Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Rochdale's fortress mentality meets Accrington's resilience** — this is a classic League Two scrap where home advantage could be the difference-maker. 🏟️
Rochdale are flying at home, mixing wins with draws in their last five. Accrington, meanwhile, haven't lost in five but lean heavily on draws — only two wins suggests a team grinding results rather than imposing itself. The **head-to-head tells the whole story**: Dale have owned this fixture, winning 11 of the last 14.
Key storylines:
- **Rochdale's attacking trio** of D. Brown, H. Gilmour, and J. Smith need to break down a compact Accrington defense operating in a 3-4-1-2
- **Accrington's draw dependency** — three stalemates in five games shows they're tough to crack but lack punch to win away
- **Home record dominance** — Rochdale's 2W 2D setup at Spotland gives them a clear edge in this lower-tier scrap
Expected lineups:
- **Rochdale**: N. Ramming, K. Wilson, K. Taylor, E. Ebanks-Landell, D. Moss, B. Adeeko, C. Tasker, D. Brown, H. Gilmour, J. Smith, E. Dieseruvwe
- **Accrington Stanley**: L. Moulden, D. Tutonda, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, C. O'Brien, L. Coyle, D. Love, A. Borland, T. Walton, J. Woods, S. Mols
Prediction:
**Rochdale 2–1 Accrington Stanley.** Dale's home fortress and historical edge over this side make them slight favorites; expect Accrington to scrape a consolation but leave empty-handed. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.