Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽A. Musaba
11'
L. Carole
13'
A. Musaba
25'
T. Coulibaly
30'
I. Tuci
39'
⚽
45'
⚽C. Holse
assist L. Tómasson
assist L. Tómasson
45'
⚽
45'
🔁B. Kapacak ◂ R. Civelek
46'
🔁C. Yüksel ◂ O. Ntcham
48'
L. Tómasson
50'
🔁G. Onugkha ◂ I. Tuci
60'
🔁A. Opoku ◂ C. Mané
60'
🔁E. Kılınç ◂ T. Coulibaly
62'
🔁C. Ndiaye ◂ M. Mouandilmadji
62'
⚽C. Holse
64'
🔁J. Mendes Saraiva ◂ A. Bennasser
65'
🔁A. Sousa ◂ C. Holse
68'
🔁J. Mendes ◂ Z. Yavru
68'
⚽R. Drongelen
72'
🔁D. Toköz ◂ F. Soyalp
74'
⚽G. Onugkha
assist B. Kapacak
assist B. Kapacak
83'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Form
Kayserispor
DDLDL
Samsunspor
LDWDD
Match facts
Stadium
Kadir Has Stadium
City
Kayseri
Referee
Umit Ozturk
Kickoff
19 Oct, 11:30 UTC
Kayserispor
4-2-3-1
25
B. Bayazit
6.8
28
R. Civelek
6.5
4
S. Denswil
6.1
54
A. Kocaman
5.7
23
L. Carole
6.8
33
F. Soyalp
7.0
15
Y. A. Bennasser
7.0
20
C. Mané
6.3
8
L. Bénes
6.6
7
M. Cardoso
6.4
22
I. Tuci
5.8
Substitutes
17
B. Kapacak
6.6
9
G. Onugkha
7.2
30
A. Opoku
6.6
10
J. Mendes
6.4
24
D. Toköz
6.7
3
A. Burak
99
T. Sariarslan
1
O. Piri
77
N. Korkmaz
16
M. E. Özbek
Samsunspor
4-1-4-1
1
O. Koçuk
7.0
18
Z. Yavru
7.2
37
Ľ. Šatka
6.8
4
R. V. Drongelen
7.9
17
L. Tómasson
7.5
29
A. Makoumbou
7.0
70
T. Coulibaly
7.1
21
C. Holse
⚽2
8.3
10
O. Ntcham
6.8
7
A. Musaba
6.4
9
M. Mouandilmadji
5.9
Substitutes
5
C. Yüksel
7.6
11
E. Kılınç
6.7
19
C. Ndiaye
6.4
77
A. Sousa
6.6
2
J. Mendes
6.4
28
S. Gönül
22
P. Yaldir
24
T. Borevković
12
A. Posiadała
55
Y. E. Çift
Coach: Erling Moe
Coach: Thorsten Fink
54%Possession46%
1.3Expected goals (xG)3.28
14Total shots13
3Shots on target5
3Big chances8
6Corners5
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards3