Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Halloween thriller brewing at Vale Park** — both sides are proper streaky, and this could go either way. 🎃
Port Vale's form is decent (2W in last five), but they just got hammered 0-2 at York. Rochdale are even wobblier after that 0-5 shoeing from Accrington, though they've scraped draws against decent opposition.
Key storylines:
- **B. Waine** and **O. Lynch** need to lead Vale's attack and break down a shaky Rochdale back line
- **Rochdale's midfield** — **B. Adeeko** and **E. Francis** — have to control tempo or get overrun
- Head-to-head is dead even (Vale 4, Rochdale 5 wins in 14), so no clear edge in history
Expected lineups:
- **Port Vale**: M. Maroši, C. Hall, C. Humphreys, J. Moon, J. Lawrence-Gabriel, K. John, G. Byers, K. Dempsey, B. Garrity, O. Lynch, B. Waine
- **Rochdale**: N. Ramming, S. Beckwith, K. Wilson, A. Flint, C. Tasker, B. Adeeko, E. Francis, G. Middleton, H. Gilmour, C. Hayes, D. Brown
Prediction:
**Port Vale 2–1 Rochdale**
Slight edge to Vale at home with better recent form, but Rochdale won't roll over — coin flip stuff.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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