Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**York's on a tear at the Bootham — Northampton's coming off back-to-back hammerings.** This is a classic trap game waiting to happen, but the Minstermen's home form is genuinely scary right now. 📈
York are **2W 1D 2L** over their last five, with wins over Gillingham (3-0) and Swindon (4-0) at home showing they can absolutely dismantle teams on their own pitch. Northampton, meanwhile, are **1W 2D 2L**, and those 0-2 losses to Shrewsbury and 0-1 to Rotherham suggest they're leaking goals against serious competition.
Key storylines:
- **York City's home blitz** — three wins in five with scorelines like 4-0 and 3-0 mean Northampton's defence has a mountain to climb
- **Northampton's road woes** — back-to-back away defeats leave them fragile heading into hostile territory
- **Even head-to-head** — 3-3-2 record between these two over eight meetings keeps this from being a complete mismatch
Expected lineups:
- **York City**: A. McNally, M. Kitching, M. Williams, Z. Johnson, R. Fallowfield, O. Banks, A. Hunt, H. Boyes
- **Northampton Town**: Z. Jeacock, J. Maxwell, E. Moore, J. Guthrie, J. Wormleighton, L. Evans, T. Fornah, S. Hoskins
Prediction:
**York City 2-0 Northampton Town** — lean to the hosts riding their form and Northampton's fragile shape away from home. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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