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Swindon Town
A. Bruce
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Swindon Town
Ian Holloway
Swindon Town
Rotherham United
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Rotherham United
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Swindon Town 2-1 Rotherham United.
90+7'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
90'
8 minutes of added time.
80'
A. Bruce
Red card! A. Bruce (Rotherham United) is sent off for argument.
78'
Swindon Town
Offside, Swindon Town.
50'
Attempt saved. J. Fitzgerald (Rotherham United), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Swindon Town 1-0 Rotherham United.
45+3'
Goal! Swindon Town 1-0 Rotherham United. J. Thomson (Swindon Town) scores, assisted by D. Butler.
45'
4 minutes of added time.
44'
Attempt saved. J. Snowdon (Swindon Town), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
39'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
38'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
38'
Swindon Town
Offside, Swindon Town.
37'
Swindon Town
Offside, Swindon Town.
36'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
34'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
24'
Swindon Town
Offside, Swindon Town.
15'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
9'
Swindon Town
Corner, Swindon Town.
1'
Kick-off: Swindon Town vs Rotherham United.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
20683 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.6%
-11.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.1%
+7.0 vs price
Draw
120.0 · implied 0.8%
5.7%
+4.9 vs price
Half time
48 EUR
Draw
2.44 · implied 41.0%
100.0%
+59.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4960 EUR · live
Over
3.05 · implied 32.8%
51.6%
+18.8 vs price
Under
1.45 · implied 69.0%
48.4%
-20.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
31 EUR
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
100.0%
+86.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
J. Buyabu · Violent conduct
42'
🔁
J. Hungbo ◂ J. Ball
Half-time · 1–0
45'+3
⚽
J. Thomson · assist D. Butler1–0
55'
🔁
B. Williams ◂ J. Rafferty
55'
🔁
G. Sebine ◂ A. Nemane
55'
🔁
S. Aljofree ◂ B. Cover
60'
🔁
O. Palmer ◂ T. Nichols
72'
K. Ngwenya · Foul
75'
🔁
J. McGregor ◂ D. Butler
76'
🔁
T. Bradshaw ◂ P. Mullin
76'
🔁
K. Lolos ◂ J. Austerfield
76'
🔁
J. Debayo ◂ J. Snowdon
79'
D. Iorfa · Professional foul last man
80'
A. Bruce · Argument
81'
⚽
J. Hungbo2–0
87'
⚽
D. Hall2–1
Full-time · 2–1
90'+5
D. Hall · Foul
Coaches
Ian HollowayAlex Bruce 
Recent form
Swindon TownDABristol Rovers0-0
WABarnet3-1
DHWalsall1-1
LHCrewe Alexandra0-1
LARochdale0-1
Rotherham UnitedDHShrewsbury Town3-3
DHNewport County2-2
LAFleetwood Town0-2
LHGillingham1-4
LAExeter City0-1
About this match
**Swindon rolls into this one as the clear favorite** — they've carved up Rotherham in recent meetings and look sharp in possession, while the Millers are stuck in a rut. 🔴
Swindon's 1W-2D-2L run isn't dazzling, but wins over Barnet and a solid draw at Bristol Rovers show real control. Rotherham, meanwhile, are leaking goals (three defeats in five) and drawing too many stalemates. That H2H dominance is no accident.
Key storylines:
- **Swindon's attacking trio** of Nichols, Drinan, and Hungbo will hunt crosses and transitions against a creaky Rotherham backline
- **Rotherham's midfield** needs Austerfield and Ashley to find some steel and cut off supply early, or they'll be chasing ghosts
- **Set-piece danger** — both sides have shown vulnerability from dead balls; corners could shift the momentum fast ⚽
Expected lineups:
- **Swindon Town**: Ripley, Butler, Negru, Majekodunmi, Clark, Ball, Thomson, Munda, Nichols, Drinan, Hungbo
- **Rotherham United**: Eyestone, Ngwenya, Aljofree, Iorfa, Hall, Ashley, Austerfield, Otoo, Buyabu, Mullin, Cover
Prediction:
**Swindon 2-1 Rotherham**. Swindon's H2H edge and form lean is enough to back a narrow home win.
Match facts
Kickoff
31 Oct, 15:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Rotherham United
1
C. Ripley
6.1
15
J. Hungbo
7.6
↑ 42'
5
S. Negru
6.6
34
B. Kirkman
7.2
2
M. Clark
7.0
25
J. Thomson
9.5
24
M. Virtue-Thick
6.2
33
J. McGregor
6.3
↑ 75'
28
O. Palmer
6.6
↑ 60'
18
J. Debayo
6.3
↑ 76'
23
A. Drinan
5.9
13
J. Eyestone
5.8
33
B. Williams
6.3
↑ 55'
12
D. Hall
7.3
27
D. Iorfa
7.2
5
K. Ngwenya
6.6
14
S. Aljofree
6.3
↑ 55'
15
J. Fitzgerald
7.0
20
K. Lolos
6.6
↑ 76'
19
G. Sebine
6.5
↑ 55'
9
T. Bradshaw
6.5
↑ 76'
24
J. Buyabu
3.0
Substitutes
12GL. Ward
26DD. Butler↓ 75'7.8
6DJ. Ball↓ 42'6.8
21DK. A. M. Majekodunmi
7MT. Nichols↓ 60'6.7
19MJ. Snowdon↓ 76'6.7
39FL. Millard
Coach: Ian Holloway
Substitutes
1GT. Cann
2DJ. Rafferty↓ 55'6.2
18DL. Agbaire
4MJ. Austerfield↓ 76'6.7
28MB. Cover↓ 55'6.2
23MA. Nemane↓ 55'6.1
10FP. Mullin↓ 76'6.5
Coach: Alex Bruce
Top stats
74%Possession26%
1.13Expected goals (xG)0.58
15Total shots3
4Shots on target2
1Big chances1
7Corners0
Shots
10Shots off target1
1Blocked shots0
7Shots inside box2
8Shots outside box1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
Attack
22Touches in box8
79Final third entries64
2Offsides0
10Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
563Passes208
451Accurate passes100
43/75 (57%)Long balls17/78 (22%)
4/29 (14%)Crosses0/5 (0%)
39Throw-ins24
Duels
52Duels48
26/60 (43%)Ground duels34/60 (57%)
30/47 (64%)Aerial duels17/47 (36%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
13Tackles17
77Tackles won71
4Interceptions11
24Clearances52
49Recoveries39
Discipline
10Fouls10
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
4Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsSwindon to win (DNB) 78% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.37 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.94 @ 1xBet
1X2Rotherham to win 33% · 3.14 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365
1X2Swindon to win 40% · 2.62 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.62 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.29
Swindon Town
3.50
Draw
2.87
Rotherham United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
Swindon Town or Draw
1.26
Swindon Town or Rotherham United
1.55
Draw or Rotherham United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.20
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.15
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.74
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.24
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.68
Swindon Town
2.06
Rotherham United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.66
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.18
Over 10.50
1.62
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.79
Over 11.50
1.35
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.82
Swindon Town
2.20
Draw
3.40
Rotherham United
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.60
Swindon Town
2.54
Draw
3.00
Rotherham United
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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