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Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury Town
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
S. Evans
Shrewsbury Town
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury Town
Gavin Cowan
Shrewsbury Town
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury Town
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Bristol Rovers
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Bristol Rovers.
90+5'
Bristol Rovers
Offside, Bristol Rovers.
90'
9 minutes of added time.
82'
Attempt missed. R. Russell-Denny (Bristol Rovers), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
82'
Bristol Rovers
Corner, Bristol Rovers.
77'
Goal! Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Bristol Rovers. G. Lloyd (Shrewsbury Town) converts the penalty.
56'
Shrewsbury Town
Corner, Shrewsbury Town.
54'
Shrewsbury Town
Corner, Shrewsbury Town.
53'
Shrewsbury Town
Corner, Shrewsbury Town.
46'
Bristol Rovers
Offside, Bristol Rovers.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Shrewsbury Town 0-0 Bristol Rovers.
45'
1 minute of added time.
42'
Attempt blocked. B. Kamwa (Bristol Rovers), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
41'
Attempt blocked. T. James (Bristol Rovers), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
39'
Bristol Rovers
Corner, Bristol Rovers.
34'
S. Evans
Yellow card for S. Evans (Bristol Rovers) for argument.
17'
Shrewsbury Town
Corner, Shrewsbury Town.
15'
Bristol Rovers
Offside, Bristol Rovers.
12'
Bristol Rovers
Corner, Bristol Rovers.
10'
Attempt blocked. K. Brown (Shrewsbury Town), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.
8'
Attempt blocked. J. Davison (Shrewsbury Town), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.16.
8'
Attempt blocked. W. Boyle (Shrewsbury Town), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.52.
7'
Bristol Rovers
Offside, Bristol Rovers.
6'
Attempt missed. J. Ruffels (Shrewsbury Town), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
2'
Shrewsbury Town
Corner, Shrewsbury Town.
2'
Shrewsbury Town
Corner, Shrewsbury Town.
1'
Kick-off: Shrewsbury Town vs Bristol Rovers.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
20640 EUR · live
Home
1.1 · implied 90.9%
37.5%
-53.4 vs price
Away
200.0 · implied 0.5%
37.3%
+36.8 vs price
Draw
11.0 · implied 9.1%
25.2%
+16.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10098 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.1%
-15.9 vs price
Over
15.5 · implied 6.5%
18.3%
+11.8 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
S. Forde · Foul
16'
J. Ruffels · Foul
34'
S. Evans · Argument
43'
G. Lloyd · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
58'
🔁
A. Appiah ◂ B. Kamwa
58'
🔁
J. Quigley ◂ R. Smallwood
64'
K. Gough · Foul
68'
🔁
R. Russell-Denny ◂ C. Mola
73'
🔁
J. Sparkes ◂ C. Kelly
77'
⚽
G. Lloyd (pen)1–0
80'
J. Turner-Cooke · Foul
84'
🔁
W. Gray ◂ K. Brown
84'
🔁
I. Fletcher ◂ J. Davison
88'
B. Purrington · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
90'+4
I. Fletcher · Foul
Coaches
Gavin CowanSteve Evans 
Recent form
Shrewsbury TownLHExeter City0-1
WAGrimsby Town2-1
DHColchester United2-2
DACrewe Alexandra1-1
WHNorthampton Town2-0
Bristol RoversLHBarnet1-3
LACrewe Alexandra1-3
WHExeter City1-0
LAGillingham0-3
LAGrimsby Town0-2
About this match
**Shrewsbury roll in as heavy favorites, while Bristol Rovers are desperately searching for form** 🔴
Shrewsbury have found their groove with a solid 2W-2D run, bouncing back nicely after that Exeter loss. Bristol Rovers, though? Four defeats in five tells you everything — they're in proper freefall and facing a team that knows how to capitalize.
