Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽I. Brnić
assist O. Ergün
assist O. Ergün
41'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
G. Jung
47'
🔁R. Civelek ◂ C. Mané
62'
🔁L. Bénes ◂ G. Jung
62'
⚽J. Opoku
62'
⚽M. Cardoso
assist A. Opoku
assist A. Opoku
68'
🔁Ö. F. Beyaz ◂ E. Shomurodov
70'
🔁M. Crespo ◂ U. Güneş
70'
🔁B. A. Özdemir ◂ O. Ergün
70'
🔁A. Karimi ◂ Y. Ackah
72'
🔁O. Ba ◂ J. Opoku
81'
🔁B. Kapacak ◂ A. Opoku
81'
🔁D. Toköz ◂ J. Mendes Saraiva
81'
🔁D. Selke ◂ N. Da Costa
82'
O. Ba
84'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Nuri ŞahinErling Moe 
Recent form
Başakşehir FKLGalatasaray2-0Başakşehir FK
LBaşakşehir FK2-3Adana Demirspor
WKasımpaşa2-3Başakşehir FK
LBaşakşehir FK1-4Fenerbahçe
WAntalyaspor2-4Başakşehir FK
KayserisporDKayserispor1-1Bodrum FK
LGalatasaray3-0Kayserispor
WKayserispor3-1Antalyaspor
DAlanyaspor1-1Kayserispor
WKayserispor1-0Çaykur Rizespor
Match facts
Stadium
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
City
Istanbul
Referee
Kadir Saglam
Kickoff
17 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Başakşehir FK
4-4-1-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kayserispor
16
M. Şengezer
6.6
36
F. Ebosele
7.8
5
L. Duarte
6.8
3
J. Opoku
6.5
6
O. Bulut
6.3
23
D. Türüç
7.9
4
O. Ergün
7.7
20
U. Güneş
6.4
77
I. Brnić
8.2
14
E. Shomurodov
6.7
10
N. Da Costa
6.7
25
B. Bayazit
6.6
11
G. Sazdağı
6.7
5
M. Hosseini
8.5
4
S. Denswil
6.5
23
L. Carole
6.6
37
G. Jung
6.3
79
Y. Ackah
6.7
20
C. Mané
6.4
10
J. Mendes
6.7
7
M. Cardoso
7.2
30
A. Opoku
6.1
57%Possession43%
0.81Expected goals (xG)0.44
13Total shots9
4Shots on target3
1Big chances0
5Corners7
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards1