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Rotherham United
Gillingham
Gillingham
Rotherham United
Gillingham
Rotherham United
Rotherham United
Alex Bruce
Rotherham United
Gillingham
Rotherham United
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3
Gillingham
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Rotherham United 1-4 Gillingham.
90+4'
Attempt missed. J. Fitzgerald (Rotherham United), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
90+1'
Rotherham United
Offside, Rotherham United.
90'
8 minutes of added time.
87'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
84'
Gillingham
Offside, Gillingham.
60'
Goal! Rotherham United 1-2 Gillingham. L. Sillah (Gillingham) scores, assisted by J. Brophy.
55'
Attempt blocked. K. Spence (Rotherham United), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
55'
Rotherham United
Corner, Rotherham United.
54'
Attempt blocked. J. Buyabu (Rotherham United), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.
52'
Attempt missed. K. Ngwenya (Rotherham United), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Rotherham United 1-1 Gillingham.
45+1'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
31'
Rotherham United
Offside, Rotherham United.
25'
Rotherham United
Corner, Rotherham United.
17'
Goal! Rotherham United 1-0 Gillingham. P. Mullin (Rotherham United) scores, assisted by K. Spence.
1'
Kick-off: Rotherham United vs Gillingham.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
13373 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
44.6%
-54.4 vs price
Home
800.0 · implied 0.1%
43.7%
+43.5 vs price
Draw
800.0 · implied 0.1%
11.8%
+11.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
224 EUR · live
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
99.8%
+11.3 vs price
Over
0.0%
4 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
P. Mullin · assist K. Spence1–0
34'
⚽
R. Hale1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
J. Jellis ◂ O. Ashley
47'
J. Brophy · Foul
51'
L. Dobbs · Argument
60'
⚽
L. Sillah · assist J. Brophy1–2
61'
🔁
T. Bradshaw ◂ J. Austerfield
66'
J. Eyestone · Foul
67'
⚽
R. Hale (pen)1–3
68'
🔁
A. Nemane ◂ K. Spence
75'
D. Iorfa · Foul
77'
🔁
E. Coleman ◂ A. Little
78'
🔁
B. Dack ◂ H. Waldock
82'
🔁
T. Eaves ◂ L. Sillah
82'
🔁
S. Kendall ◂ R. Hale
83'
🔁
J. Daley ◂ L. Dobbs
84'
🔁
J. Fitzgerald ◂ D. Iorfa
88'
S. Aljofree · Foul
89'
⚽
T. Eaves (pen)1–4
Full-time · 1–4
Coaches
Alex BruceGareth Ainsworth 
Recent form
Rotherham UnitedLAExeter City0-1
DHCrewe Alexandra1-1
WANorthampton Town1-0
DHSalford City3-3
LABristol Rovers0-1
GillinghamDHNewport County0-0
LAYork City0-3
WHBristol Rovers3-0
WHTranmere Rovers2-0
WARochdale4-1
About this match
**Rotherham's tightness meets Gillingham's hot streak** — the Millers are grinding it out with defensive solidity, but the Gills have won three of their last five and smell blood. 📊
Rotherham's form is a mixed bag (1W-2D-2L), while Gillingham are clicking right now. The head-to-head is razor-tight, so this is genuinely a coin flip on paper.
Key storylines:
- **Rotherham's backline** (T. Cann, K. Ngwenya, S. Aljofree, D. Iorfa) will need to stay compact and suffocate **Gillingham's attacking rhythm**
- **Gillingham's recent wins** (3-0 over Bristol Rovers, 3-0 over York) show they can pile on pressure — watch if **R. McKenzie** and **K. Harris** can unlock space in midfield
- **P. Mullin and F. Tavares** must carry Rotherham's creative load; they'll be key to staying in this
Expected lineups:
- **Rotherham United**: T. Cann, K. Ngwenya, S. Aljofree, D. Iorfa, D. Hall, O. Ashley, E. Otoo, J. Austerfield
- **Gillingham**: O. Wright, J. Brophy, O. Beckles, A. Smith, L. Dobbs, H. Waldock, N. Freeman, R. McKenzie
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both defenses will hold firm, and neither finds the killer pass. Slight lean toward the stalemate given the tight H2H and Rotherham's recent defensive shape. ⚪
Match facts
Kickoff
10 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Rotherham United
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3
Gillingham
13
J. Eyestone
5.4
15
J. Fitzgerald
6.3
↑ 84'
14
S. Aljofree
6.2
5
K. Ngwenya
6.2
12
D. Hall
6.8
28
B. Cover
6.6
22
J. Jellis
6.4
↑ 46'
24
J. Buyabu
5.9
23
A. Nemane
6.8
↑ 68'
9
T. Bradshaw
6.8
↑ 61'
10
P. Mullin
7.5
1
O. Wright
6.7
5
A. Smith
6.8
19
O. Beckles
7.0
20
J. Daley
6.6
↑ 83'
22
N. Freeman
7.0
6
E. Coleman
6.6
↑ 77'
14
R. McKenzie
6.7
16
J. Brophy
6.8
23
B. Dack
6.6
↑ 78'
18
S. Kendall
6.7
↑ 82'
39
T. Eaves
7.6
↑ 82'
Substitutes
1GT. Cann
27DD. Iorfa↓ 84'6.4
26DH. Douglas
2DJ. Rafferty
4MJ. Austerfield↓ 61'7.4
6MO. Ashley↓ 46'6.6
8MK. Spence↓ 68'6.6
Coach: Alex Bruce
Substitutes
40GR. Luthra
26DL. Dobbs↓ 83'6.7
8MA. Little↓ 77'6.7
24MH. Waldock↓ 78'6.2
17MC. Antwi
10FR. Hale↓ 82'8.2
11FL. Sillah↓ 82'7.7
Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Top stats
62%Possession38%
0.76Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.89
12Total shots8
5Shots on target4
2Big chances2
2Corners2
Shots
3Shots off target4
4Blocked shots0
7Shots inside box6
5Shots outside box2
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed0
Attack
20Touches in box10
74Final third entries58
2Offsides1
13Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
478Passes293
367Accurate passes182
25/66 (38%)Long balls29/95 (31%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses1/10 (0%)
23Throw-ins28
Duels
55Duels45
29/54 (54%)Ground duels25/54 (46%)
19/33 (58%)Aerial duels14/33 (42%)
3/5 (60%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
4Dispossessed8
Defending
13Tackles6
62Tackles won33
9Interceptions14
26Clearances22
55Recoveries54
Discipline
16Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
5Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Rotherham to win 48% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.46 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.15 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.51 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.15 @ William Hill
Who winsRotherham to win (DNB) 54% · 1.48 @ Unibet
1X2Gillingham to win 25% · 4.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.91
Rotherham United
3.45
Draw
3.80
Gillingham
Double Chanceconsensus
1.24
Rotherham United or Draw
1.25
Rotherham United or Gillingham
1.83
Draw or Gillingham
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.98
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
Rotherham United
2.56
Gillingham
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.52
Over 8.50
2.33
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.83
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.38
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.46
Rotherham United
2.15
Draw
4.50
Gillingham
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.27
Rotherham United
2.40
Draw
4.00
Gillingham
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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