Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
N. Ugrekhelidze
21'
D. Camara
29'
A. Kızıldağ
29'
A. Maxim
44'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁J. Camacho ◂ T. Cukur
46'
🔁D. D. Fofana ◂ A. Gray
46'
🔁S. Güler ◂ M. Abena
46'
⚽A. Maxim (pen)
55'
🔁Serginho ◂ S. Larsson
66'
🔁T. T. Sanuç ◂ A. Kızıldağ
67'
⚽K. Kozłowski
assist C. Lungoyi
assist C. Lungoyi
69'
🔁Y. Kabadayi ◂ M. Bayo
80'
🔁A. Sivri ◂ B. Özcan
81'
🔁Ç. Kurukalıp ◂ J. Balkovec
81'
🔁B. Ndiaye ◂ M. Kabasakal
86'
🔁J. Bacuna ◂ D. Camara
86'
⚽
90'
⚽Serginho
90'
⚽
90'
Y. Kabadayi
90'+12
Unknown
-5'
Coaches
Aleksandar StanojevićMirel Radoi 
Recent form
Fatih KaragümrükLFatih Karagümrük3-4Trabzonspor
LSamsunspor3-2Fatih Karagümrük
LFatih Karagümrük0-2Başakşehir FK
LFatih Karagümrük0-1Kasımpaşa
WAntalyaspor1-2Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FKDGaziantep FK2-2Samsunspor
DTrabzonspor1-1Gaziantep FK
WGaziantep FK2-0Kocaelispor
WKasımpaşa2-3Gaziantep FK
WGaziantep FK2-1Gençlerbirliği
Match facts
Stadium
Vefa Stadium
City
Istanbul
Referee
Oguzhan Cakir
Kickoff
05 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Fatih Karagümrük
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Gaziantep FK
13
I. Grbić
6.8
6
A. Çankaya
7.4
32
M. Kadioglu
6.0
27
N. Ugrekhelidze
6.5
29
J. Balkovec
6.0
11
D. Johnson
6.5
14
M. T. Doh
6.8
21
T. Cukur
6.4
8
B. Özcan
6.2
23
S. Larsson
6.5
91
A. Gray
6.5
71
M. B. Bozan
7.1
2
L. Pérez
8.1
4
A. Kızıldağ
7.0
14
M. Abena
6.7
77
K. Rodrigues
8.1
6
M. Kabasakal
6.7
3
D. Camara
7.3
10
K. Kozłowski
7.8
44
A. Maxim
7.0
11
C. Lungoyi
7.6
9
M. Bayo
7.0
Substitutes
37J. Camacho7.019D. D. Fofana6.370Serginho6.733Ç. Kurukalıp6.717A. Sivri6.588Ö. F. Gümüş72B. Kalaycı94A. Y. Çınar99F. Bekleviç34A. Demirol
Coach: Aleksandar Stanojević
44%Possession56%
1.65Expected goals (xG)2.77
13Total shots17
4Shots on target8
3Big chances3
5Corners2
22Fouls15
1Yellow cards4