Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
🔁D. Toköz ◂ A. Bennasser
5'
A. Burak
12'
M. Cardoso
14'
⚽S. Larsson (pen)
16'
⚽D. D. Fofana
27'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
⚽D. D. Fofana
45'
E. Roco
45'+1
🔁B. Kapacak ◂ A. Burak
46'
🔁J. Mendes Saraiva ◂ A. Kocaman
46'
🔁A. Opoku ◂ C. Mané
58'
⚽G. Onugkha
63'
M. Kranevitter
66'
G. Onugkha
67'
⚽G. Onugkha
assist M. Cardoso
assist M. Cardoso
68'
⚽G. Onugkha
assist J. Mendes Saraiva
assist J. Mendes Saraiva
74'
🔁B. Kalaycı ◂ A. Sivri
76'
🔁D. Johnson ◂ B. Özcan
76'
⚽A. Çankaya
assist Ç. Kurukalıp
assist Ç. Kurukalıp
79'
🔁M. T. Doh ◂ M. Kranevitter
89'
🔁A. Gray ◂ Serginho
89'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
L. Bénes
90'+1
🔁N. Korkmaz ◂ M. Cardoso
90'+5
A. Bennasser
-5'
Unknown
-5'
Unknown
-5'
Coaches
Aleksandar StanojevićErling Moe 
Recent form
Fatih KaragümrükLFenerbahçe2-1Fatih Karagümrük
LFatih Karagümrük0-2Gaziantep FK
LFatih Karagümrük3-4Trabzonspor
LSamsunspor3-2Fatih Karagümrük
LFatih Karagümrük0-2Başakşehir FK
KayserisporLKayserispor1-3Samsunspor
LTrabzonspor4-0Kayserispor
DKayserispor1-1Gençlerbirliği
LKayserispor0-4Beşiktaş JK
DAntalyaspor1-1Kayserispor
Match facts
Stadium
Vefa Stadium
City
Istanbul
Referee
Yasin Kol
Kickoff
24 Oct, 17:00 UTC
Fatih Karagümrük
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kayserispor
13
I. Grbić
7.1
6
A. Çankaya
8.6
3
E. Roco
7.8
94
A. Y. Çınar
6.4
33
Ç. Kurukalıp
7.1
8
B. Özcan
7.1
5
M. Kranevitter
6.4
70
Serginho
6.2
23
S. Larsson
6.9
17
A. Sivri
6.0
19
D. D. Fofana
6.2
25
B. Bayazit
6.6
28
R. Civelek
6.0
4
S. Denswil
6.7
54
A. Kocaman
6.5
3
A. Burak
6.1
33
F. Soyalp
6.3
15
Y. A. Bennasser
20
C. Mané
6.6
8
L. Bénes
6.6
7
M. Cardoso
5.7
9
G. Onugkha
8.6
Substitutes
72B. Kalaycı6.711D. Johnson6.714M. T. Doh6.891A. Gray6.527N. Ugrekhelidze88Ö. F. Gümüş24B. Ersoy32M. Kadioglu99F. Bekleviç21T. Cukur
Coach: Aleksandar Stanojević
47%Possession53%
2.15Expected goals (xG)1.67
10Total shots13
3Shots on target10
3Big chances4
1Corners7
16Fouls21
2Yellow cards4