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Rotherham United
Newport County
Newport County
Rotherham United
Rotherham United
Newport County
Rotherham United
Alex Bruce
Rotherham United
Newport County
Rotherham United
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
Newport County
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Rotherham United 2-2 Newport County.
90+1'
Attempt missed. K. Cameron (Newport County), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.17.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
78'
Rotherham United
Offside, Rotherham United.
62'
Newport County
Corner, Newport County.
61'
Newport County
Corner, Newport County.
57'
Attempt blocked. C. Brennan (Newport County), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.10.
57'
Attempt missed. M. Adu-Poku (Newport County), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.15.
53'
Attempt saved. P. Mullin (Rotherham United), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
52'
Rotherham United
Corner, Rotherham United.
52'
Attempt saved. P. Mullin (Rotherham United), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.
52'
Attempt saved. D. Iorfa (Rotherham United), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.
52'
Attempt blocked. J. Jellis (Rotherham United), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Rotherham United 2-1 Newport County.
45+3'
Rotherham United
Corner, Rotherham United.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
43'
Attempt blocked. J. Jellis (Rotherham United), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.
39'
Newport County
Offside, Newport County.
34'
Rotherham United
Offside, Rotherham United.
28'
Goal! Rotherham United 2-1 Newport County. H. Biggins (Newport County) converts the penalty.
23'
Attempt missed. M. M. Dibley-Dias (Newport County), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.
12'
Goal! Rotherham United 2-0 Newport County. A. Nemane (Rotherham United) scores, assisted by J. Fitzgerald.
4'
Goal! Rotherham United 1-0 Newport County. P. Mullin (Rotherham United) converts the penalty.
1'
Kick-off: Rotherham United vs Newport County.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2186 EUR
Home
2.32 · implied 43.1%
74.8%
+31.7 vs price
Away
3.4 · implied 29.4%
14.3%
-15.1 vs price
Draw
3.65 · implied 27.4%
10.9%
-16.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
204 EUR
Over
1.95 · implied 51.3%
97.9%
+46.6 vs price
Under
2.04 · implied 49.0%
1.5%
-47.5 vs price
1 more market on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
P. Mullin (pen)1–0
12'
⚽
A. Nemane · assist J. Fitzgerald2–0
16'
J. Jellis · Foul
28'
⚽
H. Biggins (pen)2–1
42'
G. Garner · Argument
42'
P. Mullin · Argument
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
M. Smith ◂ A. Merritt
54'
⚽
G. Garner2–2
60'
🔁
Y. Bamba ◂ M. Adu-Poku
60'
🔁
K. Etete ◂ G. Garner
64'
🔁
K. Lolos ◂ J. Buyabu
73'
🔁
K. Ngwenya ◂ D. Hall
85'
🔁
T. Bradshaw ◂ K. Spence
89'
H. Douglas · Foul
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Alex BruceHayden Mullins 
Recent form
Rotherham UnitedLAFleetwood Town0-2
LHGillingham1-4
LAExeter City0-1
DHCrewe Alexandra1-1
WANorthampton Town1-0
Newport CountyDHYork City1-1
WHColchester United1-0
DAGillingham0-0
WHGrimsby Town2-1
DAAccrington Stanley0-0
About this match
**Rotherham's desperate need for a W clashes with Newport's quiet, steady climb** — one team's bleeding out, the other's just vibing. 🔴
Rotherham have won just once in five, including two brutal home hammerings (1-4 vs Gillingham, 0-2 vs Fleetwood). Newport? They're unbeaten in their last five with 2W and 3D — zero losses. This is a classic mismatch in momentum, even if Rotherham's home.
Key storylines:
- **Rotherham** desperately need **T. Bradshaw** and the attack to finally click after consecutive heavy defeats
- **Newport's** rock-solid defence (only one loss in five) will lean on **C. Evans** and **K. Cameron** to keep another clean sheet
- **J. Eyestone** and the Rotherham back line are leaking goals — they'll face another stern test against a clicking Newport side
Expected lineups:
- **Rotherham United**: J. Eyestone, S. Aljofree, L. Agbaire, E. Adegboyega, J. Buyabu, O. Ashley, D. Hall, E. Otoo, P. Mullin, F. Tavares, T. Bradshaw
- **Newport County**: J. Wright, L. Jenkins, K. Cameron, C. Evans, J. Thomas, C. Brennan, H. Biggins, S. Gwengwe, M. M. Dibley-Dias, C. Norman, C. Doidge
Prediction:
**0-1 Newport** — lean Newport. Form speaks volumes here; Rotherham are fragile at home and Newport just know how to grind. 📊
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
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Match facts
Kickoff
20 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Rotherham United
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
Newport County
13
J. Eyestone
5.8
2
J. Rafferty
7.0
27
D. Iorfa
7.5
26
H. Douglas
6.1
5
K. Ngwenya
6.8
↑ 73'
9
T. Bradshaw
6.5
↑ 85'
15
J. Fitzgerald
6.7
22
J. Jellis
6.0
23
A. Nemane
7.9
10
P. Mullin
6.5
20
K. Lolos
6.5
↑ 64'
1
J. Wright
6.3
5
L. Jenkins
6.3
4
K. Cameron
6.0
12
J. Thomas
6.4
22
C. Norman
7.0
24
M. M. Dibley-Dias
6.4
6
C. Brennan
6.9
8
M. Smith
7.1
↑ 46'
20
Y. Bamba
6.5
↑ 60'
28
K. Etete
6.5
↑ 60'
10
H. Biggins
8.0
Substitutes
1GT. Cann
14DS. Aljofree
24MJ. Buyabu↓ 64'6.4
8MK. Spence↓ 85'6.4
12MD. Hall↓ 73'6.2
4MJ. Austerfield
28MB. Cover
Coach: Alex Bruce
Substitutes
33GS. MacDonald
17DA. Merritt↓ 46'6.4
34DD. Sassi
2DC. Evans
23MM. Adu-Poku↓ 60'7.0
7MK. Evans
19FG. Garner↓ 60'6.8
Coach: Hayden Mullins
Top stats
62%Possession38%
1.36Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.01
12Total shots12
5Shots on target4
2Big chances3
2Corners2
Shots
4Shots off target7
3Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box9
5Shots outside box3
2Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed1
Attack
13Touches in box26
70Final third entries69
2Offsides1
15Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
392Passes248
284Accurate passes140
23/72 (32%)Long balls26/83 (31%)
3/21 (14%)Crosses4/11 (36%)
20Throw-ins35
Duels
46Duels54
36/76 (47%)Ground duels40/76 (53%)
26/59 (44%)Aerial duels33/59 (56%)
7/17 (41%)Dribbles7/18 (39%)
6Dispossessed3
Defending
14Tackles16
71Tackles won75
7Interceptions10
39Clearances41
41Recoveries36
Discipline
18Fouls16
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Draw 28% · 2.43 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.54 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.89 @ 1xBet
1X2Rotherham to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ 1xBet
1X2Newport to win 29% · 3.62 @ 1xBet
Who winsRotherham to win (DNB) 52% · 1.60 @ Betano
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.17
Rotherham United
3.30
Draw
3.25
Newport County
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Rotherham United or Draw
1.29
Rotherham United or Newport County
1.65
Draw or Newport County
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes
2.00
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
9.70
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.92
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.27
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.55
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.55
Rotherham United
2.27
Newport County
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.43
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.40
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.86
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.35
Over 10.50
1.52
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.06
Over 11.50
1.29
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.70
Rotherham United
2.15
Draw
3.75
Newport County
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.45
Rotherham United
2.40
Draw
3.60
Newport County
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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