandra.
69'
Bristol Rovers
Offside, Bristol Rovers.
66'
Goal! Crewe Alexandra 3-0 Bristol Rovers. J. Gibson (Crewe Alexandra) scores, assisted by J. March.
63'
Bristol Rovers
Corner, Bristol Rovers.
61'
Bristol Rovers
Corner, Bristol Rovers.
60'
Bristol Rovers
Corner, Bristol Rovers.
50'
Bristol Rovers
Corner, Bristol Rovers.
47'
Attempt blocked. J. Tabiner (Crewe Alexandra), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Bristol Rovers.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
42'
Attempt blocked. E. Harrison (Bristol Rovers), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.
41'
Bristol Rovers
Corner, Bristol Rovers.
28'
Crewe Alexandra
Corner, Crewe Alexandra.
24'
Crewe Alexandra
Corner, Crewe Alexandra.
24'
Attempt blocked. A. Thibaut (Crewe Alexandra), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.
21'
Goal! Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Bristol Rovers. J. Lankester (Crewe Alexandra) converts the penalty.
19'
Crewe Alexandra
Corner, Crewe Alexandra.
18'
Attempt missed. J. Lankester (Crewe Alexandra), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
3'
Attempt blocked. J. Sparkes (Bristol Rovers), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
1'
Goal! Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Bristol Rovers. J. Lankester (Crewe Alexandra) scores, assisted by J. Tabiner.
1'
Kick-off: Crewe Alexandra vs Bristol Rovers.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
49988 EUR · live
Home
1.08 · implied 92.6%
68.4%
-24.2 vs price
Draw
13.5 · implied 7.4%
17.8%
+10.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.8%
+13.7 vs price
Half time
113 EUR · live
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
47.0%
-49.1 vs price
Away
19.0 · implied 5.3%
46.2%
+40.9 vs price
Draw
3.8 · implied 26.3%
5.3%
-21.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
101 EUR
Over
1.9 · implied 52.6%
58.7%
+6.0 vs price
Under
2.08 · implied 48.1%
40.8%
-7.3 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
J. Lankester · assist J. Tabiner1–0
8'
T. James · Argument
8'
J. March · Argument
10'
J. Stephenson · Foul
21'
⚽
J. Lankester (pen)2–0
30'
C. Kelly · Argument
38'
O. Lunt · Argument
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
S. Forde ◂ R. Russell-Denny
46'
🔁
B. Purrington ◂ J. Sparkes
46'
🔁
P. Sanyaolu ◂ A. Kilgour
46'
🔁
K. Gough ◂ R. Smallwood
50'
🔁
J. Gibson ◂ J. Tabiner
62'
🔁
C. Thomas ◂ J. Lankester
66'
⚽
J. Gibson · assist J. March3–0
74'
🔁
J. Quigley ◂ E. Harrison
77'
K. Gough · Foul
79'
C. Thomas · Foul
81'
🔁
C. McNeill ◂ A. Thibaut
89'
C. Mola · Argument
Full-time · 3–1
90'+2
⚽
B. Kamwa · assist C. Mola3–1
Coaches
Lee BellSteve Evans 
Recent form
Crewe AlexandraDARotherham United1-1
DHShrewsbury Town1-1
DAColchester United1-1
DHYork City1-1
DHWalsall2-2
Bristol RoversWHExeter City1-0
LAGillingham0-3
LAGrimsby Town0-2
WHRotherham United1-0
WHColchester United2-0
About this match
**Crewe's draw-fest meets Bristol's win-streak vibes** — one team's allergic to losing, the other can't quite finish the job. This is a classic League Two clash where momentum might just be everything. 🎯
Crewe have drawn their last three matches and sit in that frustrating middle ground where they're hard to beat but harder to rely on. Bristol Rovers, meanwhile, just snagged three wins in five and have the edge in recent form, though their away record has been dodgy (0-3 and 0-2 losses).
