← All matches
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Gillingham
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
John Doolan
Accrington Stanley
Gillingham
Accrington Stanley
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-3
Gillingham
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Accrington Stanley 3-1 Gillingham.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
88'
Attempt saved. J. Woods (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.
77'
Accrington Stanley
Offside, Accrington Stanley.
73'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
72'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
69'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
68'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
66'
Goal! Accrington Stanley 3-1 Gillingham. J. Woods (Accrington Stanley) scores, assisted by S. Mols.
65'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
64'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
60'
Attempt missed. J. Woods (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
59'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
51'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Accrington Stanley 2-1 Gillingham.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
43'
Attempt missed. A. Borland (Accrington Stanley), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
42'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
39'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
38'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
30'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
28'
Goal! Accrington Stanley 2-0 Gillingham. J. Woods (Accrington Stanley) scores, assisted by S. Mols.
28'
Accrington Stanley
Corner, Accrington Stanley.
27'
Attempt blocked. J. Anderson (Accrington Stanley), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
22'
Attempt missed. D. Matthews (Accrington Stanley), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.08.
13'
Attempt missed. R. McKenzie (Gillingham), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.
1'
Kick-off: Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
13827 EUR · live
Away
48.0 · implied 2.1%
58.9%
+56.8 vs price
Home
1.12 · implied 89.3%
28.6%
-60.7 vs price
Draw
12.0 · implied 8.3%
12.6%
+4.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11993 EUR · live
Under
5.8 · implied 17.2%
74.0%
+56.8 vs price
Over
1.2 · implied 83.3%
26.0%
-57.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
162 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
88.1%
-1.2 vs price
Over
6.0 · implied 16.7%
20.0%
+3.4 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
D. Matthews · Foul
11'
⚽
S. Mols1–0
19'
D. Love · Foul
21'
H. Waldock · Foul
28'
⚽
J. Woods · assist S. Mols2–0
31'
⚽
D. Matthews2–1
33'
A. Little · Foul
Half-time · 2–1
54'
🔁
J. Daley ◂ L. Dobbs
55'
🔁
T. Eaves ◂ A. Little
55'
🔁
E. Coleman ◂ H. Waldock
66'
⚽
J. Woods · assist S. Mols3–1
70'
🔁
B. Dack ◂ L. Sillah
70'
🔁
G. McCleary ◂ A. Smith
76'
🔁
C. Grant ◂ C. Warren
79'
R. Hale · Simulation
Full-time · 3–1
Coaches
John DoolanGareth Ainsworth 
Recent form
Accrington StanleyDAOldham Athletic0-0
WHCheltenham Town2-0
DASwindon Town1-1
DHNewport County0-0
LABarnet1-2
GillinghamWARotherham United4-1
DHNewport County0-0
LAYork City0-3
WHBristol Rovers3-0
WHTranmere Rovers2-0
About this match
**Gillingham rolls into the northwest as the sharper side, but Accrington's grit could make this a proper scrap.** 🔥 The Gills are riding a three-win streak while Stanley are grinding out draws — the contrast in momentum is real.
Accrington have won just once in five but keep things tight (three draws show defensive solidity). Gillingham, meanwhile, just torched Rotherham 4-1 but also got hammered 3-0 at York, so they're a bit of a wildcard.
Key storylines:
- **Gillingham's firepower vs Accrington's stoicism** — the Gills' attacking shape with R. McKenzie and K. Harris should test the home defence early
- **Set-piece battles** — both sides could lean on dead-ball delivery to break through; T. Walton for Stanley and L. Dobbs for Gillingham are focal points
- **Gillingham's consistency puzzle** — can they string together performances, or will another flat display emerge like at York?
Expected lineups:
- **Accrington Stanley**: L. Moulden, D. Tutonda, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, C. O'Brien, S. Conneely, D. Love, T. Walton
- **Gillingham**: O. Wright, J. Brophy, O. Beckles, A. Smith, L. Dobbs, H. Waldock, N. Freeman, R. McKenzie
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — Gillingham's form gives them an edge, but Accrington's five-game unbeaten streak at home and defensive structure earn them a point. Coin flip on the night. ⚽
Match facts
Kickoff
17 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Accrington Stanley
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-3
Gillingham
1
L. Moulden
6.7
2
D. Love
7.0
17
D. Matthews
6.0
22
J. Anderson
6.6
38
C. O'Brien
6.2
16
A. Borland
6.9
14
S. Mols
8.4
33
D. Tutonda
7.4
39
J. Woods
9.7
23
T. Walton
7.0
8
C. Grant
6.4
↑ 76'
1
O. Wright
5.8
12
G. McCleary
6.8
↑ 70'
19
O. Beckles
6.7
20
J. Daley
7.3
↑ 54'
22
N. Freeman
6.6
14
R. McKenzie
6.5
6
E. Coleman
6.5
↑ 55'
16
J. Brophy
7.3
39
T. Eaves
6.5
↑ 55'
23
B. Dack
6.4
↑ 70'
10
R. Hale
6.4
Substitutes
21GJ. Rogerson
3DO. Smith
25DJ. Smith
4DT. Moore
20MC. Brown
30FC. Warren↓ 76'6.1
Coach: John Doolan
Substitutes
40GR. Luthra
26DL. Dobbs↓ 54'6.7
5DA. Smith↓ 70'5.3
24MH. Waldock↓ 55'6.3
8MA. Little↓ 55'5.9
11FL. Sillah↓ 70'7.0
18FS. Kendall
Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Top stats
54%Possession46%
2.71Expected goals (xG)0.31
21Total shots6
7Shots on target0
3Big chances0
11Corners1
Shots
10Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
12Shots inside box6
9Shots outside box0
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
Attack
37Touches in box11
99Final third entries51
1Offsides0
15Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
345Passes312
232Accurate passes192
30/77 (39%)Long balls28/88 (32%)
9/33 (27%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
28Throw-ins32
Duels
47Duels53
31/61 (51%)Ground duels30/61 (49%)
30/69 (43%)Aerial duels39/69 (57%)
7/14 (50%)Dribbles6/9 (67%)
10Dispossessed8
Defending
11Tackles17
55Tackles won53
11Interceptions15
19Clearances39
43Recoveries39
Discipline
8Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
4Goal kicks11
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Draw 28% · 2.40 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ betfair
1X2Gillingham to win 33% · 3.28 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
Who winsAccrington to win (DNB) 58% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
1X2Accrington to win 40% · 2.80 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.35
Accrington Stanley
3.30
Draw
2.85
Gillingham
Double Chanceconsensus
1.39
Accrington Stanley or Draw
1.29
Accrington Stanley or Gillingham
1.53
Draw or Gillingham
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.95
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.03
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.92
Over 2.50
1.81
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.40
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.65
Accrington Stanley
2.10
Gillingham
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.38
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.44
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.30
Over 10.50
1.54
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.10
Over 11.50
1.28
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.00
Accrington Stanley
2.14
Draw
3.50
Gillingham
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.64
Accrington Stanley
2.39
Draw
3.10
Gillingham
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.