Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
C. Mané
23'
A. Bennasser
31'
⚽M. Asensio
assist Talisca
assist Talisca
38'
⚽D. Nene
assist Fred
assist Fred
40'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
N. Semedo
46'
🔁A. Opoku ◂ C. Mané
46'
⚽D. Nene
assist K. Aktürkoğlu
assist K. Aktürkoğlu
50'
⚽G. Onugkha
assist M. Cardoso
assist M. Cardoso
53'
🔁B. Kapacak ◂ R. Civelek
60'
🔁D. Toköz ◂ A. Bennasser
60'
🔁S. Szymański ◂ D. Nene
61'
🔁Y. En-Nesyri ◂ Talisca
61'
⚽K. Aktürkoğlu
assist Fred
assist Fred
63'
🔁M. Müldür ◂ N. Semedo
68'
⚽G. Onugkha
assist A. Opoku
assist A. Opoku
74'
🔁I. Tuci ◂ F. Soyalp
79'
A. Opoku
80'
🔁A. Brown ◂ L. Mercan
85'
🔁B. Elmaz ◂ E. Álvarez
85'
🔁M. E. Özbek ◂ L. Bénes
86'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Form
Fenerbahçe
WWWWD
Kayserispor
DLLDW
Match facts
Stadium
Chobani Stadium
City
Istanbul
Referee
Ozan Ergun
Kickoff
09 Nov, 17:00 UTC
Fenerbahçe
4-1-4-1
31
Ederson
6.9
27
N. Semedo
6.6
37
M. Škriniar
6.5
24
J. Oosterwolde
22
L. Mercan
11
E. Álvarez
7.2
45
D. Nene
⚽2
8.7
21
M. Asensio
7
Fred
9
K. Aktürkoğlu
⚽1
8.6
94
A. Talisca
6.4
Substitutes
53
S. Szymański
6.2
19
Y. En-Nesyri
18
M. Müldür
6.5
28
B. Elmaz
6.5
3
A. Brown
13
T. Çetin
10
J. Durán
4
Ç. Söyüncü
50
R. Becão
70
O. Aydın
Kayserispor
4-1-4-1
1
O. Piri
6.0
28
R. Civelek
5
M. Hosseini
6.9
4
S. Denswil
23
L. Carole
6.3
15
Y. A. Bennasser
6.3
20
C. Mané
33
F. Soyalp
6.2
8
L. Bénes
7
M. Cardoso
6.9
9
G. Onugkha
Substitutes
30
A. Opoku
7.2
24
D. Toköz
6.5
17
B. Kapacak
22
I. Tuci
6.3
16
M. E. Özbek
6.6
99
T. Sariarslan
77
N. Korkmaz
3
A. Burak
25
B. Bayazit
38
K. Cihan
Coach: Zeki Murat Gole
Coach: Erling Moe
62%Possession38%
2.24Expected goals (xG)1.26
28Total shots5
9Shots on target3
5Big chances4
8Corners2
13Fouls7
1Yellow cards3