Key storylines:
- **Crewe's defensive solidity** vs **Bristol Rovers' inconsistency on the road** — the hosts are sticky but untested against a confident attacking unit
- **T. Booth and B. Young** between the sticks will likely be busier than they'd like in an open fixture
- History favors **Crewe's home record** in this H2H (4 wins in the last 9), but form says otherwise
Expected lineups:
- **Crewe Alexandra**: T. Booth, R. Hutchinson, L. Offord, J. Stephenson, L. Billington, M. Holíček, J. Tabiner, J. Gibson, J. White, J. March
- **Bristol Rovers**: B. Young, C. Mola, K. Balmer, R. Harbottle, T. James, R. Smallwood, C. Kelly, B. Kamwa, S. Forde, F. Cavegn
Prediction:
**Crewe 1-1 Bristol Rovers** — lean to another Crewe draw, though Rovers' form is creeping up on them. Coin flip either way. 🤝
Where to watch
Paramount+
Betano
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Paramount+
Match facts
Kickoff
03 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Crewe Alexandra
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
Bristol Rovers
1
T. Booth
6.8
2
L. Billington
6.6
6
L. Offord
7.8
12
J. Stephenson
6.7
4
K. Ure
6.5
19
O. Lunt
6.8
10
J. White
7.2
8
C. Thomas
6.4
↑ 62'
14
J. Gibson
7.4
↑ 50'
9
J. March
7.2
23
C. McNeill
6.4
↑ 81'
1
B. Young
5.1
4
K. Balmer
6.5
14
B. Purrington
6.3
↑ 46'
17
C. Kelly
6.1
2
T. James
6.2
22
K. Gough
6.8
↑ 46'
6
C. Mola
6.8
27
P. Sanyaolu
6.9
↑ 46'
7
S. Forde
6.1
↑ 46'
10
B. Kamwa
7.1
9
J. Quigley
6.5
↑ 74'
Substitutes
13GI. Lawlor
30DS. Dancey
7MJ. Lankester↓ 62'8.8
11MJ. Tabiner↓ 50'6.3
36MJ. Ewusi
32ML. Moore
29FA. Thibaut↓ 81'6.3
Coach: Lee Bell
Substitutes
32GC. Binns
5DA. Kilgour↓ 46'5.8
3MJ. Sparkes↓ 46'6.6
21MR. Smallwood↓ 46'6.4
8MR. Russell-Denny↓ 46'6.2
19FE. Harrison↓ 74'6.9
Coach: Steve Evans
Top stats
49%Possession51%
1.31Expected goals (xG)1.93
9Total shots15
4Shots on target4
2Big chances1
3Corners5
Shots
2Shots off target4
3Blocked shots7
5Shots inside box10
4Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
16Touches in box22
67Final third entries86
1Offsides1
22Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
287Passes295
173Accurate passes183
29/94 (31%)Long balls18/71 (25%)
2/11 (18%)Crosses5/17 (29%)
26Throw-ins29
Duels
52Duels48
46/80 (57%)Ground duels34/80 (43%)
28/63 (44%)Aerial duels35/63 (56%)
4/11 (36%)Dribbles6/18 (33%)
9Dispossessed8
Defending
20Tackles16
50Tackles won63
11Interceptions12
37Clearances23
55Recoveries49
Discipline
13Fouls23
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
8Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Bristol Rovers to win 41% · 2.70 @ 1xBet
Who winsCrewe to win (DNB) 64% · 2.20 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.83 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.63 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.33 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.06 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.39 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.58 @ 1xBet
1X2Crewe to win 32% · 3.34 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.95
Crewe Alexandra
3.40
Draw
2.25
Bristol Rovers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.55
Crewe Alexandra or Draw
1.29
Crewe Alexandra or Bristol Rovers
1.35
Draw or Bristol Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.15
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.81
Over 2.50
1.96
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.35
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.12
Crewe Alexandra
1.64
Bristol Rovers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.62
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.54
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.24
Over 10.50
1.58
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.50
Crewe Alexandra
2.20
Draw
2.87
Bristol Rovers
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.10
Crewe Alexandra
2.50
Draw
2.62
Bristol Rovers
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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