Key storylines:
- **Shrewsbury's midfield engine** with W. Gray and I. Fletcher will likely dominate possession against a Bristol Rovers side lacking confidence
- **T. Sang's attacking threat** from the wing could feast on a leaky Rovers defence if they continue their recent defensive struggles
- **Bristol Rovers' win drought** is real — only one win in five means they're desperately chasing points at the worst possible time
Expected lineups:
- **Shrewsbury Town**: W. Brook, J. Ruffels, W. Boyle, S. Stubbs, L. Hoole, W. Gray, I. Fletcher, J. Turner-Cooke, K. Berkoe, G. Lloyd, T. Sang
- **Bristol Rovers**: B. Young, C. Mola, K. Balmer, C. Kelly, T. James, R. Smallwood, R. Harbottle, B. Kamwa, T. Leigh, S. Forde, F. Cavegn
Prediction:
**Shrewsbury 2-0 Bristol Rovers**
Clear home edge — Shrewsbury's momentum and Rovers' form crisis makes this a one-way affair. 💪
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
17 Oct, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Shrewsbury Town
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Bristol Rovers
1
W. Brook
7.3
6
S. Stubbs
7.7
5
W. Boyle
7.5
3
J. Ruffels
6.9
2
L. Hoole
6.7
10
T. Sang
6.9
7
J. Turner-Cooke
6.1
11
K. Berkoe
7.0
21
W. Gray
6.6
↑ 84'
9
G. Lloyd
6.9
8
I. Fletcher
5.7
↑ 84'
1
B. Young
6.2
2
T. James
6.3
4
K. Balmer
7.4
3
J. Sparkes
6.6
↑ 73'
14
B. Purrington
7.1
28
A. Appiah
7.0
↑ 58'
8
R. Russell-Denny
6.4
↑ 68'
7
S. Forde
6.3
22
K. Gough
6.9
9
J. Quigley
6.3
↑ 58'
29
F. Cavegn
6.3
Substitutes
32GC. Gregory
24DL. D. C. Sousa
17DA. Jude-Boyd
23DI. Lee
18MK. Brown↓ 84'7.3
20MM. Golding
13FJ. Davison↓ 84'5.9
Coach: Gavin Cowan
Substitutes
32GC. Binns
17DC. Kelly↓ 73'6.8
6DC. Mola↓ 68'6.4
21MR. Smallwood↓ 58'6.9
10MB. Kamwa↓ 58'6.6
27MP. Sanyaolu
19FE. Harrison
Coach: Steve Evans
Top stats
45%Possession55%
2.05Expected goals (xG)0.61
10Total shots8
3Shots on target1
1Big chances0
6Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target3
3Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box5
2Shots outside box3
1Big chances scored0
Attack
25Touches in box14
68Final third entries86
1Offsides4
14Free kicks15
6Fouled in final third4
Passing
280Passes344
169Accurate passes228
20/75 (27%)Long balls20/83 (24%)
6/20 (30%)Crosses2/18 (11%)
27Throw-ins22
Duels
51Duels49
23/50 (46%)Ground duels27/50 (54%)
34/61 (56%)Aerial duels27/61 (44%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles2/4 (50%)
7Dispossessed3
Defending
5Tackles11
60Tackles won45
9Interceptions9
41Clearances28
50Recoveries47
Discipline
15Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
2Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
4Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsBristol Rovers to win (DNB) 53% · 1.65 @ Betsson
1X2Bristol Rovers to win 41% · 2.70 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.37 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.86 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ 1xBet
1X2Shrewsbury to win 30% · 3.44 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.02
Shrewsbury Town
3.28
Draw
2.25
Bristol Rovers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.57
Shrewsbury Town or Draw
1.29
Shrewsbury Town or Bristol Rovers
1.33
Draw or Bristol Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.78
Yes
1.93
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.02
Over 2.50
1.73
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.35
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.20
Shrewsbury Town
1.61
Bristol Rovers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.36
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.57
Over 8.50
2.27
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50
1.81
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.32
Over 10.50
1.54
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.12
Over 11.50
1.28
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.70
Shrewsbury Town
2.10
Draw
2.87
Bristol Rovers
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.30
Shrewsbury Town
2.35
Draw
2.62
Bristol Rovers
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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