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Gillingham
Port Vale
Port Vale
Gillingham
Gillingham
Gillingham
Gillingham
Port Vale
Gillingham
Gillingham
Gillingham
Gillingham
Gillingham
Gillingham
Port Vale
Port Vale
Gillingham
Port Vale
Port Vale
Gareth Ainsworth
Gillingham
Port Vale
Gillingham
3-4-3 · 3-5-2
Port Vale
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Gillingham 1-1 Port Vale.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
88'
Gillingham
Offside, Gillingham.
82'
Port Vale
Corner, Port Vale.
78'
Port Vale
Offside, Port Vale.
69'
Gillingham
Offside, Gillingham.
63'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
62'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
57'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
56'
Attempt missed. C. Humphreys (Port Vale), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
56'
Port Vale
Corner, Port Vale.
53'
Gillingham
Offside, Gillingham.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale.
45'
1 minute of added time.
41'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
40'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
39'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
35'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
33'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
28'
Port Vale
Offside, Port Vale.
21'
Port Vale
Offside, Port Vale.
17'
Gillingham
Corner, Gillingham.
9'
Port Vale
Corner, Port Vale.
3'
Port Vale
Corner, Port Vale.
1'
Kick-off: Gillingham vs Port Vale.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2635 EUR
Away
2.38 · implied 42.0%
75.9%
+33.9 vs price
Draw
3.45 · implied 29.0%
14.4%
-14.6 vs price
Home
3.5 · implied 28.6%
10.3%
-18.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
395 EUR
Under
1.81 · implied 55.2%
99.8%
+44.6 vs price
Over
2.22 · implied 45.0%
0.5%
-44.5 vs price
1 more market on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
42'
⚽
R. Hale (pen)1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
K. Figueroa ◂ M. Watters
46'
🔁
O. Lynch ◂ O. Hernández
46'
🔁
K. Dempsey ◂ G. Hall
56'
J. Moon · Foul
66'
⚽
K. Figueroa1–1
66'
🔁
J. Headley ◂ K. John
70'
🔁
H. Waldock ◂ E. Coleman
74'
🔁
G. McCleary ◂ R. Hale
79'
C. McManus · Foul
84'
🔁
S. Kendall ◂ T. Eaves
84'
🔁
M. Luxton ◂ C. McManus
85'
J. Daley · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
90'
🔁
R. Walters ◂ B. Garrity
Coaches
Gareth AinsworthJon Brady 
Recent form
GillinghamLAAccrington Stanley1-3
WARotherham United4-1
DHNewport County0-0
LAYork City0-3
WHBristol Rovers3-0
Port ValeWHChesterfield1-0
WHGrimsby Town1-0
LAWalsall0-2
WHExeter City1-0
LASalford City0-1
About this match
**Dead even on paper, but Gillingham's home edge might just tip it.** After a mixed five-game run for both sides, this feels like a proper coin flip in League Two — though the Gills' 4-1 demolition of Rotherham shows they can absolutely go off on their day. 🔥
Port Vale are rolling with three wins in five, all at home though, so back on the road could be trickier. Gillingham's erratic form (2W 1D 2L) keeps them honest, but the H2H leans their way historically.
Key storylines:
- **Gillingham's attacking depth vs Vale's road test**: R. McKenzie and L. Sillah need to finish chances if the Gills are to capitalize on home advantage.
- **Port Vale's road form**: J. Smith and the Vale defense have been solid at home but 0-2 to Walsall away is a reminder they can slip up — L. Montsma and C. Hall will be tested.
- **Midfield battle**: N. Freeman and J. Brophy for Gillingham vs K. Dempsey and J. Headley for Vale could decide tempo.
Expected lineups:
- **Gillingham**: O. Wright, O. Beckles, A. Smith, L. Dobbs, C. McManus, J. Brophy, N. Freeman, E. King, R. McKenzie, L. Sillah
- **Port Vale**: J. Smith, J. Lawrence-Gabriel, C. Hall, L. Montsma, C. Humphreys, K. Dempsey, J. Headley, B. Waine
Prediction:
**Gillingham 2–1 Port Vale**. Slight edge to the hosts in a tight contest. ⚽
Where to watch
Disney+ (AR)
Paramount+
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Disney+ (COL)
TV2 PlayViaplay
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NOW
Arena Sport 4 SRB
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TV2 PlayViaplay
Disney+ (PER)
Arena Sport 4 SRB
Viaplay
NOW
Paramount+
Match facts
Kickoff
20 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Gillingham
3-4-3 · 3-5-2
Port Vale
1
O. Wright
7.1
5
A. Smith
7.1
19
O. Beckles
6.7
20
J. Daley
6.7
16
J. Brophy
7.2
24
H. Waldock
6.5
↑ 70'
8
A. Little
6.4
27
M. Luxton
6.7
↑ 84'
22
N. Freeman
6.7
12
G. McCleary
6.8
↑ 74'
18
S. Kendall
6.5
↑ 84'
20
M. Maroši
7.0
25
C. Humphreys
6.7
4
J. Moon
6.8
5
C. Hall
6.6
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
7.0
38
R. Walters
↑ 90'
7
G. Byers
6.8
10
K. Dempsey
7.2
↑ 46'
3
J. Headley
7.0
↑ 66'
14
O. Lynch
6.3
↑ 46'
24
K. Figueroa
7.7
↑ 46'
Substitutes
40GR. Luthra
26DL. Dobbs
6ME. Coleman↓ 70'7.4
3MC. McManus↓ 84'6.7
10FR. Hale↓ 74'7.2
39FT. Eaves↓ 84'6.8
30FS. Booth
Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Substitutes
1GJ. Smith
2DK. John↓ 66'6.7
22DL. Montsma
8MB. Garrity↓ 90'6.7
33MG. Hall↓ 46'6.2
36FM. Watters↓ 46'6.8
11FO. Hernández↓ 46'6.4
Coach: Jon Brady
Top stats
41%Possession59%
2.3Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.45
9Total shots11
3Shots on target3
3Big chances1
9Corners4
Shots
2Shots off target4
4Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box5
2Shots outside box6
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
Attack
19Touches in box18
53Final third entries74
3Offsides3
10Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
290Passes430
186Accurate passes322
32/83 (39%)Long balls35/84 (42%)
4/19 (21%)Crosses3/18 (17%)
28Throw-ins26
Duels
51Duels49
28/58 (48%)Ground duels30/58 (52%)
24/43 (56%)Aerial duels19/43 (44%)
4/5 (80%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)
10Dispossessed8
Defending
14Tackles11
64Tackles won64
10Interceptions10
38Clearances30
52Recoveries54
Discipline
12Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves1
4Goal kicks4
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Port Vale to win 41% · 2.62 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.14 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 29% · 2.31 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 1xBet
Who winsGillingham to win (DNB) 61% · 2.40 @ Betsson
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.76 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.32 @ 1xBet
1X2Gillingham to win 30% · 3.60 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.20
Gillingham
3.24
Draw
2.20
Port Vale
Double Chanceconsensus
1.59
Gillingham or Draw
1.30
Gillingham or Port Vale
1.30
Draw or Port Vale
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.95
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50
1.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.06
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.33
Gillingham
1.55
Port Vale
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50
3.06
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.20
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.00
Over 9.50
1.73
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.51
Over 10.50
1.46
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.46
Over 11.50
1.22
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.75
Gillingham
2.03
Draw
2.88
Port Vale
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.40
Gillingham
2.30
Draw
2.60
Port Vale
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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