Shrewsbury Town 0-1 Exeter City: Stats & xG – Oct 10, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Shrewsbury Town 0-1 Exeter City.

90+7'

A. Jude-Boyd

Attempt missed. A. Jude-Boyd (Shrewsbury Town), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

90+6'

S. Cox

Substitution, Exeter City: E. James comes on for S. Cox.

90+5'

J. Gbode

Attempt blocked. J. Gbode (Shrewsbury Town), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

90+5'

G. Birch

Substitution, Exeter City: V. Harper comes on for G. Birch.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

J. Turner-Cooke

Yellow card for J. Turner-Cooke (Shrewsbury Town) for foul.

89'

W. Boyle

Attempt missed. W. Boyle (Shrewsbury Town), header from a corner. xG 0.16.

89'

K. Berkoe

Substitution, Shrewsbury Town: J. Gbode comes on for K. Berkoe.

86'

S. Cox

Goal! Shrewsbury Town 0-1 Exeter City. S. Cox (Exeter City) scores, assisted by G. Birch.

85'

G. Lloyd

Attempt saved. G. Lloyd (Shrewsbury Town), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.10.

81'

J. Gordon

Attempt missed. J. Gordon (Exeter City), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.61.

78'

A. Jude-Boyd

Off the woodwork! A. Jude-Boyd (Shrewsbury Town), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

78'

T. Perry

Substitution, Exeter City: S. Cox comes on for T. Perry.

77'

T. Perry

Yellow card for T. Perry (Exeter City) for foul.

76'

W. Gray

Yellow card for W. Gray (Shrewsbury Town) for foul.

74'

T. Sang

Substitution, Shrewsbury Town: W. Gray comes on for T. Sang.

73'

I. Fletcher

Substitution, Shrewsbury Town: J. Davison comes on for I. Fletcher.

70'

J. Turner-Cooke

Attempt missed. J. Turner-Cooke (Shrewsbury Town), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

69'

A. Scully

Substitution, Exeter City: E. Sutherland comes on for A. Scully.

67'

L. Hoole

Substitution, Shrewsbury Town: A. Jude-Boyd comes on for L. Hoole.

65'

L. Hoole

Yellow card for L. Hoole (Shrewsbury Town) for foul.

62'

J. Gordon

Attempt missed. J. Gordon (Exeter City), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

53'

A. Scully

Attempt blocked. A. Scully (Exeter City), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

52'

C. Cummins

Attempt missed. C. Cummins (Exeter City), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

47'

S. Stubbs

Attempt missed. S. Stubbs (Shrewsbury Town), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.17.

47'

I. Fletcher

Attempt saved. I. Fletcher (Shrewsbury Town), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.50.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Shrewsbury Town 0-0 Exeter City.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

G. Lloyd

Attempt blocked. G. Lloyd (Shrewsbury Town), header. xG 0.15.

43'

J. Doyle-Hayes

Yellow card for J. Doyle-Hayes (Exeter City) for foul.

37'

J. Ruffels

Attempt saved. J. Ruffels (Shrewsbury Town), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.07.

26'

S. Stubbs

Attempt blocked. S. Stubbs (Shrewsbury Town), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

25'

K. Brown

Attempt blocked. K. Brown (Shrewsbury Town), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

11'

T. Sang

Yellow card for T. Sang (Shrewsbury Town) for foul.

7'

K. Berkoe

Attempt blocked. K. Berkoe (Shrewsbury Town), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

1'

Kick-off: Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City.

Where the money is

25433 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 11684 EUR · live

Draw 10.0 · implied 10.0%

46.9%

+36.9 vs price

Home 85.0 · implied 1.2%

27.1%

+25.9 vs price

Away 1.08 · implied 92.6%

26.0%

-66.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 2976 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

61.2%

-35.9 vs price

Over 8.4 · implied 11.9%

38.8%

+26.9 vs price

4 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

11' T. Sang · Foul

43' J. Doyle-Hayes · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

65' L. Hoole · Foul

67' 🔁 A. Jude-Boyd ◂ L. Hoole

69' 🔁 E. Sutherland ◂ A. Scully

73' 🔁 J. Davison ◂ I. Fletcher

74' 🔁 W. Gray ◂ T. Sang

76' W. Gray · Foul

77' T. Perry · Foul

78' 🔁 S. Cox ◂ T. Perry

86' ⚽ S. Cox · assist G. Birch0–1

89' 🔁 J. Gbode ◂ K. Berkoe

Full-time · 0–1

90' J. Turner-Cooke · Foul

90'⁺⁵ 🔁 V. Harper ◂ G. Birch

90'⁺⁶ 🔁 E. James ◂ S. Cox

Coaches

Gavin Cowan

Matt Taylor

Recent form

Shrewsbury Town

WAGrimsby Town2-1

DHColchester United2-2

DACrewe Alexandra1-1

WHNorthampton Town2-0

LAFleetwood Town0-2

Exeter City

WHRotherham United1-0

LABristol Rovers0-1

DHTranmere Rovers0-0

LAPort Vale0-1

DHWalsall0-0

About this match

**Shrewsbury's form is humming, but Exeter's resilience could make this a scrap.** These sides couldn't look more different right now — one's clicking, one's grinding 🔧

Shrewsbury are unbeaten in five and **genuinely dangerous going forward**, while Exeter are struggling to find wins but **won't roll over easily**. The H2H is tight (Shrewsbury 3, Exeter 4 in the last decade), so history says expect a close one.

