Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Oldham's been quietly clicking lately, while Crawley can't catch a break** — this has all the hallmarks of a comfort win for the hosts. 🔵
Oldham sit nicely with 1W and 2D in their last five, topped by that blistering 4-1 demolition of Cheltenham Town at home. Crawley, meanwhile, are properly struggling: no wins in their last five and leaking goals at both ends. The H2H tilts in Oldham's favor too (7 wins to 4).
Key storylines:
- **Oldham's home fortress** meets a **Crawley side in freefall** — attacking form vs defensive vulnerability
- **C. Kavanagh** will lead the line for Oldham while Crawley lean on **D. Orsi-Dadomo** to spark something in midfield
- **M. Hudson** and **V. Mannone** face completely different pressure: one comfortable, one desperate
Expected lineups:
- **Oldham Athletic**: M. Hudson, J. Robson, D. Daniels, M. Monthe, G. Scott-Morriss, O. Norburn, K. Appiah-Forson, K. Drummond, T. Pett, F. Fawunmi, C. Kavanagh
- **Crawley Town**: V. Mannone, J. Russell, P. Farquharson, C. Barker, A. Odimayo, A. Adeyemo, J. Arthurs, K. Jennings, K. Gordon, D. Orsi-Dadomo, P. Aderoju
Prediction:
**Oldham 2-0 Crawley** — clear edge to the hosts. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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