Key storylines:

- **Shrewsbury's attacking setup** with K. Berkoe and J. Davison needs to find early chances before Exeter settles
- **Exeter's back four** (J. Fitzwater, L. Woodhouse, E. Sutherland, L. Samuel) will be tested relentlessly by League Two standards
- **J. Turner-Cooke and W. Gray** controlling midfield tempo could be the difference — Shrewsbury's build-up play has been slick

Expected lineups:

- **Shrewsbury Town**: W. Brook, J. Ruffels, W. Boyle, S. Stubbs, L. Hoole, W. Gray, I. Fletcher, J. Turner-Cooke, K. Berkoe, J. Davison, T. Sang
- **Exeter City**: J. Bycroft, E. Sutherland, J. Fitzwater, L. Woodhouse, L. Samuel, C. Cummins, R. Cole, G. Edwards, J. Doyle-Hayes, E. James, J. Gordon

Prediction:

**Shrewsbury 2-1 Exeter**. Home form and momentum give Shrewsbury the edge, but Exeter's defensive discipline keeps it tight ⚽

Match facts

Kickoff

10 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Competition

League Two

Highlights & clips

Shrewsbury Town 3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1 Exeter City

1 W. Brook 6.2 6 S. Stubbs 7.2 5 W. Boyle 6.6 3 J. Ruffels 7.1 17 A. Jude-Boyd 6.2 ↑ 67' 21 W. Gray 6.4 ↑ 74' 7 J. Turner-Cooke 7.0 27 J. Gbode 6.4 ↑ 89' 18 K. Brown 7.0 9 G. Lloyd 6.2 13 J. Davison 6.5 ↑ 73' 1 J. Bycroft 8.3 2 L. Samuel 7.4 6 J. Taylor 7.9 5 J. Fitzwater 7.0 3 L. Woodhouse 7.4 31 J. Doyle-Hayes 7.5 16 C. Cummins 6.7 23 E. Sutherland 7.2 ↑ 69' 19 S. Cox 7.7 ↑ 78' 40 E. James ↑ 90' 10 J. Gordon 6.5

Substitutes

32GC. Gregory 2DL. Hoole↓ 67'6.1 23DI. Lee 24DL. D. C. Sousa 11MK. Berkoe↓ 89'7.4 10MT. Sang↓ 74'6.8 8FI. Fletcher↓ 73'7.0

Coach: Gavin Cowan

Substitutes

22GF. Phillips 20MG. Birch↓ 90'7.0 8MT. Perry↓ 78'6.2 24MV. Harper↑ 90' 14MH. Kite 18ML. Oakes 25FA. Scully↓ 69'6.6

Coach: Matt Taylor

Top stats

44%Possession56%

1.61Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.85

13Total shots5

3Shots on target1

3Big chances3

7Corners3

Shots

5Shots off target3

5Blocked shots1

10Shots inside box3

3Shots outside box2

1Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed2

Attack

22Touches in box12

71Final third entries88

1Offsides2

9Free kicks17

0Fouled in final third2

Passing

306Passes402

171Accurate passes298

25/83 (30%)Long balls21/71 (30%)

4/22 (18%)Crosses4/16 (25%)

29Throw-ins18

Duels

52Duels48

25/51 (49%)Ground duels26/51 (51%)

34/63 (54%)Aerial duels29/63 (46%)

2/2 (100%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)

6Dispossessed7

Defending

15Tackles6

60Tackles won67

9Interceptions4

25Clearances74

47Recoveries45

Discipline

17Fouls9

4Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

8Goal kicks8

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Shrewsbury 44%

29%

Exeter 27%

Who winsExeter to win (DNB) 50% · 2.50 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.14 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.24 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 29% · 2.31 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.25 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

1X2Shrewsbury to win 44% · 2.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.39 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

1X2Exeter to win 27% · 3.89 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.38 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

Shrewsbury Town

3.25

Draw

3.40

Exeter City

Double Chanceconsensus

1.27

Shrewsbury Town or Draw

1.30

Shrewsbury Town or Exeter City

1.66

Draw or Exeter City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.87

Yes

1.83

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

8.25

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.38

Over 1.50

2.78

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.15

Over 2.50

1.65

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.04

Over 3.50

1.22

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.50

Over 4.50

1.05

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.50

Shrewsbury Town

2.40

Exeter City

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.33

Over 7.50

2.88

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.64

Over 8.50

2.13

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.05

Over 9.50

1.69

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.66

Over 10.50

1.39

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.71

Over 11.50

1.19

Under 11.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.70

Shrewsbury Town

2.05

Draw

4.00

Exeter City

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

2.50

Shrewsbury Town

2.30

Draw

3.60

Exeter City

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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